When will Discord officially announce an IPO?
1. Executive Verdict
Who Wins and Why
| Outcome | Market | Model | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Mar 1, 2026 | 2.0% | — | Insufficient data |
| Before Apr 1, 2026 | 23.0% | — | Insufficient data |
| Before May 1, 2026 | 42.0% | — | Insufficient data |
| Before Aug 1, 2026 | 71.0% | — | Insufficient data |
| Before Jun 1, 2026 | 53.0% | — | Insufficient data |
2. Market Data
Available Contracts
Market options and current pricing
| Outcome bucket | Yes (price) | No (price) | Implied probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | $0.93 | $0.14 | 93% |
| Before Jun 1, 2027 | $0.93 | $0.15 | 93% |
| Before Mar 1, 2027 | $0.92 | $0.16 | 92% |
| Before May 1, 2027 | $0.92 | $0.16 | 92% |
| Before Feb 1, 2027 | $0.91 | $0.16 | 91% |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | $0.87 | $0.21 | 87% |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | $0.86 | $0.23 | 86% |
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | $0.84 | $0.25 | 84% |
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | $0.81 | $0.27 | 81% |
| Before Sep 1, 2026 | $0.77 | $0.30 | 77% |
| Before Aug 1, 2026 | $0.71 | $0.37 | 71% |
| Before Jul 1, 2026 | $0.65 | $0.41 | 65% |
| Before Jun 1, 2026 | $0.53 | $0.53 | 53% |
| Before May 1, 2026 | $0.42 | $0.62 | 42% |
| Before Apr 1, 2026 | $0.23 | $0.80 | 23% |
| Before Mar 1, 2026 | $0.02 | $0.99 | 2% |
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