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- Mmoh vs Gomez
Mmoh vs Gomez
Short Answer
1. Executive Verdict
- Michael Mmoh holds a superior clay court tiebreak win percentage.
- Federico Gomez has an 8-2 loss record in first U.S. tournaments since 2016.
- Mmoh's recent clay first-serve percentage fell below his yearly average.
- Market confidence in Mmoh winning spiked by 10 percentage points recently.
Who Wins and Why
| Outcome | Market | Model | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Mmoh | 65.0% | 66.4% | Model higher by 1.4pp |
| Federico Agustin Gomez | 36.0% | 33.6% | Market higher by 2.4pp |
2. Market Behavior & Price Dynamics
Historical Price (Probability)
3. Significant Price Movements
Notable price changes detected in the chart, along with research into what caused each movement.
📈 April 13, 2026: 10.0pp spike
Price increased from 54.0% to 64.0%
Outcome: Michael Mmoh
4. Market Data
Contract Snapshot
The market resolves to YES if Michael Mmoh wins the Mmoh vs Gomez professional tennis match after a ball has been played. It resolves to NO if Mmoh does not win, including if he withdraws or forfeits after the match has started. If the match does not start, the market will resolve to a fair price, and it remains open if postponed within two weeks, closing by April 27, 2026, at 2:00 pm EDT at the latest.
Available Contracts
Market options and current pricing
| Outcome bucket | Yes (price) | No (price) | Last trade probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Mmoh | $0.64 | $0.37 | 65% |
| Federico Agustin Gomez | $0.37 | $0.65 | 36% |
Market Discussion
Limited public discussion available for this market.
5. How Has Michael Mmoh's First-Serve Performed on Clay Recently?
| First-serve vs. Dutra Da Silva | Approximately 63% [^] |
|---|---|
| First-serve vs. Barrios Vera | Around 58% [^] |
| 12-month average first-serve on clay | Approximately 65% [^] |
6. What is Federico Agustin Gomez's Win Rate as a Clay Underdog?
| Matches as Underdog (24 months) | 6 matches [^] |
|---|---|
| Wins as Underdog (24 months) | 2 wins [^] |
| Win Rate as Underdog (24 months) | 33.3% [^] |
7. Is Mmoh vs Gomez April 13, 2026 Sharp Sportsbook Data Available?
| Moneyline Odds Analysis | Not possible due to lack of 'sharp' sportsbook data [^]. |
|---|---|
| Betting Volume Data | Not available for Mmoh vs Gomez April 13, 2026 [^]. |
| Prediction Market Data | "Gomez vs. Mmoh Odds & Predictions" available on Polymarket [^] |
8. What is Federico Agustin Gomez's first U.S. tournament record?
| Overall First U.S. Tournament Record | 2 wins and 8 losses [^] |
|---|---|
| Opening Match Losses (Seasons) | 8 out of 9 seasons [^] |
| Best Performance | Quarterfinals in 2019 (M15 Vero Beach ITF) [^] |
9. How Do Mmoh and Gomez Compare in Clay Tiebreak Win Rates?
| Michael Mmoh Clay Tiebreak Win Rate | 56.25% (18 wins, 14 losses) [^] |
|---|---|
| Federico Gomez Clay Tiebreak Win Rate | 45.8% (11 wins, 13 losses) [^] |
| Clay Tiebreak Win Rate Difference | Mmoh has over 10 percentage points higher [^] |
10. What Could Change the Odds
Key Catalysts
Key Dates & Catalysts
- Expiration: April 27, 2026
- Closes: April 27, 2026
11. Decision-Flipping Events
- Trigger: Catalyst analysis unavailable.
13. Historical Resolutions
Historical Resolutions: 20 markets in this series
Outcomes: 10 resolved YES, 10 resolved NO
Recent resolutions:
- KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26APR13REIKIC-REI: YES (Apr 13, 2026)
- KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26APR13REIKIC-KIC: NO (Apr 13, 2026)
- KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26APR13MAGLAN-MAG: NO (Apr 13, 2026)
- KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26APR13MAGLAN-LAN: YES (Apr 13, 2026)
- KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26APR13DUTJOH-JOH: YES (Apr 13, 2026)
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