Bitcoin price range on Feb 25, 2026 at 5pm EST?
1. Executive Verdict
Who Wins and Why
| Outcome | Market | Model | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| $65,500 to 65,999.99 | 3.0% | — | Insufficient data |
| $67,000 to 67,499.99 | 2.0% | — | Insufficient data |
| $66,500 to 66,999.99 | 4.0% | — | Insufficient data |
| $67,500 to 67,999.99 | 4.0% | — | Insufficient data |
| $68,500 to 68,999.99 | 18.0% | — | Insufficient data |
2. Market Data
Available Contracts
Market options and current pricing
| Outcome bucket | Yes (price) | No (price) | Implied probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| $69,000 to 69,499.99 | $0.23 | $0.79 | 23% |
| $69,500 to 69,999.99 | $0.22 | $0.79 | 22% |
| $68,500 to 68,999.99 | $0.18 | $0.84 | 18% |
| $70,000 to 70,499.99 | $0.15 | $0.87 | 15% |
| $68,000 to 68,499.99 | $0.10 | $0.93 | 10% |
| $70,500 to 70,999.99 | $0.08 | $0.94 | 8% |
| $61,000 to 61,499.99 | $0.04 | $1.00 | 4% |
| $62,000 to 62,499.99 | $0.04 | $1.00 | 4% |
| $64,000 to 64,499.99 | $0.04 | $1.00 | 4% |
| $64,500 to 64,999.99 | $0.04 | $1.00 | 4% |
| $65,000 to 65,499.99 | $0.04 | $1.00 | 4% |
| $66,500 to 66,999.99 | $0.04 | $1.00 | 4% |
| $67,500 to 67,999.99 | $0.04 | $0.98 | 4% |
| $71,000 to 71,499.99 | $0.04 | $0.97 | 4% |
| $63,000 to 63,499.99 | $0.03 | $1.00 | 3% |
| $63,500 to 63,999.99 | $0.03 | $1.00 | 3% |
| $65,500 to 65,999.99 | $0.03 | $1.00 | 3% |
| $55,500 to 55,999.99 | $0.02 | $1.00 | 2% |
| $56,000 to 56,499.99 | $0.02 | $1.00 | 2% |
| $57,000 to 57,499.99 | $0.02 | $1.00 | 2% |
| $58,000 to 58,499.99 | $0.02 | $1.00 | 2% |
| $58,500 to 58,999.99 | $0.02 | $1.00 | 2% |
| $59,500 to 59,999.99 | $0.02 | $1.00 | 2% |
| $60,000 to 60,499.99 | $0.02 | $1.00 | 2% |
| $61,500 to 61,999.99 | $0.02 | $1.00 | 2% |
| $66,000 to 66,499.99 | $0.02 | $1.00 | 2% |
| $67,000 to 67,499.99 | $0.02 | $0.99 | 2% |
| $71,500 to 71,999.99 | $0.02 | $0.99 | 2% |
| $72,000 to 72,499.99 | $0.02 | $1.00 | 2% |
| $72,500 or above | $0.02 | $1.00 | 2% |
| $53,500 to 53,999.99 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $54,000 to 54,499.99 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $54,500 to 54,999.99 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $55,000 to 55,499.99 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $56,500 to 56,999.99 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $57,500 to 57,999.99 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $59,000 to 59,499.99 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $60,500 to 60,999.99 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $62,500 to 62,999.99 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $53,499.99 or below | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
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