UFC 327
Short Answer
1. Executive Verdict
- Jiří Procházka is the clear favorite for the UFC 327 main event.
- Procházka's elite experience and skill make him the favored contender.
- UFC 327's fight card structure changed following a title fight removal.
- The event is scheduled for October 26, 2024, in Miami, Florida.
- A significant market movement occurred on April 09, 2026.
Who Wins and Why
| Outcome | Market | Model | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| yes Mateusz Gamrot,yes Kevin Holland,yes Jiri Prochazka | 19.2% | 10.3% | These fighters are generally favored to win their individual bouts. |
| yes Esteban Ribovics,yes Kevin Holland,yes Carlos Ulberg | 0.0% | 0.5% | Esteban Ribovics and Carlos Ulberg are likely underdogs in their respective matchups. |
| yes Esteban Ribovics,yes Kevin Holland,yes Jiri Prochazka | 0.0% | 0.5% | Esteban Ribovics is likely an underdog in his scheduled fight. |
| yes Esteban Ribovics,yes Randy Brown,yes Jiri Prochazka | 0.0% | 0.5% | Esteban Ribovics and Randy Brown are likely underdogs in their respective matchups. |
| yes Mateusz Gamrot,yes Randy Brown,yes Jiri Prochazka | 0.0% | 0.5% | Randy Brown is likely an underdog in his scheduled fight. |
2. Market Behavior & Price Dynamics
Historical Price (Probability)
3. Significant Price Movements
Notable price changes detected in the chart, along with research into what caused each movement.
📈 April 09, 2026: 19.2pp spike
Price increased from 0.0% to 19.2%
Outcome: yes Mateusz Gamrot,yes Kevin Holland,yes Jiri Prochazka
4. Market Data
Contract Snapshot
This market resolves to "Yes" if "yes Esteban Ribovics, yes Kevin Holland, yes Carlos Ulberg." It resolves to "No" if this condition is not met.
The market opened on April 8, 2026, at 8:46 pm EDT, and both closes and has a projected payout on April 25, 2026, at 7:20 pm EDT. The outcome will be verified from the league governing the game, specifically citing NCAA Football and NFL sources.
Available Contracts
Market options and current pricing
| Outcome bucket | Yes (price) | No (price) | Last trade probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| yes Mateusz Gamrot,yes Kevin Holland,yes Jiri Prochazka | $1.00 | $1.00 | 19% |
| yes Esteban Ribovics,yes Kevin Holland,yes Carlos Ulberg | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0% |
| yes Esteban Ribovics,yes Kevin Holland,yes Jiri Prochazka | $0.00 | $1.00 | 0% |
| yes Esteban Ribovics,yes Randy Brown,yes Jiri Prochazka | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0% |
| yes Mateusz Gamrot,yes Randy Brown,yes Jiri Prochazka | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0% |
Market Discussion
Limited public discussion available for this market.
5. Who is favored in the UFC 327 Procházka vs. Ulberg main event?
| Main Event Bout | Jiří Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg [^] |
|---|---|
| Betting Odds | Jiří Procházka (-275), Carlos Ulberg (+220) [^] |
| Event Date and Location | April 11, 2026, in Miami [^] |
6. What Are the Latest Changes to the UFC 327 Fight Card?
| Flyweight Title Fight Status | Removed from card [^] |
|---|---|
| Van vs. Taira Bout | Cancelled [^] |
| Co-Main Event | Newly confirmed [^] |
7. What Is the Betting Consensus for Prochazka vs. Ulberg at UFC 327?
| Prochazka Favorite Odds | -250 to -350 [^] |
|---|---|
| Ulberg Underdog Odds | +200 to +275 [^] |
| Ulberg Value Play | Potential upset by KO/TKO offers high returns [^] |
8. What Are the Latest Predictions for UFC 327?
| Jirí Procházka Win Probability | 90% (Polymarket) [^] |
|---|---|
| Other Fight Favorite Probability | 92% (Polymarket) [^] |
| Donald Trump Attendance Probability | 39% (Polymarket) [^] |
9. When and Where is UFC 327 Scheduled to Take Place?
| Event Date | Saturday, October 26, 2024 [^] |
|---|---|
| Event Location | Miami, Florida [^] |
| Main Event | Jiri Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight title) [^] |
10. What Could Change the Odds
Key Catalysts
Key Dates & Catalysts
- Expiration: April 25, 2026
- Closes: April 25, 2026
11. Decision-Flipping Events
- Trigger: Catalyst analysis unavailable.
13. Historical Resolutions
Historical Resolutions: 20 markets in this series
Outcomes: 0 resolved YES, 20 resolved NO
Recent resolutions:
- KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026A504D035781-73901B62D55: NO (Apr 09, 2026)
- KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026EB55593BAB3-199A31B44A1: NO (Apr 09, 2026)
- KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20265693EA9FDD5-4A8B3E7703B: NO (Apr 09, 2026)
- KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026B13CB5C11F6-1C2CB731C37: NO (Apr 09, 2026)
- KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S202645972954A11-1F9E6FFC5D4: NO (Apr 09, 2026)
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