Feldbausch vs Kingsley
Short Answer
1. Executive Verdict
- Feldbausch faces high fatigue risk from extensive travel and back-to-back matches.
- Kingsley benefits from less travel and more rest, suggesting a freshness advantage.
- The match is critically assessed as being played on a clay court.
- Feldbausch's consistent baseline game generally suits the clay court.
- Kingsley's aggressive style may be a disadvantage on the slower clay.
Who Wins and Why
| Outcome | Market | Model | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cannon Kingsley | 14.0% | 15.0% | Cannon Kingsley faces an opponent heavily favored to win. |
| Kilian Feldbausch | 87.0% | 85.0% | Kilian Feldbausch is known for his consistent baseline game. |
2. Market Behavior & Price Dynamics
Historical Price (Probability)
3. Significant Price Movements
Notable price changes detected in the chart, along with research into what caused each movement.
📈 April 07, 2026: 71.0pp spike
Price increased from 6.0% to 77.0%
Outcome: Kilian Feldbausch
4. Market Data
Contract Snapshot
This market resolves to "Yes" if Kilian Feldbausch wins the Feldbausch vs Kingsley professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Sarasota Round Of 32, provided a ball has been played; otherwise, it resolves to "No." The market opened on April 7, 2026, at 12:31 am EDT, and closes after the outcome or by April 21, 2026, at 12:20 pm EDT, with payouts projected 1 minute after closing. If the match is cancelled before a ball is played due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or other reasons, it resolves to a fair price. If postponed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled match finishes within two weeks.
Available Contracts
Market options and current pricing
| Outcome bucket | Yes (price) | No (price) | Last trade probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kilian Feldbausch | $0.87 | $0.15 | 87% |
| Cannon Kingsley | $0.14 | $0.87 | 14% |
Market Discussion
Limited public discussion available for this market.
5. What are the key details for Kilian Feldbausch vs Cannon Kingsley?
| Tournament Surface | Clay [^] |
|---|---|
| Performance Statistics | Not available [^] |
| Previous Head-to-Head | None indicated [^] |
6. What Were Kilian Feldbausch vs. Cannon Kingsley Betting Odds Movements?
| Specific Odds Movement | Not provided for Pinnacle or Bet365 in research [^] |
|---|---|
| Late, High-Volume Wagers | Data not available in research [^] |
| Match Confirmation | Kilian Feldbausch vs. Cannon Kingsley (2026 Sarasota Open) [^] |
7. What Were Kilian Feldbausch and Cannon Kingsley's Pre-Match Activities?
| Kilian Feldbausch Total Match Time | 2 hours and 42 minutes [^] |
|---|---|
| Kilian Feldbausch Travel | 5,600 miles, 7 time zones [^] |
| Cannon Kingsley Travel | 4,160 miles, 4 time zones [^] |
8. Do Feldbausch or Kingsley Have Rally Length Advantages?
| Statistical Rally Data | Not available for either player [^] |
|---|---|
| Kilian Feldbausch Style | Prefers longer, consistent baseline exchanges [^] |
| Cannon Kingsley Style | Aggressive, aims to dictate points quickly [^] |
9. What Are the 2026 Sarasota Open Conditions and Player Performance?
| Court Surface | Outdoor hard courts [^] |
|---|---|
| Typical High Temperature | Upper 70s to low 80s Fahrenheit (25-30°C) [^] |
| Typical Humidity Range | 70-90% mornings, 50-70% afternoons [^] |
10. What Could Change the Odds
Key Catalysts
Key Dates & Catalysts
- Expiration: April 21, 2026
- Closes: April 21, 2026
11. Decision-Flipping Events
- Trigger: Catalyst analysis unavailable.
13. Historical Resolutions
Historical Resolutions: 20 markets in this series
Outcomes: 10 resolved YES, 10 resolved NO
Recent resolutions:
- KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26APR07BOUUCH-UCH: NO (Apr 08, 2026)
- KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26APR07BOUUCH-BOU: YES (Apr 08, 2026)
- KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26APR07PACMCD-PAC: YES (Apr 08, 2026)
- KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26APR07PACMCD-MCD: NO (Apr 08, 2026)
- KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26APR07NISKIC-NIS: YES (Apr 08, 2026)
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