Dogecoin price range on Apr 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
Short Answer
1. Executive Verdict
- Major asset managers filed for spot Dogecoin ETFs by Q4 2025.
- Spot Dogecoin ETFs launched by early 2026, increasing institutional demand.
- April 2026 aligns with the projected peak of an altcoin season.
- Crypto market cycle often peaks over a year after Bitcoin halving.
- Dogecoin integration into X Money's April 2026 launch remains unconfirmed.
Who Wins and Why
| Outcome | Market | Model | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| $0.0099999 or below | 2.0% | 0.2% | An unprecedented market downturn or failure of catalysts could lead to prices this low. |
| $0.1 to 0.1049999 | 7.0% | 0.5% | Forthcoming spot DOGE ETFs and an anticipated altcoin season peak are expected to boost prices. |
| $0.085 to 0.0899999 | 21.0% | 7.4% | Anticipated spot DOGE ETFs and the 2026 altcoin season peak are expected to support prices. |
| $0.01 to 0.0149999 | 1.0% | 0.2% | A significant market downturn or altcoin season failure could result in prices within this range. |
| $0.095 to 0.0999999 | 23.0% | 30.5% | Multiple spot DOGE ETF filings by Q4 2025 and an altcoin season peak support higher prices. |
2. Market Behavior & Price Dynamics
Historical Price (Probability)
3. Market Data
Contract Snapshot
For the Dogecoin price range market, a "Yes" resolution is triggered if the 60-second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) is between $0.0950000 and $0.0999999 at 5:00 PM EDT on April 10, 2026. Conversely, a "No" resolution occurs if the price falls outside this specified range at that time. The market closes and resolves on April 10, 2026, at 5:00 PM EDT, with projected payouts by 5:35 PM EDT; settlement is exclusively based on data from CF Benchmarks, not other sources.
Available Contracts
Market options and current pricing
| Outcome bucket | Yes (price) | No (price) | Last trade probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| $0.095 to 0.0999999 | $0.32 | $0.69 | 23% |
| $0.085 to 0.0899999 | $0.19 | $0.86 | 21% |
| $0.09 to 0.0949999 | $0.32 | $0.70 | 20% |
| $0.08 to 0.0849999 | $0.97 | $1.00 | 16% |
| $0.1 to 0.1049999 | $0.16 | $0.91 | 7% |
| $0.0099999 or below | $0.02 | $1.00 | 2% |
| $0.01 to 0.0149999 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $0.015 to 0.0199999 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 0% |
| $0.02 to 0.0249999 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 0% |
| $0.025 to 0.0299999 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 0% |
| $0.03 to 0.0349999 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 0% |
| $0.035 to 0.0399999 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 0% |
| $0.04 to 0.0449999 | $0.97 | $1.00 | 0% |
| $0.045 to 0.0499999 | $0.97 | $1.00 | 0% |
| $0.05 to 0.0549999 | $0.97 | $1.00 | 0% |
| $0.055 to 0.0599999 | $0.97 | $1.00 | 0% |
| $0.06 to 0.0649999 | $0.97 | $1.00 | 0% |
| $0.065 to 0.0699999 | $0.97 | $1.00 | 0% |
| $0.07 to 0.0749999 | $0.97 | $1.00 | 0% |
| $0.075 to 0.0799999 | $0.97 | $1.00 | 0% |
| $0.105 to 0.1099999 | $0.97 | $1.00 | 0% |
| $0.11 to 0.1149999 | $0.97 | $1.00 | 0% |
| $0.115 to 0.1199999 | $0.97 | $1.00 | 0% |
| $0.12 to 0.1249999 | $0.97 | $1.00 | 0% |
| $0.125 to 0.1299999 | $0.97 | $1.00 | 0% |
| $0.13 to 0.1349999 | $0.97 | $1.00 | 0% |
| $0.135 to 0.1399999 | $0.97 | $1.00 | 0% |
| $0.14 to 0.1449999 | $0.97 | $1.00 | 0% |
| $0.145 to 0.1499999 | $0.97 | $1.00 | 0% |
| $0.15 to 0.1549999 | $0.97 | $1.00 | 0% |
| $0.155 to 0.1599999 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 0% |
| $0.16 to 0.1649999 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 0% |
| $0.165 to 0.1699999 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 0% |
| $0.17 to 0.1749999 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 0% |
| $0.175 to 0.1799999 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 0% |
| $0.18 to 0.1849999 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 0% |
| $0.185 to 0.1899999 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 0% |
| $0.19 to 0.1949999 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 0% |
| $0.195 to 0.1999999 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 0% |
| $0.2 to 0.2049999 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 0% |
| $0.205 to 0.2099999 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 0% |
| $0.21 or above | $0.01 | $1.00 | 0% |
Market Discussion
Limited public discussion available for this market.
4. Will Dogecoin Be Integrated Into X Money's April 2026 Launch?
| X Money Public Launch Date | April 2026 [^] |
|---|---|
| Dogecoin Price Rally (High) | 8% [^] |
| Dogecoin Integration Status for Initial Launch | No public confirmation or roadmap [^] |
5. What are Dogecoin address trend forecasts for 2025 vs. 2021 peak?
| Forecast for Non-Zero Balance Addresses (2025 vs 2021 Peak) | Not directly available from research. Glassnode tracks historical data [^]. |
|---|---|
| Forecast for Daily Active Addresses (2025 vs 2021 Peak) | Not directly available from research. Glassnode provides historical data [^], [^]. |
| Recent Dogecoin Active Address Activity | Jumped by 28% [^] and spiked to "record highs" [^]. |
6. Did Major Asset Managers File Spot Dogecoin ETFs by Q4 2025?
| Grayscale Dogecoin ETF Ticker | GDOG (proposed) [^] |
|---|---|
| Bitwise ETF Filing Received | November 26, 2025 (Form 424B3) [^] |
| 21Shares Dogecoin ETF Status | Filings by Q4 2025, launched early 2026 as TDOG [^] |
7. Can Dogecoin Top Wallets Accumulate More Supply by 2026?
| Future Trends for 2025-2026 | Data not available (inherently speculative) [^] |
|---|---|
| Top 100 Wallet Current Holdings | Approximately 68.32% of total supply [^] |
| Nature of Web Research | Provides current and historical data, not future predictions [^] |
8. What is the Significance of April 2026 for Altcoin Season?
| Bitcoin Peak Projection | Late 2025 [^] |
|---|---|
| Altcoin Season Peak Timing | Several months after Bitcoin peak [^] |
| Potential Altcoin Rally | 2026 [^] |
9. What Could Change the Odds
Key Catalysts
Key Dates & Catalysts
- Strike Date: April 10, 2026
- Expiration: April 17, 2026
- Closes: April 10, 2026
10. Decision-Flipping Events
- Trigger: Catalyst analysis unavailable.
12. Historical Resolutions
Historical Resolutions: 20 markets in this series
Outcomes: 0 resolved YES, 20 resolved NO
Recent resolutions:
- KXDOGE-26APR0801-T0.2749999: NO (Apr 08, 2026)
- KXDOGE-26APR0801-T0.0100000: NO (Apr 08, 2026)
- KXDOGE-26APR0801-B0.272: NO (Apr 08, 2026)
- KXDOGE-26APR0801-B0.267: NO (Apr 08, 2026)
- KXDOGE-26APR0801-B0.262: NO (Apr 08, 2026)
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