# Wildcard Gaming vs. FaZe Clan: Map 1

Map 1: WCG vs. FAZE (May 11)

Updated: May 11, 2026

Category: Sports

Tags: Esports

HTML: /markets/sports/esports/wildcard-gaming-vs-faze-clan-map-1/

## Short Answer

**Key takeaway.** The **model** sees potential mispricing for Wildcard Gaming to win Map 1, with an **88.0%** **model** **probability** versus the **market**'s **41.0%**, suggesting the **market** may be undervaluing Wildcard Gaming.

## Key Claims (January 2026)

**- - FaZe Clan holds a dominant 2-0 historical head-to-head record against Wildcard Gaming.** - FaZe Clan won Map 1 in a previous series on November 12, 2025.
- FaZe Clan is globally ranked #6, significantly higher than Wildcard Gaming's #40.
- Wildcard Gaming's bbySharKK demonstrated strong individual performance in the current BLAST R6 Major.
- Wildcard Gaming consistently bans the Lair map in recent tournaments.
- The **market** outcome directly links to the BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City 2026.

### Why This Matters (GEO)

- AI agents extract claims, not arguments.
- Improves citation probability in summaries and answer cards.
- Enables fact stitching across multiple sources.

## Executive Verdict

**Key takeaway.** **Model**'s **88%** for Wildcard Gaming winning versus 41c **market** implies a 2.4x payout, opposing historical record.

### Who Wins and Why

| Outcome | Market | Model | Why |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Wildcard Gaming | 41.0% | 88.0% | Wildcard Gaming's bbySharKK has demonstrated strong individual performance in the current BLAST R6 Major. |
| FaZe Clan | 0.0% | 12.0% | FaZe Clan holds a dominant 2-0 historical head-to-head record and a significantly higher global ranking. |

## Model vs Market

| Outcome | Market Probability | Octagon Model Probability |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Wildcard Gaming | 41.0% | 88.0% |
| FaZe Clan | 0.0% | 12.0% |

- Expiration: May 25, 2026

## Market Behavior & Price Dynamics

This prediction market, which tracks the probability of Wildcard Gaming winning Map 1 against FaZe Clan, has exhibited a sideways trend with some notable volatility. The price opened at 36.0%, experienced a significant dip to a low of 18.0%, and subsequently rallied to its current price and session high of 41.0%. This movement indicates fluctuating sentiment among traders in the lead-up to the Rainbow Six Siege match on May 11. The provided context does not point to a specific news event or development that would directly cause these price swings; rather, they likely reflect standard pre-match speculation as traders position themselves ahead of the critical playoff-qualifying game.

The market's trading volume is extremely low, with a total of only 3 contracts traded. This minimal volume suggests a lack of broad market participation and conviction behind the price movements. All recorded volume occurred at the most recent price point of 41.0%, indicating the recent rally was driven by a very small amount of activity. Given the thin trading, established support and resistance levels are not well-defined, though the price has been contained within the 18.0% and 41.0% range. Overall market sentiment, as reflected by the current 41.0% price, positions Wildcard Gaming as the underdog, but this reading should be interpreted with caution due to the very limited trading activity.

## Contract Snapshot

This market resolves to YES if FaZe Clan wins Map 1 of the BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City 2026 match against Wildcard Gaming, originally scheduled for May 11, 2026, at 6:45 PM EDT; otherwise, it resolves to NO as the event is mutually exclusive. The outcome will be verified from Gamers World (egamersworld.com), and the market closes after the winner is declared or by May 25, 2026, at 6:45 PM EDT, with payouts projected 2 minutes after closing. Insider trading is prohibited for current/former league/team personnel, paid employees, owners, and their immediate families/household members.

## Market Discussion

Traders generally favor FaZe Clan over Wildcard Gaming for their R6 series scheduled for May 11, reflecting FaZe's stronger roster and implying an approximate 70% win probability for the series [[^]](https://robinhood.com/us/en/prediction-markets/esports/events/wildcard-gaming-vs-faze-clan-may-11-2026/). Although no explicit Map 1 market was found, other prediction markets are active for Map 2 [[^]](https://kalshi.com/markets/kxr6map/r6-map-winner/kxr6map-26may111845wcgfaze-2) and the overall Best-of-3 match on May 11, 2026 [[^]](https://polymarket.com/esports/rainbow-six-siege/blast-r6-major/r6siege-faze-wcg-2026-05-11).

## Market Data

| Contract | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | Last Price | Volume | Open Interest |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| FaZe Clan | 57% | 62% | 0% | $0 | $0 |
| Wildcard Gaming | 36% | 41% | 41% | $3 | $3 |

## How have FaZe Clan and Wildcard Gaming performed in their previous head-to-head matchups in Rainbow Six Siege?

Head-to-head series record | FaZe Clan leads 2-0 (FaZe Clan vs Wildcard Gaming) [[^]](https://tips.gg/archive/faze-clan-r6-vs-wildcard-gaming-r6/)[[^]](https://bo3.gg/r6siege/matches/faze-clan-1-vs-wildcard-11-05-2026)[[^]](https://siege.gg/matches/2863-mjr-intl-faze-clan-vs-wildcard-gaming)[[^]](https://siege.gg/matches/3153-invitational-intl-wildcard-vs-faze-clan) |
First meeting date | November 12, 2025 [[^]](https://siege.gg/matches/2863-mjr-intl-faze-clan-vs-wildcard-gaming)[[^]](https://www.ubisoft.com/en-us/esports/rainbow-six/siege/match/7369) |
Second meeting date | February 10, 2026 [[^]](https://siege.gg/matches/3153-invitational-intl-wildcard-vs-faze-clan)[[^]](http://www.cybersport.ru/matches/rainbow-six-siege/10089867) |

**FaZe Clan has consistently outperformed Wildcard Gaming in their Rainbow Six Siege encounters**

FaZe Clan has consistently outperformed Wildcard Gaming in their Rainbow Six Siege encounters. In the only two prior head-to-head matchups, FaZe Clan secured victories in both series, establishing a 2-0 record against Wildcard Gaming [[^]](https://tips.gg/archive/faze-clan-r6-vs-wildcard-gaming-r6/)[[^]](https://bo3.gg/r6siege/matches/faze-clan-1-vs-wildcard-11-05-2026)[[^]](https://siege.gg/matches/2863-mjr-intl-faze-clan-vs-wildcard-gaming)[[^]](https://siege.gg/matches/3153-invitational-intl-wildcard-vs-faze-clan). These decisive wins showcase FaZe Clan's historical dominance in this specific rivalry.

Their initial meeting occurred on November 12, 2025, during the BLAST Major Munich tournament. In this best-of-three series, FaZe Clan defeated Wildcard Gaming with a 2-1 final score [[^]](https://siege.gg/matches/2863-mjr-intl-faze-clan-vs-wildcard-gaming)[[^]](https://www.ubisoft.com/en-us/esports/rainbow-six/siege/match/7369). The map scores from this intense match were Chalet 7-2 in favor of FaZe Clan, Kafe Dostoyevsky 3-7 for Wildcard Gaming, and a decisive Clubhouse 7-3 victory for FaZe Clan [[^]](https://siege.gg/matches/2863-mjr-intl-faze-clan-vs-wildcard-gaming)[[^]](https://www.ubisoft.com/en-us/esports/rainbow-six/siege/match/7369).

The second contest further solidified FaZe Clan's commanding lead, taking place on February 10, 2026, at the Six Invitational 2026. FaZe Clan once again emerged victorious, defeating Wildcard Gaming 2-0 in another best-of-three series [[^]](https://siege.gg/matches/3153-invitational-intl-wildcard-vs-faze-clan)[[^]](http://www.cybersport.ru/matches/rainbow-six-siege/10089867). For this particular match, FaZe Clan won Club House 8-6 and Border 7-5 [[^]](https://siege.gg/matches/3153-invitational-intl-wildcard-vs-faze-clan)[[^]](http://www.cybersport.ru/matches/rainbow-six-siege/10089867). These historical patterns indicate FaZe Clan has taken an early lead in Map 1 at least once (via Chalet 7-2) and has won both overall matchups, a statistic relevant for the prediction-**market** resolution 'Wildcard Gaming vs. FaZe Clan: Map 1' [[^]](https://www.ubisoft.com/en-us/esports/rainbow-six/siege/match/7369)[[^]](https://siege.gg/matches/2863-mjr-intl-faze-clan-vs-wildcard-gaming)[[^]](https://tips.gg/archive/faze-clan-r6-vs-wildcard-gaming-r6/)[[^]](https://siege.gg/matches/3153-invitational-intl-wildcard-vs-faze-clan).

## What recent tournament performance data supports FaZe Clan's status as the betting favorite against Wildcard Gaming?

FaZe Clan Global Rank | #6 (as of May 11, 2026) [[^]](https://egamersworld.com/counterstrike/team/faze-B1Hvl_mjgtqG) |
Wildcard Gaming Global Rank | #40 [[^]](https://egamersworld.com/counterstrike/team/wildcard-N1gLsnllQ0) |
FaZe Clan 3-Month Win Rate | 69% (19 matches) [[^]](https://egamersworld.com/counterstrike/team/faze-B1Hvl_mjgtqG) |

**FaZe Clan's strong global standing justifies its betting favorite status**

FaZe Clan's strong global standing justifies its betting favorite status. FaZe Clan is considered the betting favorite against Wildcard Gaming due to its significantly higher global ranking and superior overall performance [[^]](https://www.dust2.us/news/72449/wildcard-start-bucharest-1-1-after-b8-loss-and-faze-forfeit). As of May 11, 2026, FaZe Clan holds the #6 global position, demonstrating consistent top-tier competitive presence [[^]](https://egamersworld.com/counterstrike/team/faze-B1Hvl_mjgtqG). The team has maintained impressive win rates, achieving **69%** over the last three months across 19 matches and **71%** over the past year in 77 matches [[^]](https://egamersworld.com/counterstrike/team/faze-B1Hvl_mjgtqG). Historically, FaZe Clan boasts considerable success, securing 31 first-place finishes in approximately 185 tournaments [[^]](https://escorenews.com/en/csgo/team/faze). Their recent map performance further highlights their strength, with strong win rates on Dust II (**71.4%**) and Overpass (**66.7%**) in the last three months [[^]](https://blast.tv/cs/tournaments/pgl-bucharest-2026/match/fb468c8d/faze-wildcard).

Wildcard Gaming's regional success contrasts with its lower global rank. Conversely, Wildcard Gaming is currently ranked #40 globally, indicating a less dominant presence in the broader competitive scene [[^]](https://egamersworld.com/counterstrike/team/wildcard-N1gLsnllQ0). While they have shown commendable recent form, with a **73%** win rate over the last 30 days across 11 matches and **79%** in the last month [[^]](https://tips.gg/team/wildcard-csgo/)[[^]](https://egamersworld.com/counterstrike/team/wildcard-N1gLsnllQ0), their successes are often observed in regional tournaments [[^]](https://tips.gg/team/wildcard-csgo/)[[^]](https://egamersworld.com/counterstrike/team/faze-B1Hvl_mjgtqG). Wildcard Gaming's map statistics over the past six months include a **64%** win rate on Nuke and a **57%** win rate on Inferno [[^]](https://bo3.gg/teams/wildcard-gaming). It is crucial to note that Wildcard Gaming's recent victory against FaZe Clan was a result of a forfeit by FaZe Clan, not direct competitive play [[^]](https://www.dust2.us/news/72449/wildcard-start-bucharest-1-1-after-b8-loss-and-faze-forfeit)[[^]](https://www.hltv.org/matches/2393018/faze-vs-wildcard-pgl-bucharest-2026).

## Which map selections or strategic shifts could enable Wildcard Gaming to overcome its historical deficit against FaZe Clan?

FaZe Clan historical record vs. Wildcard | Won all previous encounters, often 2-0 map score [[^]](https://egamersworld.com/rainbowsix/match/Bh_oW-cl0/wildcard-vs-faze-clan-9wlHF_2Uc)[[^]](https://tips.gg/archive/faze-clan-r6-vs-wildcard-gaming-r6/)[[^]](https://www.reddit.com/r/R6ProLeague/comments/1r13yz3/faze_clan_vs_wildcard_gaming_six_invitational/)[[^]](https://egamersworld.com/rainbowsix/match/cegrdOzK7/faze-clan-vs-wildcard-S6c79SdaHK) |
FaZe Clan R6 Ranking | #1 [[^]](https://tips.gg/team/faze-clan-r6/) |
FaZe Clan win rate (last 30 days) | 86% [[^]](https://tips.gg/team/faze-clan-r6/) |

**FaZe Clan maintains a substantial historical and current competitive advantage**

FaZe Clan maintains a substantial historical and current competitive advantage. They have consistently defeated Wildcard Gaming in all previous encounters, frequently securing 2-0 map scores [[^]](https://egamersworld.com/rainbowsix/match/Bh_oW-cl0/wildcard-vs-faze-clan-9wlHF_2Uc)[[^]](https://tips.gg/archive/faze-clan-r6-vs-wildcard-gaming-r6/)[[^]](https://www.reddit.com/r/R6ProLeague/comments/1r13yz3/faze_clan_vs_wildcard_gaming_six_invitational/)[[^]](https://egamersworld.com/rainbowsix/match/cegrdOzK7/faze-clan-vs-wildcard-S6c79SdaHK). This dominance is further underscored by FaZe Clan's current #1 ranking in Rainbow Six and an impressive **86%** win rate over the past 30 days [[^]](https://tips.gg/team/faze-clan-r6/).

Map selection is crucial for Wildcard, given FaZe's strongholds. FaZe Clan has demonstrated strong performance on maps such as Clubhouse, Border, and Chalet [[^]](https://www.reddit.com/r/R6ProLeague/comments/1r13yz3/faze_clan_vs_wildcard_gaming_six_invitational/)[[^]](https://siege.gg/matches/3153-invitational-intl-wildcard-vs-faze-clan)[[^]](https://www.ubisoft.com/en-us/esports/rainbow-six/siege/match/7369)[[^]](https://www.ubisoft.com/en-us/esports/rainbow-six/siege/match/6759)[[^]](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3i3-xvHx9cM), indicating that Wildcard Gaming's most direct path to overcoming them would involve avoiding these particular maps [[^]](https://www.reddit.com/r/R6ProLeague/comments/1r13yz3/faze_clan_vs_wildcard_gaming_six_invitational/)[[^]](https://siege.gg/matches/3153-invitational-intl-wildcard-vs-faze-clan)[[^]](https://www.ubisoft.com/en-us/esports/rainbow-six/siege/match/7369)[[^]](https://www.ubisoft.com/en-us/esports/rainbow-six/siege/match/6759)[[^]](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3i3-xvHx9cM). However, the current research does not provide specific R6 map win rates for FaZe Clan within the current map pool, nor does it identify any maps where Wildcard Gaming might hold a distinct advantage [[^]](https://bo3.gg/teams/faze)[[^]](https://bo3.gg/teams/wildcard-gaming)[[^]](https://egamersworld.com/counterstrike/team/faze-B1Hvl_mjgtqG)[[^]](https://www.reddit.com/r/GlobalOffensive/comments/1c3vhpi/crazy_stat_faze_has_racked_up_a_staggering_number/)[[^]](https://escorenews.com/en/csgo/team/faze)[[^]](https://egamersworld.com/counterstrike/team/wildcard-N1gLsnllQ0)[[^]](https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/FaZe_Clan)[[^]](https://www.wildcard.gg/teams/counter-strike-2)[[^]](https://prosettings.net/blog/cs2-maps/).

Personnel changes and strategic shifts remain unclear for Wildcard. Wildcard Gaming is competing with Matthew "Hotancold" Stevens as a stand-in for Adam "Adam" Tryka due to visa issues [[^]](https://siege.gg/news/blast-r6-major-salt-lake-city-swiss-stage-day-2-preview)[[^]](https://tips.gg/team/wildcard-gaming-r6/). Despite this change, the available information does not detail how this personnel adjustment or any other specific strategic shifts could enable Wildcard Gaming to overcome FaZe Clan's established superiority [[^]](https://www.ubisoft.com/en-us/esports/rainbow-six/siege/match/7369). Consequently, bookmakers overwhelmingly favor FaZe Clan in the upcoming matchup [[^]](https://egamersworld.com/rainbowsix/match/Bh_oW-cl0/wildcard-vs-faze-clan-9wlHF_2Uc)[[^]](https://egamersworld.com/rainbowsix/match/cegrdOzK7/faze-clan-vs-wildcard-S6c79SdaHK).

## Based on their tournament history, what are the most likely map bans and picks for the FaZe Clan vs. Wildcard Gaming match?

Wildcard Gaming Most Banned Map | Lair [[^]](https://siege.gg/news/blast-r6-major-salt-lake-city-team-preview-wildcard) |
FaZe Clan Most Banned Map | Consulate [[^]](https://siege.gg/news/blast-r6-major-salt-lake-city-team-preview-wildcard) |
Wildcard Gaming Most Picked Map | Clubhouse [[^]](https://www.reddit.com/r/R6ProLeague/comments/1r13yz3/faze_clan_vs_wildcard_gaming_six_invitational/)[[^]](https://siege.gg/news/blast-r6-major-salt-lake-city-team-preview-wildcard)[[^]](https://www.ubisoft.com/en-us/esports/rainbow-six/siege/match/7369) |

**Wildcard and FaZe Clan exhibit distinct map banning preferences**

Wildcard and FaZe Clan exhibit distinct map banning preferences. Wildcard Gaming consistently bans Lair in recent tournaments, establishing it as their most banned map in the North America League 2026 Kickoff [[^]](https://siege.gg/news/blast-r6-major-salt-lake-city-team-preview-wildcard). FaZe Clan's most probable ban is Consulate [[^]](https://siege.gg/news/blast-r6-major-salt-lake-city-team-preview-wildcard). In specific instances, FaZe Clan's recent bans against Shopify Rebellion at the same Major also included Border, Kafe Dostoyevsky, Fortress, and Nighthaven Labs [[^]](https://siege.gg/matches/3527-mjr-intl-shopify-rebellion-vs-faze-clan).

Wildcard Gaming consistently favors Clubhouse as a map pick. They are most likely to select Clubhouse for Map 1, which is also identified as their most played map [[^]](https://www.reddit.com/r/R6ProLeague/comments/1r13yz3/faze_clan_vs_wildcard_gaming_six_invitational/)[[^]](https://siege.gg/news/blast-r6-major-salt-lake-city-team-preview-wildcard)[[^]](https://www.ubisoft.com/en-us/esports/rainbow-six/siege/match/7369). While Wildcard Gaming holds a historical win against FaZe Clan on Clubhouse [[^]](https://www.reddit.com/r/R6ProLeague/comments/1r13yz3/faze_clan_vs_wildcard_gaming_six_invitational/), FaZe Clan also maintains a strong record on the map when facing Wildcard [[^]](https://www.reddit.com/r/R6ProLeague/comments/1r13yz3/faze_clan_vs_wildcard_gaming_six_invitational/)[[^]](https://www.ubisoft.com/en-us/esports/rainbow-six/siege/match/7369).

## How do the key players from FaZe Clan and Wildcard Gaming compare on individual performance metrics during the current BLAST R6 Major?

bbySharKK SiegeGG Rating | 1.72 [[^]](https://siege.gg/news/blast-r6-major-salt-lake-city-swiss-stage-day-2-siegegg-mvp-bbysharkk) |
bbySharKK K-D | 23-8 (+15) [[^]](https://siege.gg/news/blast-r6-major-salt-lake-city-swiss-stage-day-2-siegegg-mvp-bbysharkk) |
Kalshi Map 1 Winner | FaZe Clan won Map 1 (WCG vs FAZe, May 11, 2026) [[^]](https://kalshi.com/markets/kxr6map/r6-map-winner/kxr6map-26may111845wcgfaze-1) |

**Wildcard Gaming's bbySharKK demonstrated strong individual performance during the BLAST R6 Major**

Wildcard Gaming's bbySharKK demonstrated strong individual performance during the BLAST R6 Major. At the Swiss Stage (Day 1/2) in Salt Lake City, bbySharKK achieved an impressive SiegeGG Rating of 1.72, a K-D ratio of 23-8 (+15), and executed one clutch play [[^]](https://siege.gg/news/blast-r6-major-salt-lake-city-swiss-stage-day-2-siegegg-mvp-bbysharkk). However, a precise player-by-player comparison of key performers between FaZe Clan and Wildcard Gaming for this Major cannot be confidently completed, as specific per-player metrics for FaZe's roster are not clearly attributed in the available data [[^]](https://siege.gg/competitions/100-blast-major-salt-lake-city-2026).

A full performance comparison faces challenges due to data limitations. While other high individual ratings were observed, including Shaiiko with 1.51, Kanzen with 1.40, and Cyber with 1.39, these performances were not explicitly linked to FaZe Clan in the provided SiegeGG information [[^]](https://siege.gg/competitions/100-blast-major-salt-lake-city-2026). Regarding matchup outcomes, the Kalshi "Map 1 Winner" **market** for WCG vs FAZe indicated that FaZe Clan won Map 1 in their specific match, with the **market** resolving on May 11, 2026, to "Yes" [[^]](https://kalshi.com/markets/kxr6map/r6-map-winner/kxr6map-26may111845wcgfaze-1).

## What Could Change the Odds

**The Kalshi market "Wildcard Gaming vs.** FaZe Clan: Map 1 Winner" (R6) is explicitly associated with a May 25, 2026 6:45pm EDT resolve/close time, with an explicit condition tied to FaZe winning map 1 [[^]](https://kalshi.com/markets/kxr6map/r6-map-winner/kxr6map-26may111845wcgfaze-1). This **market**'s outcome is directly linked to performance during the BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City 2026, which is scheduled from May 8–May 17, 2026, and features a Swiss-to-playoffs progression [[^]](https://siege.gg/news/blast-r6-major-salt-lake-city-team-preview-wildcard)[[^]](https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/BLAST_Major/2026/May).

**Both FaZe Clan and Wildcard are among the 16 confirmed teams for the BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City 2026 [[^]](https://insider-gaming.com/blast-r6-major-salt-lake-city-all-teams/).** Wildcard qualified for the Major via a 2-1 win over DarkZero, including back-to-back maximum overtime wins [[^]](https://siege.gg/news/blast-r6-major-salt-lake-city-team-preview-wildcard). Siege.gg's preview suggests Wildcard's potential includes reaching the playoffs, indicating that anything other than a Top 8 finish would be considered disappointing for the team [[^]](https://siege.gg/news/blast-r6-major-salt-lake-city-team-preview-wildcard).

## Key Dates & Catalysts

- **Expiration:** May 25, 2026
- **Closes:** May 25, 2026

## Decision-Flipping Events

- The Kalshi **market** "Wildcard Gaming vs.
- FaZe Clan: Map 1 Winner" (R6) is explicitly associated with a May 25, 2026 6:45pm EDT resolve/close time, with an explicit condition tied to FaZe winning map 1 [^] .
- This **market**'s outcome is directly linked to performance during the BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City 2026, which is scheduled from May 8–May 17, 2026, and features a Swiss-to-playoffs progression [^] [^] .
- Both FaZe Clan and Wildcard are among the 16 confirmed teams for the BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City 2026 [^] .

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## Historical Resolutions

**Historical Resolutions:** 20 markets in this series

**Outcomes:** 10 resolved YES, 10 resolved NO

**Recent resolutions:**

- KXR6MAP-26MAY091830FOULOS-2-LOS: YES (May 09, 2026)
- KXR6MAP-26MAY091830FOULOS-2-FOU: NO (May 09, 2026)
- KXR6MAP-26MAY091830FOULOS-1-LOS: YES (May 09, 2026)
- KXR6MAP-26MAY091830FOULOS-1-FOU: NO (May 09, 2026)
- KXR6MAP-26MAY091530SREDG-2-SR: YES (May 09, 2026)

## Disclaimer

This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, legal, or trading advice.
Prediction markets involve risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
We are not affiliated with Kalshi or any prediction market platform. Market data may be delayed or incomplete.

### Data Sources & Model Transparency

**Data Sources:** Octagon Deep Research aggregates information from multiple sources including news, filings, and market data.

**Freshness:** Analysis is generated periodically and may not reflect the latest developments. Verify critical information from primary sources.

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