1. Executive Verdict

Who Wins and Why

Outcome Market Model Why
$67,500 to 67,999.99 8.0% Insufficient data
$68,000 to 68,499.99 9.0% Insufficient data
$64,000 to 64,499.99 2.0% Insufficient data
$66,000 to 66,499.99 5.0% Insufficient data
$70,000 to 70,499.99 9.0% Insufficient data

2. Market Data

View on Kalshi →

Available Contracts

Market options and current pricing

Outcome bucket Yes (price) No (price) Implied probability
$69,000 to 69,499.99 $0.11 $0.92 11%
$68,000 to 68,499.99 $0.09 $0.94 9%
$68,500 to 68,999.99 $0.09 $0.92 9%
$69,500 to 69,999.99 $0.09 $0.93 9%
$70,000 to 70,499.99 $0.09 $0.93 9%
$67,500 to 67,999.99 $0.08 $0.94 8%
$70,500 to 70,999.99 $0.08 $0.94 8%
$71,000 to 71,499.99 $0.07 $0.95 7%
$66,500 to 66,999.99 $0.06 $0.96 6%
$67,000 to 67,499.99 $0.06 $0.96 6%
$71,500 to 71,999.99 $0.06 $0.95 6%
$66,000 to 66,499.99 $0.05 $0.97 5%
$72,000 to 72,499.99 $0.05 $0.96 5%
$72,500 to 72,999.99 $0.04 $0.97 4%
$63,000 to 63,499.99 $0.03 $0.98 3%
$63,500 to 63,999.99 $0.03 $1.00 3%
$64,500 to 64,999.99 $0.03 $0.99 3%
$65,000 to 65,499.99 $0.03 $0.99 3%
$65,500 to 65,999.99 $0.03 $0.98 3%
$73,000 to 73,499.99 $0.03 $0.98 3%
$55,999.99 or below $0.03 $0.98 3%
$56,000 to 56,499.99 $0.02 $1.00 2%
$56,500 to 56,999.99 $0.02 $1.00 2%
$59,000 to 59,499.99 $0.02 $1.00 2%
$61,500 to 61,999.99 $0.02 $1.00 2%
$62,000 to 62,499.99 $0.02 $1.00 2%
$62,500 to 62,999.99 $0.02 $1.00 2%
$64,000 to 64,499.99 $0.02 $1.00 2%
$57,000 to 57,499.99 $0.01 $1.00 1%
$57,500 to 57,999.99 $0.01 $1.00 1%
$58,000 to 58,499.99 $0.01 $1.00 1%
$58,500 to 58,999.99 $0.01 $1.00 1%
$59,500 to 59,999.99 $0.01 $1.00 1%
$60,000 to 60,499.99 $0.01 $1.00 1%
$60,500 to 60,999.99 $0.01 $1.00 1%
$61,000 to 61,499.99 $0.01 $1.00 1%
$73,500 to 73,999.99 $0.01 $1.00 1%
$74,000 to 74,499.99 $0.01 $1.00 1%
$74,500 to 74,999.99 $0.01 $1.00 1%
$75,000 to 75,499.99 $0.01 $1.00 1%
$75,500 to 75,999.99 $0.01 $1.00 1%
$76,000 to 76,499.99 $0.01 $1.00 1%
$76,500 to 76,999.99 $0.01 $1.00 1%
$77,000 to 77,499.99 $0.01 $1.00 1%
$77,500 to 77,999.99 $0.01 $1.00 1%
$78,000 to 78,499.99 $0.01 $1.00 1%
$78,500 to 78,999.99 $0.01 $1.00 1%
$79,000 to 79,499.99 $0.01 $1.00 1%
$79,500 to 79,999.99 $0.01 $1.00 1%
$80,000 or above $0.01 $1.00 1%