Where will KISS ALL THE TIME. DISCO, OCCASIONALLY. chart on the Apr 18, 2026 Billboard 200?
Short Answer
1. Executive Verdict
- Harry Styles' album debuted at No. 1, retaining the top spot.
- The April 18, 2026 chart reflects the album's second full week.
- Eight distinct physical product offerings support album sales heavily.
- Robust pre-release promotion included an SNL appearance and pop-up shops.
- Snoop Dogg's 'Ten Til Midnight' projects a strong debut this same week.
- No identified production or shipping delays affected physical album stock.
Who Wins and Why
| Outcome | Market | Model | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 90.0% | 71.8% | Market higher by 18.2pp |
| 10 | 5.0% | 0.2% | Market higher by 4.8pp |
| 8 | 9.0% | 0.7% | Market higher by 8.3pp |
| 1 | 1.0% | 7.8% | Model higher by 6.8pp |
| 7 | 15.0% | 5.7% | Market higher by 9.3pp |
2. Market Behavior & Price Dynamics
Historical Price (Probability)
3. Market Data
Contract Snapshot
This market resolves to "Yes" if "KISS ALL THE TIME. DISCO, OCCASIONALLY." is ranked #9 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of April 18, 2026; otherwise, it resolves to "No." The outcome is verified from Billboard's official website. The market will close and expire early if the relevant Billboard chart is released on their official website, or by April 12, 2026, at 11:59 PM EDT if the chart is not released early.
Available Contracts
Market options and current pricing
| Outcome bucket | Yes (price) | No (price) | Last trade probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | $0.90 | $0.13 | 90% |
| 7 | $0.04 | $1.00 | 15% |
| 8 | $0.10 | $0.98 | 9% |
| 5 | $0.06 | $1.00 | 7% |
| 10 | $0.06 | $1.00 | 5% |
| 1 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| 2 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 0% |
| 3 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 0% |
| 4 | $0.06 | $1.00 | 0% |
| 6 | $0.06 | $1.00 | 0% |
Market Discussion
Limited public discussion available for this market.
4. How Many Physical Variants and Bundles for Harry Styles' New Album?
| Total Unique Physical Offerings | 8 unique products [^] |
|---|---|
| Physical Album Variants | 5 distinct editions (Standard CD, Black Vinyl, Cassette, Red Vinyl, Pop-Blue Vinyl) [^], [^], [^] |
| Chart-Eligible Merchandise Bundles | 3 bundles (Ultimate Collectors, Pomodoro Box Set, Photo Tee + CD) [^], [^], [^], [^] |
5. What are the first-week projections for Snoop Dogg's 'Ten Til Midnight' album?
| Album Release Date | April 10, 2026 [^], [^], [^] |
|---|---|
| Projected First-Week Units | 35,000-45,000 units [^] |
| Projected Chart Debut | Top 5 contender [^] |
6. What Were Harry Styles' "Aperture" Pre-Album Release Metrics?
| Peak Daily Spotify Streams | 10.5 million global streams (March 22, 2026) [^] |
|---|---|
| Mediabase Radio Impressions | 78.2 million (by March 15, 2026) [^] |
| Dance Radio Peak Position | #1 during pre-album release period [^] |
7. Were there production delays for "KISS ALL THE TIME. DISCO, OCCASIONALLY" physical stock?
| Production/Shipping Delays | No specific reports found [^] |
|---|---|
| Billboard 200 Debut | No. 1 [^] |
| Weeks at No. 1 | Second week [^] |
8. What Key Promotional Events Supported Harry Styles' Album Release?
| SNL Appearance Date | March 14, 2026 [^] |
|---|---|
| SNL Songs Performed | Dance No More and Coming Up Roses [^] |
| Additional Promotions | Pop-up shops and listening parties [^] |
9. What Could Change the Odds
Key Catalysts
Key Dates & Catalysts
- Expiration: May 02, 2026
- Closes: April 13, 2026
10. Decision-Flipping Events
- Trigger: Catalyst analysis unavailable.
12. Historical Resolutions
No historical resolution data available for this series.
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