1. Executive Verdict

Who Wins and Why

Outcome Market Model Why
$68,000 or above 72.0% Insufficient data
$64,500 or above 97.0% Insufficient data
$67,500 or above 79.0% Insufficient data
$65,000 or above 92.0% Insufficient data
$64,000 or above 95.0% Insufficient data

2. Market Data

View on Kalshi →

Available Contracts

Market options and current pricing

Outcome bucket Yes (price) No (price) Implied probability
$55,500 or above $0.99 $0.03 99%
$59,000 or above $0.99 $0.03 99%
$56,000 or above $0.98 $0.04 98%
$56,500 or above $0.98 $0.04 98%
$57,000 or above $0.98 $0.04 98%
$57,500 or above $0.98 $0.03 98%
$58,000 or above $0.98 $0.03 98%
$58,500 or above $0.98 $0.03 98%
$59,500 or above $0.98 $0.04 98%
$60,000 or above $0.98 $0.04 98%
$61,000 or above $0.98 $0.04 98%
$61,500 or above $0.98 $0.03 98%
$62,000 or above $0.98 $0.04 98%
$60,500 or above $0.97 $0.04 97%
$62,500 or above $0.97 $0.04 97%
$63,000 or above $0.97 $0.04 97%
$64,500 or above $0.97 $0.06 97%
$63,500 or above $0.96 $0.05 96%
$64,000 or above $0.95 $0.06 95%
$65,500 or above $0.93 $0.10 93%
$65,000 or above $0.92 $0.09 92%
$66,000 or above $0.90 $0.11 90%
$66,500 or above $0.87 $0.16 87%
$67,000 or above $0.83 $0.19 83%
$67,500 or above $0.79 $0.24 79%
$68,000 or above $0.72 $0.29 72%
$68,500 or above $0.68 $0.35 68%
$69,000 or above $0.59 $0.43 59%
$69,500 or above $0.54 $0.48 54%
$70,000 or above $0.44 $0.57 44%
$70,500 or above $0.39 $0.64 39%
$71,000 or above $0.32 $0.70 32%
$71,500 or above $0.26 $0.75 26%
$72,000 or above $0.22 $0.81 22%
$72,500 or above $0.18 $0.85 18%
$73,000 or above $0.14 $0.89 14%
$73,500 or above $0.10 $0.92 10%
$74,000 or above $0.09 $0.94 9%
$74,500 or above $0.08 $0.96 8%
$75,500 or above $0.05 $0.98 5%
$75,000 or above $0.04 $0.97 4%
$76,500 or above $0.04 $0.99 4%
$77,000 or above $0.04 $0.99 4%
$77,500 or above $0.03 $1.00 3%
$78,500 or above $0.03 $1.00 3%
$76,000 or above $0.02 $0.99 2%
$78,000 or above $0.02 $1.00 2%
$79,000 or above $0.02 $1.00 2%
$79,500 or above $0.02 $1.00 2%
$80,000 or above $0.02 $0.99 2%