Gold price on Feb 27, 2026 at 5pm EST?
1. Executive Verdict
Who Wins and Why
| Outcome | Market | Model | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| $5160.0 or above | 73.0% | — | Insufficient data |
| $4920.0 or above | 98.0% | — | Insufficient data |
| $5000.0 or above | 94.0% | — | Insufficient data |
| $5200.0 or above | 61.0% | — | Insufficient data |
| $5140.0 or above | 74.0% | — | Insufficient data |
2. Market Data
Available Contracts
Market options and current pricing
| Outcome bucket | Yes (price) | No (price) | Implied probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| $4560.0 or above | $1.00 | $0.02 | 100% |
| $4580.0 or above | $1.00 | $0.04 | 100% |
| $4600.0 or above | $1.00 | $0.05 | 100% |
| $4620.0 or above | $1.00 | $0.05 | 100% |
| $4640.0 or above | $1.00 | $0.04 | 100% |
| $4660.0 or above | $1.00 | $0.04 | 100% |
| $4680.0 or above | $1.00 | $0.05 | 100% |
| $4700.0 or above | $1.00 | $0.04 | 100% |
| $4720.0 or above | $1.00 | $0.04 | 100% |
| $4740.0 or above | $1.00 | $0.05 | 100% |
| $4760.0 or above | $1.00 | $0.05 | 100% |
| $4780.0 or above | $1.00 | $0.05 | 100% |
| $4800.0 or above | $1.00 | $0.04 | 100% |
| $4820.0 or above | $1.00 | $0.06 | 100% |
| $4840.0 or above | $1.00 | $0.06 | 100% |
| $4860.0 or above | $1.00 | $0.06 | 100% |
| $4880.0 or above | $1.00 | $0.05 | 100% |
| $4900.0 or above | $0.99 | $0.05 | 99% |
| $4940.0 or above | $0.99 | $0.04 | 99% |
| $4920.0 or above | $0.98 | $0.03 | 98% |
| $4960.0 or above | $0.98 | $0.10 | 98% |
| $4980.0 or above | $0.96 | $0.08 | 96% |
| $5000.0 or above | $0.94 | $0.12 | 94% |
| $5020.0 or above | $0.92 | $0.14 | 92% |
| $5040.0 or above | $0.90 | $0.17 | 90% |
| $5060.0 or above | $0.87 | $0.18 | 87% |
| $5080.0 or above | $0.86 | $0.19 | 86% |
| $5100.0 or above | $0.80 | $0.21 | 80% |
| $5120.0 or above | $0.77 | $0.28 | 77% |
| $5140.0 or above | $0.74 | $0.29 | 74% |
| $5160.0 or above | $0.73 | $0.30 | 73% |
| $5180.0 or above | $0.67 | $0.39 | 67% |
| $5200.0 or above | $0.61 | $0.45 | 61% |
| $5220.0 or above | $0.54 | $0.47 | 54% |
| $5240.0 or above | $0.47 | $0.60 | 47% |
| $5260.0 or above | $0.45 | $0.61 | 45% |
| $5300.0 or above | $0.33 | $0.73 | 33% |
| $5280.0 or above | $0.32 | $0.73 | 32% |
| $5320.0 or above | $0.27 | $0.81 | 27% |
| $5340.0 or above | $0.23 | $0.83 | 23% |
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