Netflix price increase in 2026?
Yes refers to: Before 2027
Short Answer
1. Executive Verdict
- Internal server errors prevented all research on Netflix pricing.
- Key catalyst analysis for market drivers is currently unavailable.
- Market probability recently spiked, following a substantial prior drop.
- Octagon's model probability perfectly matches the current market.
Who Wins and Why
| Outcome | Market | Model | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before 2027 | 84.0% | 83.5% | Netflix has demonstrated a consistent pattern of annual price increases since 2014. |
2. Market Behavior & Price Dynamics
Historical Price (Probability)
3. Significant Price Movements
Notable price changes detected in the chart, along with research into what caused each movement.
📈 February 09, 2026: 10.0pp spike
Price increased from 74.0% to 84.0%
Outcome: Before 2027
📉 February 06, 2026: 11.0pp drop
Price decreased from 78.0% to 67.0%
Outcome: Before 2027
4. Market Data
Contract Snapshot
Based on the provided content, the exact triggers for a YES or NO resolution are not specified. The market concerns a Netflix price increase within the year 2026. No specific dates, deadlines, or special settlement conditions are detailed.
Available Contracts
Market options and current pricing
| Outcome bucket | Yes (price) | No (price) | Implied probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before 2027 | $0.84 | $0.17 | 84% |
Market Discussion
Limited public discussion available for this market.
5. What Information Was Found Regarding This Inquiry?
| Research Status | Error researching question (Internal Server Error) |
|---|---|
| Data Availability | None available |
| Key Findings | No findings due to research error |
6. Why Did Research Fail Due to an Internal Server Error?
| Research Status | Failed (Internal Server Error) |
|---|---|
| Data Availability | None |
| Findings Generated | Zero |
7. Why Was Research Unable to Retrieve Current Information?
| Research Status | Failed (Internal Server Error) |
|---|---|
| Data Availability | None |
| Sources Found | 0 |
8. What Error Occurred During Research Process?
| Error Type | Internal Server Error |
|---|---|
| Research Status | Failed |
| Data Availability | None |
9. What Caused the Research Data Retrieval Failure?
| Research Status | Internal Server Error |
|---|---|
| Data Availability | Not Available |
| Resolution Status | Pending Further Action |
10. What Could Change the Odds
Key Catalysts
Key Dates & Catalysts
- Expiration: January 08, 2027
- Closes: January 01, 2027
11. Decision-Flipping Events
- Trigger: Catalyst analysis not available.
13. Historical Resolutions
Historical Resolutions: 1 markets in this series
Outcomes: 0 resolved YES, 1 resolved NO
Recent resolutions:
- KXNFLXINCREASE-25: NO (Dec 31, 2025)
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