Mention: MrBeast Youtube Video
1. Executive Verdict
Who Wins and Why
| Outcome | Market | Model | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| Subscribe | 58.0% | — | Insufficient data |
| Feastable | 90.0% | — | Insufficient data |
| Win | 68.0% | — | Insufficient data |
| Contestant | 33.0% | — | Insufficient data |
| Time | 89.0% | — | Insufficient data |
2. Market Data
Available Contracts
Market options and current pricing
| Outcome bucket | Yes (price) | No (price) | Implied probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feastable | $0.90 | $0.13 | 90% |
| Time | $0.89 | $0.12 | 89% |
| Million | $0.82 | $0.19 | 82% |
| Money | $0.73 | $0.29 | 73% |
| Beast | $0.71 | $0.32 | 71% |
| Prize | $0.69 | $0.36 | 69% |
| Win | $0.68 | $0.49 | 68% |
| Water | $0.62 | $0.43 | 62% |
| Challenge | $0.60 | $0.41 | 60% |
| Insane | $0.59 | $0.45 | 59% |
| Subscribe | $0.58 | $0.46 | 58% |
| Car | $0.41 | $0.60 | 41% |
| Billion | $0.35 | $0.75 | 35% |
| Contestant | $0.33 | $0.72 | 33% |
| Saudi Arabia | $0.14 | $0.89 | 14% |
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