How much will US debt increase in 2025?
1. Executive Verdict
Who Wins and Why
| Outcome | Market | Model | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| More than 130% of GDP | 1.0% | — | Insufficient data |
| More than 150% of GDP | 1.0% | — | Insufficient data |
| More than 140% of GDP | 1.0% | — | Insufficient data |
2. Market Data
Available Contracts
Market options and current pricing
| Outcome bucket | Yes (price) | No (price) | Implied probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| More than 130% of GDP | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| More than 140% of GDP | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| More than 150% of GDP | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
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