Which companies will the US take a stake in before 2027?

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The likelihood of the US government acquiring additional equity stakes in companies before 2027 is driven by several bullish catalysts [^] . The ongoing industrial policy, emphasizing strategic investments in critical sectors like semiconductors and critical minerals, is a primary driver ^{[^]}. Programs such as the CHIPS Act and new initiatives like the February 2, 2026 announcement of "Project Vault," a $10 billion Export-Import Bank initiative for critical minerals, highlight this trend ^{[^]}. Historically, severe economic downturns, industry-specific distress, or escalating geopolitical tensions have also prompted government intervention, which could lead to further equity stakes ^{[^]}. Additionally, new legislation or executive orders expanding government funding or authority for strategic investments could accelerate this process ^{[^]}. Conversely, bearish catalysts could reduce the probability of new government stakes ^{[^]}. A significant shift in the political landscape following the November 2026 US Midterm Elections could result in a less interventionist approach, legislative gridlock, or a reversal of current industrial policies ^{[^]}. Negative public or market reactions to existing government stakes, or concerns over politicization of corporate decision-making, might also deter future interventions ^{[^]}. Furthermore, sustained periods of robust economic growth and improved supply chain resilience could diminish the perceived need for direct government ownership ^{[^]}. Lastly, growing fiscal constraints and budgetary pressures may limit the government's capacity and willingness to fund new equity investments ^{[^]}.