Bitcoin price range on Feb 25, 2026 at 2pm EST?
1. Executive Verdict
Who Wins and Why
| Outcome | Market | Model | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| $68,500 to 68,749.99 | 3.0% | — | Insufficient data |
| $68,250 to 68,499.99 | 1.0% | — | Insufficient data |
| $69,000 to 69,249.99 | 18.0% | — | Insufficient data |
| $69,500 to 69,749.99 | 28.0% | — | Insufficient data |
| $68,750 to 68,999.99 | 6.0% | — | Insufficient data |
2. Market Data
Available Contracts
Market options and current pricing
| Outcome bucket | Yes (price) | No (price) | Implied probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| $69,250 to 69,499.99 | $0.31 | $0.71 | 31% |
| $69,500 to 69,749.99 | $0.28 | $0.73 | 28% |
| $69,000 to 69,249.99 | $0.18 | $0.84 | 18% |
| $69,750 to 69,999.99 | $0.16 | $0.87 | 16% |
| $68,750 to 68,999.99 | $0.06 | $0.96 | 6% |
| $70,000 to 70,249.99 | $0.06 | $0.96 | 6% |
| $68,500 to 68,749.99 | $0.03 | $0.98 | 3% |
| $70,250 to 70,499.99 | $0.03 | $0.98 | 3% |
| $66,750 to 66,999.99 | $0.02 | $1.00 | 2% |
| $67,000 to 67,249.99 | $0.02 | $1.00 | 2% |
| $67,250 to 67,499.99 | $0.02 | $1.00 | 2% |
| $67,500 to 67,749.99 | $0.02 | $1.00 | 2% |
| $54,000 to 54,249.99 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $54,250 to 54,499.99 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $54,500 to 54,749.99 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $54,750 to 54,999.99 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $55,000 to 55,249.99 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $55,250 to 55,499.99 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $55,500 to 55,749.99 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $55,750 to 55,999.99 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $56,000 to 56,249.99 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $56,250 to 56,499.99 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $56,500 to 56,749.99 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $56,750 to 56,999.99 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $57,000 to 57,249.99 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $57,250 to 57,499.99 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $57,500 to 57,749.99 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $57,750 to 57,999.99 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $58,000 to 58,249.99 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $58,250 to 58,499.99 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $58,500 to 58,749.99 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $58,750 to 58,999.99 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $59,000 to 59,249.99 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $59,250 to 59,499.99 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $59,500 to 59,749.99 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $59,750 to 59,999.99 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $60,000 to 60,249.99 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $60,250 to 60,499.99 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $60,500 to 60,749.99 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $60,750 to 60,999.99 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $61,000 to 61,249.99 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $61,250 to 61,499.99 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $61,500 to 61,749.99 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $61,750 to 61,999.99 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $62,000 to 62,249.99 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $62,250 to 62,499.99 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $62,500 to 62,749.99 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $62,750 to 62,999.99 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $63,000 to 63,249.99 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $63,250 to 63,499.99 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $63,500 to 63,749.99 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $63,750 to 63,999.99 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $64,000 to 64,249.99 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $64,250 to 64,499.99 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $64,500 to 64,749.99 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $64,750 to 64,999.99 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $65,000 to 65,249.99 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $65,250 to 65,499.99 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $65,500 to 65,749.99 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $65,750 to 65,999.99 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $66,000 to 66,249.99 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $66,250 to 66,499.99 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $66,500 to 66,749.99 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $67,750 to 67,999.99 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $68,000 to 68,249.99 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $68,250 to 68,499.99 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $70,500 to 70,749.99 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $70,750 to 70,999.99 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $71,000 to 71,249.99 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $71,250 to 71,499.99 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $71,500 to 71,749.99 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $71,750 to 71,999.99 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $72,000 to 72,249.99 | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $53,999.99 or below | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| $72,250 or above | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
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