Will unemployment in Brazil be below 5.4% in Q1 2026?
Yes refers to: Below 5.4%
1. Executive Verdict
Who Wins and Why
| Outcome | Market | Model | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| Below 5.4% | 21.0% | — | Insufficient data |
2. Market Data
Available Contracts
Market options and current pricing
| Outcome bucket | Yes (price) | No (price) | Implied probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Below 5.4% | $0.21 | $0.84 | 21% |
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