1. Executive Verdict

Who Wins and Why

Outcome Market Model Why
$1,790 to 1,829.99 3.0% Insufficient data
$1,910 to 1,949.99 9.0% Insufficient data
$1,990 to 2,029.99 14.0% Insufficient data
$1,670 to 1,709.99 2.0% Insufficient data
$1,950 to 1,989.99 12.0% Insufficient data

2. Market Data

View on Kalshi →

Available Contracts

Market options and current pricing

Outcome bucket Yes (price) No (price) Implied probability
$2,070 to 2,109.99 $0.18 $0.85 18%
$2,030 to 2,069.99 $0.17 $0.87 17%
$2,110 to 2,149.99 $0.15 $0.87 15%
$1,990 to 2,029.99 $0.14 $0.88 14%
$1,950 to 1,989.99 $0.12 $0.92 12%
$2,150 to 2,189.99 $0.12 $0.90 12%
$1,910 to 1,949.99 $0.09 $0.95 9%
$2,190 to 2,229.99 $0.08 $0.94 8%
$2,230 to 2,269.99 $0.06 $0.97 6%
$1,870 to 1,909.99 $0.05 $0.98 5%
$2,270 to 2,309.99 $0.04 $0.99 4%
$1,510 to 1,549.99 $0.03 $1.00 3%
$1,550 to 1,589.99 $0.03 $1.00 3%
$1,750 to 1,789.99 $0.03 $1.00 3%
$1,790 to 1,829.99 $0.03 $1.00 3%
$1,830 to 1,869.99 $0.03 $0.98 3%
$990 to 1,029.99 $0.02 $1.00 2%
$1,030 to 1,069.99 $0.02 $1.00 2%
$1,070 to 1,109.99 $0.02 $1.00 2%
$1,110 to 1,149.99 $0.02 $1.00 2%
$1,150 to 1,189.99 $0.02 $1.00 2%
$1,190 to 1,229.99 $0.02 $1.00 2%
$1,230 to 1,269.99 $0.02 $1.00 2%
$1,270 to 1,309.99 $0.02 $1.00 2%
$1,310 to 1,349.99 $0.02 $1.00 2%
$1,350 to 1,389.99 $0.02 $1.00 2%
$1,390 to 1,429.99 $0.02 $1.00 2%
$1,430 to 1,469.99 $0.02 $1.00 2%
$1,470 to 1,509.99 $0.02 $1.00 2%
$1,590 to 1,629.99 $0.02 $1.00 2%
$1,670 to 1,709.99 $0.02 $1.00 2%
$1,710 to 1,749.99 $0.02 $1.00 2%
$2,310 to 2,349.99 $0.02 $1.00 2%
$2,350 to 2,389.99 $0.02 $1.00 2%
$2,470 to 2,509.99 $0.02 $1.00 2%
$2,510 to 2,549.99 $0.02 $1.00 2%
$2,630 to 2,669.99 $0.02 $1.00 2%
$2,670 to 2,709.99 $0.02 $1.00 2%
$2,710 to 2,749.99 $0.02 $1.00 2%
$2,750 to 2,789.99 $0.02 $1.00 2%
$2,790 to 2,829.99 $0.02 $1.00 2%
$2,830 to 2,869.99 $0.02 $1.00 2%
$2,870 to 2,909.99 $0.02 $1.00 2%
$2,910 or above $0.02 $1.00 2%
$989.99 or below $0.02 $1.00 2%
$1,630 to 1,669.99 $0.01 $1.00 1%
$2,390 to 2,429.99 $0.01 $1.00 1%
$2,430 to 2,469.99 $0.01 $1.00 1%
$2,550 to 2,589.99 $0.01 $1.00 1%
$2,590 to 2,629.99 $0.01 $1.00 1%