# Arizona vs Texas AZ vs TEX (May 12) Updated: May 11, 2026 Category: Sports Tags: Baseball HTML: /markets/sports/baseball/arizona-vs-texas/ ## Short Answer **Key takeaway.** Both the **model** and the **market** expect Texas to win their May 12 game against Arizona, with no compelling evidence of mispricing despite Texas's recent poor performance trend. ## Key Claims (January 2026) **- - Texas's bullpen maintained strong performance, ranking second in MLB as of May 1st.** - Texas Rangers appear to have no reported injuries as of May 10, 2026. - Arizona Diamondbacks face significant challenges from an extensive injury list. - Arizona's bullpen posted a 5.17 ERA over its last 12 games as of May 5th. - Despite being favored, the Rangers show a poor 1-4 record in recent games. - Arizona's head-to-head record against Texas is 6-4 in their last 10 meetings. ### Why This Matters (GEO) - AI agents extract claims, not arguments. - Improves citation probability in summaries and answer cards. - Enables fact stitching across multiple sources. ## Executive Verdict **Key takeaway.** **Market** prices Texas at 46c, above the **37.4%** **model**, showing overvaluation with a 2.2x payout. ### Who Wins and Why | Outcome | Market | Model | Why | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Texas | 56.0% | 62.6% | Texas is favored due to their strong bullpen performance and lack of reported injuries as of May 10, 2026. | | Arizona | 46.0% | 37.4% | Arizona faces significant challenges due to an extensive injury list and a bullpen with a 5.17 ERA. | ## Model vs Market | Outcome | Market Probability | Octagon Model Probability | | --- | --- | --- | | Texas | 56.0% | 62.6% | | Arizona | 46.0% | 37.4% | - Expiration: May 16, 2026 ## Market Behavior & Price Dynamics This prediction market has shown a distinct and rapid upward trend. The perceived probability of an Arizona win started at a low of 22.0% on May 10 before experiencing a significant spike of 25 percentage points on the same day, reaching a high of 48.0%. The provided context does not indicate a specific news event or development on May 10 that would directly cause such a dramatic repricing for this matchup. Following this sharp increase, the price has settled into a narrow range, currently trading at 46.0%. The trading volume provides additional insight into the price action. The total volume is relatively light at 65 contracts, suggesting limited market participation. A notable portion of this volume, 19 contracts, was traded during the large price spike, indicating the move was driven by a concentrated burst of activity. From a technical perspective, the market established an initial support level at 22.0% and is now testing a resistance level around 48.0%. Overall, the chart indicates a dramatic shift in market sentiment. Traders' perception of Arizona's chances has moved from a clear underdog to a much more competitive position, with the market now pricing the game as nearly a coin flip. ## Significant Price Movements #### 📈 May 10, 2026: 35.0pp spike Price increased from 22.0% to 57.0% **Outcome:** Texas **What happened:** The provided sources do not indicate an "Arizona vs Texas" baseball game occurred on May 10, 2026 [[^]](https://arizonawildcats.com/news/2026/5/10/baseball-arizona-drops-7-5-heartbreaker-to-houston-in-13-innings.aspx)[[^]](https://www.saturdaydownsouth.com/news/college-baseball/texas-baseball-launches-4-home-runs-avoids-series-sweep-at-tennessee/)[[^]](https://sports.yahoo.com/articles/arizona-baseball-falls-houston-13-061350203.html). Instead, on that date, Arizona played Houston in a 13-inning game [[^]](https://arizonawildcats.com/news/2026/5/10/baseball-arizona-drops-7-5-heartbreaker-to-houston-in-13-innings.aspx)[[^]](https://sports.yahoo.com/articles/arizona-baseball-falls-houston-13-061350203.html), and Texas played Tennessee [[^]](https://www.saturdaydownsouth.com/news/college-baseball/texas-baseball-launches-4-home-runs-avoids-series-sweep-at-tennessee/). No information regarding a 35.0 percentage point spike in a prediction market for an "Arizona vs Texas" outcome, nor any specific catalysts, including social media activity, was found in the available research [[^]](https://arizonawildcats.com/news/2026/5/10/baseball-arizona-drops-7-5-heartbreaker-to-houston-in-13-innings.aspx)[[^]](https://www.saturdaydownsouth.com/news/college-baseball/texas-baseball-launches-4-home-runs-avoids-series-sweep-at-tennessee/)[[^]](https://sports.yahoo.com/articles/arizona-baseball-falls-houston-13-061350203.html). Consequently, social media was irrelevant to the described prediction market movement, as the foundational event and its associated price change are not supported by the provided information. ## Contract Snapshot This market resolves to "Yes" if the Texas Rangers win their professional baseball game against the Arizona Diamondbacks, originally scheduled for May 12, 2026, at 8:05 PM EDT. It resolves to "No" if Texas does not win this game. The market closes after the outcome occurs or by May 15, 2026, 8:05 PM EDT, with sources including ESPN, Fox Sports, and the Governing League. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open until the rescheduled game finishes within two days; otherwise, it resolves to a fair price if cancelled or rescheduled beyond two days. ## Market Discussion The Texas Rangers are currently favored over the Arizona Diamondbacks, with Polymarket pricing them around a 63% implied probability for a May 13, 2026 game [[^]](https://polymarket.com/sports/mlb/mlb-ari-tex-2026-05-13). Active community discussion on another Polymarket listing (for a March 21, 2026 matchup) indicates traders are engaged in debate over injuries, lineups, and shifting odds [[^]](https://polymarket.com/sports/mlb/mlb-tex-ari-2026-03-21). Separately, a Robinhood prediction market also exists for "Arizona vs Texas" baseball, noting a May 11, 2026 date that was originally scheduled for May 12, 2026 [[^]](https://robinhood.com/us/en/prediction-markets/baseball/events/arizona-vs-texas-may-11-2026/). ## Market Data | Contract | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | Last Price | Volume | Open Interest | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Arizona | 43% | 46% | 46% | $66 | $66 | | Texas | 54% | 57% | 56% | $148.62 | $108.62 | ## How do the Arizona Diamondbacks and Texas Rangers bullpens compare in terms of reliability and performance in the weeks leading up to May 12? Rangers Bullpen ERA | Sub-3.00, 2nd best in MLB (as of May 1st) [[^]](https://www.si.com/mlb/rangers/onsi/rangers-bullpen-report-hits-misses-concern-index-after-one-month)[[^]](https://www.mlb.com/dbacks/stats/pitching/team) | Diamondbacks Bullpen Season ERA | 4.43 [[^]](https://www.reddit.com/r/azdiamondbacks/comments/1kxq15i/4312_that_would_be_the_record_of_the_bullpen/) | Diamondbacks Season Blown Saves | 6 (as of May 9th) [[^]](https://sports.betmgm.com/en/blog/mlb/blown-saves-stats-most-blown-saves-teams-players-bm03/)[[^]](https://www.mlb.com/dbacks/stats/pitching/saves/team) | **The Texas Rangers' bullpen has maintained strong performance and reliability in recent weeks** The Texas Rangers' bullpen has maintained strong performance and reliability in recent weeks. As of May 1st, their relief corps boasted a sub-3.00 ERA, ranking second in MLB [[^]](https://www.si.com/mlb/rangers/onsi/rangers-bullpen-report-hits-misses-concern-index-after-one-month)[[^]](https://www.mlb.com/dbacks/stats/pitching/team). Their collective ERA was particularly impressive at 1.03 over their last seven games in late April [[^]](https://www.si.com/mlb/rangers/onsi/rangers-bullpen-report-hits-misses-concern-index-after-one-month). The Rangers have successfully converted 7 out of 10 save opportunities for the season as of May 9th, with only four blown saves [[^]](https://www.si.com/mlb/rangers/onsi/rangers-bullpen-report-hits-misses-concern-index-after-one-month)[[^]](https://www.dallasnews.com/sports/rangers/article/rangers-survive-first-40-games-opportunity-22243666.php)[[^]](https://sports.betmgm.com/en/blog/mlb/blown-saves-stats-most-blown-saves-teams-players-bm03/). Key contributors include Jakob Junis with three saves and four holds, along with Jacob Latz and Tyler Alexander each contributing two saves [[^]](https://www.si.com/mlb/rangers/onsi/rangers-bullpen-report-hits-misses-concern-index-after-one-month)[[^]](https://www.dallasnews.com/sports/rangers/article/rangers-survive-first-40-games-opportunity-22243666.php). Despite injuries to Chris Martin and Robert Garcia, and the long-term absence of Carter Baumler, the bullpen has consistently performed at a high level [[^]](https://www.si.com/mlb/rangers/onsi/rangers-bullpen-report-hits-misses-concern-index-after-one-month). Arizona's bullpen shows declining reliability, significantly hampered by injuries. The Diamondbacks' bullpen holds a season ERA of 4.43, and more recently, they posted a 5.17 ERA over their last 12 games as of May 5th [[^]](https://www.reddit.com/r/azdiamondbacks/comments/1kxq15i/4312_that_would_be_the_record_of_the_bullpen/). While closer Paul Sewald has been a consistent performer, converting all eight of his save opportunities this season, the team as a whole has struggled, converting only four of nine save opportunities since April 17th, resulting in five blown saves during that period [[^]](https://closermonkey.com/archives/nl-west/ari/)[[^]](https://www.rotowire.com/baseball/bullpen-usage.php?team=TEX)[[^]](https://www.reddit.com/r/azdiamondbacks/comments/1kdhcks/the_dbacks_bullpen_is_49_in_save_opportunities/). Overall for the season as of May 9th, the Diamondbacks have recorded 10 saves but also six blown saves [[^]](https://sports.betmgm.com/en/blog/mlb/blown-saves-stats-most-blown-saves-teams-players-bm03/)[[^]](https://www.mlb.com/dbacks/stats/pitching/saves/team). Their bullpen is severely impacted by injuries to key relievers, including Justin Martinez (out until late July/early August), A.J. Puk (expected back mid-June), and Andrew Saalfrank (out for the entire season) [[^]](https://www.yardbarker.com/mlb/articles/the_d_backs_bullpen_just_added_something_it_hasnt_had_all_season/s1_17097_43788845)[[^]](https://closermonkey.com/archives/nl-west/ari/). Compounding these issues, the team operated without a left-handed reliever for over a month until the recent addition of Philip Abner [[^]](https://www.yardbarker.com/mlb/articles/the_d_backs_bullpen_just_added_something_it_hasnt_had_all_season/s1_17097_43788845). ## What is the projected impact of the Arizona Diamondbacks' extensive injury list on their performance against the Texas Rangers on May 12? Texas win probability | 54% (May 10, 2026 model preview) [[^]](https://www.statsinsider.com.au/news/rangers-vs-diamondbacks-prediction-and-mlb-tips-12-may-2026) | Pavin Smith expected return | May 29, 2026 [[^]](https://www.cbssports.com/mlb/gametracker/preview/MLB_20260512_ARI@TEX/)[[^]](https://foxsportsabq.iheart.com/content/2026-05-10-diamondbacks-vs-rangers-series-injured-list-may-11-13/) | Corbin Burnes expected return | July 17, 2026 [[^]](https://www.cbssports.com/mlb/gametracker/preview/MLB_20260512_ARI@TEX/)[[^]](https://foxsportsabq.iheart.com/content/2026-05-10-diamondbacks-vs-rangers-series-injured-list-may-11-13/) | **The Arizona Diamondbacks face significant roster challenges due to extensive injuries** The Arizona Diamondbacks face significant roster challenges due to extensive injuries. For their May 12, 2026, game against the Texas Rangers, the team's extensive injury list is expected to reduce offensive depth and limit bullpen and rotation flexibility [[^]](https://www.cbssports.com/mlb/gametracker/preview/MLB_20260512_ARI@TEX/)[[^]](https://foxsportsabq.iheart.com/content/2026-05-10-diamondbacks-vs-rangers-series-injured-list-may-11-13/). Significant players sidelined include Pavin Smith, who is expected out until at least May 29; Jordan Lawlar, sidelined until at least June 3; Cristian Mena, unavailable until at least June 1; and Corbin Burnes, not expected back until at least July 17 [[^]](https://www.cbssports.com/mlb/gametracker/preview/MLB_20260512_ARI@TEX/)[[^]](https://foxsportsabq.iheart.com/content/2026-05-10-diamondbacks-vs-rangers-series-injured-list-may-11-13/). These prolonged absences highlight the severe roster challenges for Arizona. Texas is favored despite Arizona's injury impact on pitching. A **model**-style preview from May 10, 2026, projects the Texas Rangers with a **54%** chance to win the game, indicating Arizona's injuries do not position them as the favorite for this matchup [[^]](https://www.statsinsider.com.au/news/rangers-vs-diamondbacks-prediction-and-mlb-tips-12-may-2026). The probable starting pitchers for the game are Zac Gallen for Arizona and Mackenzie Gore for Texas [[^]](https://www.cbssports.com/mlb/gametracker/preview/MLB_20260512_ARI@TEX/). This pitching lineup further suggests that Arizona's injuries are affecting the quality of their available players, necessitating reliance on a specific rotation rather than a fully healthy pitching staff [[^]](https://www.cbssports.com/mlb/gametracker/preview/MLB_20260512_ARI@TEX/). ## What recent performance trends and team metrics support the Texas Rangers' position as the betting favorite for the May 12 game? Texas Rangers Bullpen ERA (entering May) | 2.82 [[^]](https://www.si.com/mlb/rangers/onsi/statistical-insights-behind-rangers-middling-start-to-2026) | Texas Rangers Run Differential | +1.0 [[^]](https://www.teamrankings.com/mlb/matchup/diamondbacks-rangers-2026-05-11) | Arizona Diamondbacks Run Differential | -23.0 [[^]](https://www.teamrankings.com/mlb/matchup/diamondbacks-rangers-2026-05-11) | **Texas Rangers are favorites despite a recent 1-4 record** Texas Rangers are favorites despite a recent 1-4 record. The Texas Rangers are commonly priced as the betting favorite for their May 12, 2026 game against Arizona at Globe Life Field, despite maintaining a middling overall record and a recent trend of 1-4 in their last five games [[^]](https://www.statsinsider.com.au/news/rangers-vs-diamondbacks-prediction-and-mlb-tips-12-may-2026)[[^]](https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb-game/diamondbacks-rangers-score-odds-may-12-2026/288058)[[^]](https://www.si.com/mlb/rangers/onsi/statistical-insights-behind-rangers-middling-start-to-2026)[[^]](https://www.teamrankings.com/mlb/matchup/diamondbacks-rangers-2026-05-11). This favored status is largely supported by broader team-quality metrics, particularly in pitching and run-prevention, rather than solely on their recent performance [[^]](https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb-game/diamondbacks-rangers-score-odds-may-12-2026/288058)[[^]](https://www.teamrankings.com/mlb/matchup/diamondbacks-rangers-2026-05-11). Strong bullpen and run prevention metrics underpin Texas's favoritism. Key team statistics supporting Texas's favored position include their bullpen strength, which was highlighted as best-in-baseball entering May with a 2.82 ERA, an opposing slash line of.215/.300/.340, and a 1.14 WHIP [[^]](https://www.si.com/mlb/rangers/onsi/statistical-insights-behind-rangers-middling-start-to-2026). Furthermore, data indicates Texas has a positive run differential of +1.0, significantly outperforming Arizona's negative run differential of -23.0 [[^]](https://www.teamrankings.com/mlb/matchup/diamondbacks-rangers-2026-05-11). Texas also demonstrates superior run prevention, allowing 3.78 opponent runs per game compared to Arizona's 5.20 opponent runs per game [[^]](https://www.teamrankings.com/mlb/matchup/diamondbacks-rangers-2026-05-11). While starting pitchers MacKenzie Gore (Texas) with a 5.17 ERA and Zac Gallen (Arizona) with a 4.70 ERA do not present a significant ace advantage for Texas, the overall team metrics, especially the bullpen, are critical to their assessment [[^]](https://www.si.com/mlb/rangers/onsi/statistical-insights-behind-rangers-middling-start-to-2026)[[^]](https://www.teamrankings.com/mlb/matchup/diamondbacks-rangers-2026-05-11)[[^]](https://www.oddsshark.com/mlb/arizona-texas-odds-may-12-2026-2502537)[[^]](https://www.cbssports.com/mlb/gametracker/preview/MLB_20260512_ARI@TEX/). Betting markets prioritize underlying quality over short-term trends. Even though the Rangers are 1-4 in their last five games and 1-4 against the spread in that period, betting models still rate Texas above Arizona for game outcome **probability** [[^]](https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb-game/diamondbacks-rangers-score-odds-may-12-2026/288058)[[^]](https://www.teamrankings.com/mlb/matchup/diamondbacks-rangers-2026-05-11). This indicates that the **market** is leaning on these broader team-quality metrics, such as pitching, bullpen performance, and run-prevention capabilities, over short-term win/loss streaks [[^]](https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb-game/diamondbacks-rangers-score-odds-may-12-2026/288058)[[^]](https://www.teamrankings.com/mlb/matchup/diamondbacks-rangers-2026-05-11). ## What is the case for an Arizona Diamondbacks upset, based on their performance against right-handed pitching and historical matchups with Texas? Recent H2H Record (Arizona vs. Texas) | 6-4 in last 10 meetings (Arizona) [[^]](https://www.teamrankings.com/mlb/matchup/diamondbacks-rangers-2025-08-13/head-to-head) | Arizona Batting Avg vs RHP (2026) | .223 (Screwball) [[^]](https://screwball.com/mlb/arizona-diamondbacks/batting-vs-righties-in-2026) | Arizona Implied Win Probability (May 12, 2026) | Approximately 46% [[^]](https://www.baseball-reference.com/previews/2026/TEX202605110.shtml)[[^]](https://www.statsinsider.com.au/news/rangers-vs-diamondbacks-prediction-and-mlb-tips-12-may-2026) | **Recent history and betting odds favor a potential Arizona upset** Recent history and betting odds favor a potential Arizona upset. An upset case for the Arizona Diamondbacks against the Texas Rangers on May 12, 2026, is bolstered by a favorable recent head-to-head record. Arizona has maintained a 6-4 record against Texas in their last 10 encounters since 2007 [[^]](https://www.teamrankings.com/mlb/matchup/diamondbacks-rangers-2025-08-13/head-to-head). Furthermore, for the specific May 12, 2026 game, a simulation-based betting preview assigns the Rangers a **54%** win **probability**, indicating the Diamondbacks hold an approximately **46%** chance of winning as an underdog [[^]](https://www.baseball-reference.com/previews/2026/TEX202605110.shtml)[[^]](https://www.statsinsider.com.au/news/rangers-vs-diamondbacks-prediction-and-mlb-tips-12-may-2026). Historical context further supports Arizona's potential for an upset. Despite Arizona’s 2026 season showing a.223 batting average and.670 OPS against right-handed pitching so far [[^]](https://screwball.com/mlb/arizona-diamondbacks/batting-vs-righties-in-2026), their broader historical performance does not entirely dismiss their upset potential. The all-time series record between the Rangers and Diamondbacks is nearly even, with Texas holding a marginal 32-31 advantage over Arizona [[^]](https://www.statmuse.com/mlb/ask?q=texas+rangers+vs+arizona+diamondbacks+h2h+record+all-time). This long-term context, combined with their more recent performance against Texas, suggests that an upset remains a plausible outcome [[^]](https://mcubed.net/mlb/ari/tex.shtml). ## Besides injuries, what tactical decisions, such as potential player rest days or lineup changes, could influence the outcome of the Rangers-Diamondbacks game? Player Rest Decision | Gabriel Moreno (Diamondbacks) given Sunday off, James McCann started [[^]](https://www.cbssports.com/fantasy/baseball/news/diamondbacks-gabriel-moreno-getting-sunday-off-1002474/) | Batting Order Adjustment | Diamondbacks moved Geraldo Perdomo to lead-off, Ketel Marte moved down [[^]](https://www.msn.com/en-us/sports/mlb/d-backs-shake-up-lineup-following-offensive-explosion/ar-AA21z6Mc) | Probable Pitching Matchup | Zac Gallen (ARI) and MacKenzie Gore (TEX) probable starters for May 12 [[^]](https://www.cbssports.com/mlb/gametracker/preview/MLB_20260512_ARI@TEX/)[[^]](https://www.espn.com/mlb/game/_/gameId/401815312) | **Managers' tactical choices significantly influence game outcomes beyond injuries** Managers' tactical choices significantly influence game outcomes beyond injuries. These decisions encompass player rest days, specific lineup changes, and adjustments to the batting order. Managerial choices regarding who starts a game, who bats in certain positions, or how the bullpen is managed all have the potential to impact the final score of a game like the Rangers-Diamondbacks matchup [[^]](https://polymarket.com/sports/mlb/mlb-ari-tex-2026-05-12). Strategic player rests and lineup adjustments directly impact team dynamics. Examples of such tactical maneuvers include implementing rest decisions for starters, as seen when Diamondbacks catcher Gabriel Moreno was rested and James McCann started instead, which altered the team's offensive and defensive profile without an injury designation [[^]](https://www.cbssports.com/fantasy/baseball/news/diamondbacks-gabriel-moreno-getting-sunday-off-1002474/). Lineup changes are also made based on tactical matchups against right- or left-handed pitching, directly influencing run scoring and bullpen usage, particularly relevant with Zac Gallen listed as Arizona's probable starter and MacKenzie Gore for Texas on May 12 [[^]](https://www.cbssports.com/mlb/gametracker/preview/MLB_20260512_ARI@TEX/)[[^]](https://www.espn.com/mlb/game/_/gameId/401815312). Furthermore, adjustments to the batting order, like the Diamondbacks moving Geraldo Perdomo to lead-off and Ketel Marte down, can shift on-base opportunities and RBI sequencing [[^]](https://www.msn.com/en-us/sports/mlb/d-backs-shake-up-lineup-following-offensive-explosion/ar-AA21z6Mc). All these deliberate managerial choices contribute to influencing the final score for the game [[^]](https://polymarket.com/sports/mlb/mlb-ari-tex-2026-05-12). ## What Could Change the Odds **The primary catalyst revolves around the confirmed dates for the Arizona vs.** Texas MLB matchup, as prediction markets on Robinhood are dated for May 11, 2026, with one **market** originally scheduled for May 12, 2026 [[^]](https://robinhood.com/us/en/prediction-markets/baseball/events/arizona-vs-texas-may-11-2026/). A separate Robinhood **market** for a "First Inning Run" event also references May 11, 2026, at 8:05 PM EDT [[^]](https://robinhood.com/us/en/prediction-markets/baseball/events/arizona-vs-texas-first-inning-run-may-11-2026/). This aligns with Baseball-Reference, which lists Arizona at Texas for May 11, 12, and 13, 2026, with the May 11 game at 8:05pm ET [[^]](https://www.baseball-reference.com/previews/2026/TEX202605110.shtml). Conflicting schedule sources, however, indicate the Diamondbacks play the Rockies on May 16, 2026, according to USA Today and ESPN [[^]](https://sportsdata.usatoday.com/baseball/mlb/summary/2941595)[[^]](https://www.espn.com/mlb/game/_/gameId/401815371/diamondbacks-rockies). Therefore, any catalysts or timelines specific to a May 16, 2026, matchup cannot be validated, as the closest supported window for Arizona vs. Texas is May 11-13, 2026 [[^]](https://www.baseball-reference.com/previews/2026/TEX202605110.shtml)[[^]](https://sportsdata.usatoday.com/baseball/mlb/summary/2941595). **Market sentiment, as seen on Polymarket, shows Texas/Rangers priced at 63¢, implying a 63% probability against Arizona [[^]](https://polymarket.com/sports/mlb/mlb-ari-tex-2026-05-13).** This suggests a crowd-favoring bullish bias towards Texas/Rangers in the prediction **market** [[^]](https://polymarket.com/sports/mlb/mlb-ari-tex-2026-05-13). ## Key Dates & Catalysts - **Expiration:** May 16, 2026 - **Closes:** May 16, 2026 ## Decision-Flipping Events - The primary catalyst revolves around the confirmed dates for the Arizona vs. - Texas MLB matchup, as prediction markets on Robinhood are dated for May 11, 2026, with one **market** originally scheduled for May 12, 2026 [^] . - A separate Robinhood **market** for a "First Inning Run" event also references May 11, 2026, at 8:05 PM EDT [^] . - This aligns with Baseball-Reference, which lists Arizona at Texas for May 11, 12, and 13, 2026, with the May 11 game at 8:05pm ET [^] . ## Related Research Reports - [CB Malaga vs Bilbao Basket](/markets/sports/basketball/cb-malaga-vs-bilbao-basket/) - [APF Division de Honor Apertura Champion](/markets/sports/soccer/apf-division-de-honor-apertura-champion/) - [Olimpia vs Luqueno](/markets/sports/soccer/olimpia-vs-luqueno/) - [Trinidense vs CD Recoleta](/markets/sports/soccer/trinidense-vs-cd-recoleta/) ## Historical Resolutions **Historical Resolutions:** 20 markets in this series **Outcomes:** 10 resolved YES, 10 resolved NO **Recent resolutions:** - KXMLBGAME-26MAY101920DETKC-KC: NO (May 11, 2026) - KXMLBGAME-26MAY101920DETKC-DET: YES (May 11, 2026) - KXMLBGAME-26MAY101610NYMAZ-NYM: NO (May 10, 2026) - KXMLBGAME-26MAY101610NYMAZ-AZ: YES (May 10, 2026) - KXMLBGAME-26MAY101610STLSD-STL: NO (May 10, 2026) ## Disclaimer This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, legal, or trading advice. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results. We are not affiliated with Kalshi or any prediction market platform. Market data may be delayed or incomplete. ### Data Sources & Model Transparency **Data Sources:** Octagon Deep Research aggregates information from multiple sources including news, filings, and market data. **Freshness:** Analysis is generated periodically and may not reflect the latest developments. Verify critical information from primary sources. ## Attribution Policy When quoting, summarizing, or reproducing Octagon AI content, attribute it to Octagon AI and link to the Octagon source URL: https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/baseball/arizona-vs-texas If a specific page was used, cite that page rather than only the site homepage.