Bitcoin price on May 1, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
Short Answer
1. Executive Verdict
- U.S. macroeconomic data and liquidity shifts impact Bitcoin's price.
- Institutional selling and significant ETF outflows pressure Bitcoin's rally.
- Strong technical resistance at $80,000 challenges further price increases.
- A bearish technical outlook is expected for Bitcoin in May 2026.
- Reaching above $90,000 faces significant barriers and strong difficulty.
- Institutional downside hedging indicates market caution in May 2026.
Who Wins and Why
| Outcome | Market | Model | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | — | — | Insufficient data |
2. Market Behavior & Price Dynamics
Historical Price (Probability)
3. Market Data
Contract Snapshot
The market resolves to YES if the simple average of the 60 seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) collected in the minute leading up to 2 PM EDT on May 1, 2026, is above $78,299.99; otherwise, it resolves to NO. This calculated average from CF Benchmarks is the official and final value for settlement. The market closes at 2 PM EDT on May 1, 2026, with a projected payout at 2:06 PM EDT on the same day.
Available Contracts
Market options and current pricing
| Outcome bucket | Yes (price) | No (price) | Last trade probability |
|---|
Market Discussion
Limited public discussion available for this market.
4. What Macroeconomic Factors Will Impact Bitcoin's Price on May 1, 2026?
| Primary Price Driver | U.S. macroeconomic data (inflation, interest rates, liquidity) [^] |
|---|---|
| Immediate Influence | Specific macroeconomic events and data releases on May 1, 2026 [^] |
| Bitcoin Volatility Link | Macro stress and shifts in liquidity [^] |
5. What are the predictions for Bitcoin's price on May 1, 2026?
| Recent Price Holding | Above $77,000 amidst volatility [^] |
|---|---|
| Predicted Price (May 1, 2026) | $76,550 to $77,000 [^] |
| Prediction Market Target | Bitcoin price on May 1, 2026, 2 PM EDT [^] |
6. What Factors Challenge Bitcoin's Continued Price Rally?
| Spot Bitcoin ETF Outflows | $490 million over three days [^] |
|---|---|
| Technical Resistance Level | $80,000 [^] |
| May 2026 Technical Outlook | Bearish sentiment indicated [^] |
7. What Was Bitcoin's Price and Institutional View on May 1, 2026?
| Bitcoin Price on May 1, 2026 | USD 76,550 (8) [^] |
|---|---|
| Recent Bitcoin High | USD 77,000 (9) [^] |
| Institutional Undervaluation Sentiment | 75% of institutions (5) [^] |
8. What Key Events Could Impact Bitcoin Price Around May 2026?
| April 2026 CPI Release | Early May [^] |
|---|---|
| Federal Reserve Board Calendar | May 2026 [^] |
| Consensus Miami | 2026 Crypto Conference [^] |
9. What Could Change the Odds
Key Catalysts
Key Dates & Catalysts
- Strike Date: May 01, 2026
- Expiration: May 08, 2026
- Closes: May 01, 2026
10. Decision-Flipping Events
- Trigger: Catalyst analysis unavailable.
12. Historical Resolutions
Historical Resolutions: 20 markets in this series
Outcomes: 0 resolved YES, 20 resolved NO
Recent resolutions:
- KXBTCD-26MAY0113-T85299.99: NO (May 01, 2026)
- KXBTCD-26MAY0113-T85199.99: NO (May 01, 2026)
- KXBTCD-26MAY0113-T85099.99: NO (May 01, 2026)
- KXBTCD-26MAY0113-T84999.99: NO (May 01, 2026)
- KXBTCD-26MAY0113-T84899.99: NO (May 01, 2026)
Get Real-Time Research Updates
Sign up for early access to live reports, historical data, and AI-powered market insights delivered to your inbox.