1. Executive Verdict

Who Wins and Why

Outcome Market Model Why
Crypto / Bitcoin 20.0% — Insufficient data
Mental Institution 44.0% — Insufficient data
Olympics 48.0% — Insufficient data
Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis 14.0% — Insufficient data
Rigged Election / Stolen Election 40.0% — Insufficient data

2. Market Data

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Available Contracts

Market options and current pricing

Outcome bucket Yes (price) No (price) Implied probability
Olympics $0.48 $0.57 48%
IQ $0.46 $0.57 46%
Mental Institution $0.44 $0.60 44%
Cookie $0.41 $0.63 41%
Rigged Election / Stolen Election $0.40 $0.64 40%
TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome $0.40 $0.66 40%
Thug $0.40 $0.66 40%
Predict / Prediction $0.39 $0.67 39%
Who are you with / Where are you from $0.38 $0.68 38%
Golden Dome $0.29 $0.73 29%
Drill Baby Drill $0.21 $0.82 21%
Crypto / Bitcoin $0.20 $0.82 20%
Discombobulator $0.20 $0.84 20%
Paid Agitator $0.19 $0.88 19%
Antifa $0.15 $0.86 15%
Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis $0.14 $0.89 14%