What will Kathy Hochul say during her announcement?
1. Executive Verdict
Who Wins and Why
| Outcome | Market | Model | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | 68.0% | — | Insufficient data |
| Blizzard | 74.0% | — | Insufficient data |
| Billion | 77.0% | — | Insufficient data |
| Mayor / Mamdani | 74.0% | — | Insufficient data |
| Economy / Economic | 74.0% | — | Insufficient data |
2. Market Data
Available Contracts
Market options and current pricing
| Outcome bucket | Yes (price) | No (price) | Implied probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Billion | $0.77 | $0.24 | 77% |
| Blizzard | $0.74 | $0.34 | 74% |
| Economy / Economic | $0.74 | $0.45 | 74% |
| Mayor / Mamdani | $0.74 | $0.36 | 74% |
| Buffalo | $0.71 | $0.60 | 71% |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | $0.68 | $0.49 | 68% |
| Supreme Court | $0.37 | $0.69 | 37% |
| Rebate | $0.33 | $0.75 | 33% |
| Inflation | $0.29 | $0.85 | 29% |
| Dairy | $0.26 | $0.92 | 26% |
Get Real-Time Research Updates
Sign up for early access to live reports, historical data, and AI-powered market insights delivered to your inbox.
