Ethereum price on Feb 27, 2026 at 5pm EST?
1. Executive Verdict
Who Wins and Why
| Outcome | Market | Model | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| $2,030 or above | 70.0% | — | Insufficient data |
| $1,870 or above | 1.0% | — | Insufficient data |
| $2,070 or above | 54.0% | — | Insufficient data |
| $1,830 or above | 1.0% | — | Insufficient data |
| $1,790 or above | 1.0% | — | Insufficient data |
2. Market Data
Available Contracts
Market options and current pricing
| Outcome bucket | Yes (price) | No (price) | Implied probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| $1,030 or above | $1.00 | $0.02 | 100% |
| $1,070 or above | $1.00 | $0.02 | 100% |
| $1,110 or above | $1.00 | $0.02 | 100% |
| $1,150 or above | $1.00 | $0.03 | 100% |
| $1,190 or above | $1.00 | $0.03 | 100% |
| $1,230 or above | $1.00 | $0.02 | 100% |
| $1,270 or above | $1.00 | $0.03 | 100% |
| $1,310 or above | $1.00 | $0.03 | 100% |
| $1,350 or above | $1.00 | $0.03 | 100% |
| $1,390 or above | $1.00 | $0.03 | 100% |
| $1,430 or above | $1.00 | $0.02 | 100% |
| $1,470 or above | $1.00 | $0.03 | 100% |
| $1,510 or above | $1.00 | $0.03 | 100% |
| $1,550 or above | $1.00 | $0.02 | 100% |
| $1,590 or above | $1.00 | $0.02 | 100% |
| $1,630 or above | $1.00 | $0.03 | 100% |
| $1,670 or above | $1.00 | $0.02 | 100% |
| $1,790 or above | $1.00 | $0.03 | 100% |
| $1,830 or above | $1.00 | $0.03 | 100% |
| $1,870 or above | $1.00 | $0.04 | 100% |
| $950 or above | $1.00 | $0.03 | 100% |
| $990 or above | $1.00 | $0.03 | 100% |
| $1,710 or above | $0.99 | $0.03 | 99% |
| $1,750 or above | $0.99 | $0.03 | 99% |
| $1,910 or above | $0.97 | $0.06 | 97% |
| $1,950 or above | $0.89 | $0.13 | 89% |
| $1,990 or above | $0.81 | $0.23 | 81% |
| $2,030 or above | $0.70 | $0.34 | 70% |
| $2,070 or above | $0.54 | $0.51 | 54% |
| $2,110 or above | $0.39 | $0.62 | 39% |
| $2,150 or above | $0.27 | $0.76 | 27% |
| $2,190 or above | $0.18 | $0.85 | 18% |
| $2,230 or above | $0.11 | $0.92 | 11% |
| $2,270 or above | $0.07 | $0.96 | 7% |
| $2,310 or above | $0.05 | $0.99 | 5% |
| $2,350 or above | $0.04 | $1.00 | 4% |
| $2,550 or above | $0.04 | $1.00 | 4% |
| $2,390 or above | $0.03 | $1.00 | 3% |
| $2,430 or above | $0.03 | $1.00 | 3% |
| $2,590 or above | $0.03 | $1.00 | 3% |
| $2,630 or above | $0.03 | $1.00 | 3% |
| $2,670 or above | $0.03 | $1.00 | 3% |
| $2,710 or above | $0.03 | $1.00 | 3% |
| $2,750 or above | $0.03 | $1.00 | 3% |
| $2,830 or above | $0.03 | $1.00 | 3% |
| $2,470 or above | $0.02 | $1.00 | 2% |
| $2,510 or above | $0.02 | $1.00 | 2% |
| $2,790 or above | $0.02 | $1.00 | 2% |
| $2,870 or above | $0.02 | $1.00 | 2% |
| $2,910 or above | $0.02 | $1.00 | 2% |
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