1. Executive Verdict

Who Wins and Why

Outcome Market Model Why
$2,080 or above 36.0% — Insufficient data
$2,040 or above 1.0% — Insufficient data
$2,060 or above 97.0% — Insufficient data
$2,100 or above 4.0% — Insufficient data
$2,020 or above 1.0% — Insufficient data

2. Market Data

View on Kalshi →

Available Contracts

Market options and current pricing

Outcome bucket Yes (price) No (price) Implied probability
$1,060 or above $1.00 $0.01 100%
$1,080 or above $1.00 $0.01 100%
$1,100 or above $1.00 $0.01 100%
$1,120 or above $1.00 $0.01 100%
$1,140 or above $1.00 $0.01 100%
$1,160 or above $1.00 $0.01 100%
$1,180 or above $1.00 $0.01 100%
$1,200 or above $1.00 $0.01 100%
$1,220 or above $1.00 $0.01 100%
$1,240 or above $1.00 $0.01 100%
$1,260 or above $1.00 $0.01 100%
$1,280 or above $1.00 $0.01 100%
$1,300 or above $1.00 $0.01 100%
$1,320 or above $1.00 $0.01 100%
$1,340 or above $1.00 $0.01 100%
$1,360 or above $1.00 $0.01 100%
$1,380 or above $1.00 $0.01 100%
$1,400 or above $1.00 $0.01 100%
$1,420 or above $1.00 $0.01 100%
$1,440 or above $1.00 $0.01 100%
$1,460 or above $1.00 $0.01 100%
$1,480 or above $1.00 $0.01 100%
$1,500 or above $1.00 $0.01 100%
$1,520 or above $1.00 $0.01 100%
$1,540 or above $1.00 $0.01 100%
$1,560 or above $1.00 $0.01 100%
$1,580 or above $1.00 $0.01 100%
$1,600 or above $1.00 $0.01 100%
$1,620 or above $1.00 $0.01 100%
$1,640 or above $1.00 $0.01 100%
$1,660 or above $1.00 $0.01 100%
$1,680 or above $1.00 $0.01 100%
$1,700 or above $1.00 $0.01 100%
$1,720 or above $1.00 $0.01 100%
$1,740 or above $1.00 $0.01 100%
$1,760 or above $1.00 $0.01 100%
$1,780 or above $1.00 $0.01 100%
$1,800 or above $1.00 $0.01 100%
$1,820 or above $1.00 $0.01 100%
$1,840 or above $1.00 $0.01 100%
$1,860 or above $1.00 $0.01 100%
$1,880 or above $1.00 $0.01 100%
$1,900 or above $1.00 $0.01 100%
$1,920 or above $1.00 $0.01 100%
$1,940 or above $1.00 $0.02 100%
$1,960 or above $1.00 $0.02 100%
$1,980 or above $1.00 $0.19 100%
$2,000 or above $1.00 $0.08 100%
$2,020 or above $1.00 $0.02 100%
$2,040 or above $1.00 $0.02 100%
$2,060 or above $0.97 $0.06 97%
$2,080 or above $0.36 $0.68 36%
$2,160 or above $0.17 $1.00 17%
$2,140 or above $0.09 $1.00 9%
$2,100 or above $0.04 $0.98 4%
$2,120 or above $0.02 $1.00 2%
$2,180 or above $0.01 $1.00 1%
$2,200 or above $0.01 $1.00 1%
$2,220 or above $0.01 $1.00 1%
$2,240 or above $0.01 $1.00 1%
$2,260 or above $0.01 $1.00 1%
$2,280 or above $0.01 $1.00 1%
$2,300 or above $0.01 $1.00 1%
$2,320 or above $0.01 $1.00 1%
$2,340 or above $0.01 $1.00 1%
$2,360 or above $0.01 $1.00 1%
$2,380 or above $0.01 $1.00 1%
$2,400 or above $0.01 $1.00 1%
$2,420 or above $0.01 $1.00 1%
$2,440 or above $0.01 $1.00 1%
$2,460 or above $0.01 $1.00 1%
$2,480 or above $0.01 $1.00 1%
$2,500 or above $0.01 $1.00 1%
$2,520 or above $0.01 $1.00 1%
$2,540 or above $0.01 $1.00 1%