# Will the travel ban end for any countries participating in the World Cup?

Before June 11, 2026

Updated: June 9, 2026

Category: Politics

Tags: Trump

HTML: /markets/politics/trump/will-the-travel-ban-end-for-any-countries-participating-in-the-world-cup/

## Short Answer

**Key takeaway.** Both the **model** and the **market** expect the travel ban to end for any countries participating in the World Cup, with no compelling evidence of mispricing.

## Key Claims (January 2026)

**- - Travel bans remain for 39 nations, including four World Cup participants.** - Presidential Proclamation 10998 restricts entry from 39 nations for security reasons.
- May 2026 waiver only exempts visa bond payments, not a full lifting.
- U.S. State Department maintains bans, but offers FIFA PASS for attendees.

### Why This Matters (GEO)

- AI agents extract claims, not arguments.
- Improves citation probability in summaries and answer cards.
- Enables fact stitching across multiple sources.

## Executive Verdict

**Key takeaway.** **Model** estimates **1.3%** likelihood; 3c **market** implies **2.9%** **probability** as core travel bans remain in effect.

### Who Wins and Why

| Outcome | Market | Model | Why |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Yes | 2.9% | 1.3% | A policy change may lead to the lifting of the current travel restrictions. |

## Model vs Market

- Model Probability: 1.3% (Yes)
- Market Probability: 2.9% (Yes)
- Yes refers to: Yes
- Edge: -1.6pp
- Expected Return: -56.1%
- R-Score: -0.16
- Total Volume: $9,420.5
- 24h Volume: $487.13
- Open Interest: $4,454.41

- Expiration: June 11, 2026

## Market Behavior & Price Dynamics

This market has seen a significant downward price movement within a very low probability range. The contract began trading at a high of 6.6% but has since fallen to its current price of 2.9%. The most notable event in the chart is the sharp decline from 6.6% to 2.9% around June 9. This drop in perceived probability directly correlates with the current context, which confirms that as of that date, a comprehensive travel ban under Presidential Proclamation 10998 remains fully in effect. With the resolution date of June 11 fast approaching, this information appears to have significantly decreased traders' confidence that the policy would be reversed in time for any World Cup nation.

The market has a total traded volume of 1,789 contracts, suggesting a moderate level of engagement. However, the sample data points show zero volume during the price drop, indicating the price may have been adjusted by the market maker or a small number of traders reacting to the news, rather than a high-volume sell-off. This suggests that while there is interest, conviction may not be particularly deep, and the price is highly sensitive to external news. The initial price of 6.6% has acted as a firm resistance level that the market has since rejected. The all-time low of 1.6% may now serve as a potential support level.

Overall, the price action reflects a deeply pessimistic market sentiment from the outset. The probability of a "YES" resolution has never been high, and the recent price collapse to 2.9% shows that traders have become even more certain that the travel ban will not end for any participating countries before the deadline. The market consistently implies that the continuation of the existing policy is the most likely outcome.

## Contract Snapshot

The market resolves to YES if Donald Trump issues a qualifying executive action, such as an executive order or proclamation, before June 10, 2026, at 11:59 PM EDT, revoking the suspension of entry for nationals of Haiti, Iran, Côte d'Ivoire, or Senegal. This action must be personally signed by the President, explicitly address the topic with legal or policy effect, and be documented by the White House, the President, or the Federal Register. If no such action occurs by this deadline, the market resolves to NO; otherwise, it closes early upon the action's issuance.

## Market Discussion

As of June 9, 2026, the United States enforces broad travel restrictions, including full bans on 19 countries and partial bans on 20 countries, under Presidential Proclamation 10998 [[^]](https://www.centerforsustainableimmigration.com/articles/travel-bans-country-restrictions-explained)[[^]](https://blog.wego.com/us-travel-ban-2026/)[[^]](https://www.asianlawcaucus.org/news-resources/guides-reports/explainer-faq-expanded-travel-and-immigration-ban). There are no special FIFA World Cup 2026 visas or exemptions; attendees must comply with standard national immigration and visa requirements for host countries, regardless of their team's participation [[^]](https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup/canadamexicousa2026/articles/travel-visas-fifa-pass)[[^]](https://www.canada.ca/en/border-services-agency/news/2026/05/the-cbsa-shares-tips-on-travelling-to-canada-for-fifa-world-cup-2026.html)[[^]](https://www.fragomen.com/insights/canada-entry-requirements-fifa-world-cup-2026.html)[[^]](https://www.fragomen.com/insights/fifa-mexico-2026-world-cup-entry-requirements-visa-and-immigration-guide.html). Prediction market discussions in mid-2026 reflect persistent speculation regarding the *expansion* of U.S. travel restrictions, rather than their termination for any countries [[^]](https://www.lines.com/prediction-markets/politics/trump-fully-suspends-entry-to-the-us-for-more-countries-by)[[^]](https://explorer.struct.to/markets/trump-fully-suspends-entry-to-the-us-for-more-countries-by-june-30-2026)[[^]](https://explorer.struct.to/markets/trump-fully-suspends-entry-to-the-us-for-more-countries-by-december-31-2026).

## Market Data

| Contract | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | Last Price | Volume | Open Interest |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Yes | 1.3% | 6.6% | 2.9% | $9,420.5 | $4,454.41 |

## What are the primary legal and executive pathways through which Presidential Proclamation 10998 could be modified for a World Cup nation before June 2026?

Date of Proclamation 10998 | December 16, 2025 [[^]](https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/FR-2025-12-19/html/2025-23570.htm)[[^]](https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/full_text/html/2025/12/19/2025-23570.html)[[^]](https://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/documents/proclamation-10998-restricting-and-limiting-the-entry-foreign-nationals-protect-the) |
Countries affected by Proclamation 10998 | 39 countries [[^]](https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/FR-2025-12-19/html/2025-23570.htm)[[^]](https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/full_text/html/2025/12/19/2025-23570.html)[[^]](https://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/documents/proclamation-10998-restricting-and-limiting-the-entry-foreign-nationals-protect-the) |
2026 FIFA World Cup exemption | Athletes, coaches, and support staff (not fans, journalists, or sponsors) [[^]](https://forumtogether.org/article/explainer-impact-of-travel-and-immigration-restrictions-on-the-2026-fifa-mens-world-cup/)[[^]](https://www.espn.ph/football/story/_/id/47966503/haiti-senegal-ivory-coast-iran-travel-visa-ban-world-cup-2026) |

**Presidential Proclamation 10998 restricts entry from 39 nations for security reasons**

Presidential Proclamation 10998 restricts entry from 39 nations for security reasons. Issued on December 16, 2025, this proclamation limits the entry of foreign nationals from 39 specified countries into the United States, citing national security and public safety concerns [[^]](https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/FR-2025-12-19/html/2025-23570.htm)[[^]](https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/full_text/html/2025/12/19/2025-23570.html)[[^]](https://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/documents/proclamation-10998-restricting-and-limiting-the-entry-foreign-nationals-protect-the). The primary legal foundation for this executive action is sections 212(f) and 215(a) of the Immigration and Nationality Act (INA), which grant the President extensive authority to restrict the admission of foreign nationals [[^]](https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/FR-2025-12-19/html/2025-23570.htm)[[^]](https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/full_text/html/2025/12/19/2025-23570.html).

Proclamation 10998 exempts athletes but not World Cup fans or media. While the proclamation specifically includes an exception for athletes, coaches, and essential support staff involved in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, it explicitly does not extend this exemption to fans, journalists, or corporate sponsors affected by the travel restrictions [[^]](https://forumtogether.org/article/explainer-impact-of-travel-and-immigration-restrictions-on-the-2026-fifa-mens-world-cup/)[[^]](https://www.espn.ph/football/story/_/id/47966503/haiti-senegal-ivory-coast-iran-travel-visa-ban-world-cup-2026). Modifications to the proclamation can occur through executive pathways, such as the President issuing a new proclamation or delegating authority to the Secretary of State to grant individual exceptions [[^]](https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cx212p8r28eo)[[^]](https://forumtogether.org/article/explainer-impact-of-travel-and-immigration-restrictions-on-the-2026-fifa-mens-world-cup/). However, as of June 2026, there have been no indications of a comprehensive reversal of these restrictions for World Cup fans [[^]](https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cx212p8r28eo)[[^]](https://forumtogether.org/article/explainer-impact-of-travel-and-immigration-restrictions-on-the-2026-fifa-mens-world-cup/).

## What is the official stance of the U.S. State Department and FIFA regarding travel exemptions for 2026 World Cup delegations from countries like Iran or Haiti?

Full Travel Ban Countries | Iran, Haiti (U.S. State Department for 2026 World Cup) [[^]](https://www.espn.ph/football/story/_/id/47966503/haiti-senegal-ivory-coast-iran-travel-visa-ban-world-cup-2026)[[^]](https://en.as.com/soccer/world-cup/this-is-the-current-situation-for-fans-and-players-from-countries-banned-by-the-trump-administration-f202605-n/)[[^]](https://www.wunc.org/2026-05-16/iran-and-haiti-qualified-for-the-world-cup-but-face-u-s-travel-bans-affecting-fans) |
Partial Travel Ban Countries | Senegal, Ivory Coast (U.S. State Department) [[^]](https://www.espn.ph/football/story/_/id/47966503/haiti-senegal-ivory-coast-iran-travel-visa-ban-world-cup-2026) |
FIFA Fan Exemption Status | Not secured; ticket holders must meet standard U.S. visa requirements [[^]](https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cx212p8r28eo) |

**The U.S**

The U.S. State Department maintains travel bans for certain World Cup nations. The U.S. State Department has imposed a full travel ban on nationals from Iran and Haiti for the 2026 World Cup, although team players, coaches, and their immediate family members are exempt from these restrictions [[^]](https://www.espn.ph/football/story/_/id/47966503/haiti-senegal-ivory-coast-iran-travel-visa-ban-world-cup-2026)[[^]](https://en.as.com/soccer/world-cup/this-is-the-current-situation-for-fans-and-players-from-countries-banned-by-the-trump-administration-f202605-n/)[[^]](https://www.wunc.org/2026-05-16/iran-and-haiti-qualified-for-the-world-cup-but-face-u-s-travel-bans-affecting-fans). Additionally, citizens from Senegal and Ivory Coast are subject to a partial ban under Presidential Proclamation 10998 [[^]](https://www.espn.ph/football/story/_/id/47966503/haiti-senegal-ivory-coast-iran-travel-visa-ban-world-cup-2026). Consequently, ordinary fans from these countries face significant obstacles to traveling to the United States for the tournament [[^]](https://www.espn.ph/football/story/_/id/47966503/haiti-senegal-ivory-coast-iran-travel-visa-ban-world-cup-2026)[[^]](https://en.as.com/soccer/world-cup/this-is-the-current-situation-for-fans-and-players-from-countries-banned-by-the-trump-administration-f202605-n/)[[^]](https://www.wunc.org/2026-05-16/iran-and-haiti-qualified-for-the-world-cup-but-face-u-s-travel-bans-affecting-fans).

FIFA has not secured blanket travel exemptions for fans from these nations. In May 2026, the U.S. administration waived a **$15,000** visa bond requirement for ticket holders from five countries: Algeria, Cape Verde, Ivory Coast, Senegal, and Tunisia [[^]](https://www.wglt.org/2026-05-13/foreign-ticket-holders-from-world-cup-teams-countries-wont-have-to-pay-bonds-to-enter-u-s)[[^]](https://www.fragomen.com/insights/united-states-state-department-announces-update-for-fifa-world-cup-2026-travelers.html)[[^]](https://www.wglt.org/2026-05-13/foreign-ticket-holders-from-world-cup-teams-countries-wont-have-to-pay-bonds-to-enter-u-s). However, this action did not lift the overarching travel bans for nations like Iran and Haiti [[^]](https://www.wglt.org/2026-05-13/foreign-ticket-holders-from-world-cup-teams-countries-wont-have-to-pay-bonds-to-enter-u-s)[[^]](https://www.fragomen.com/insights/united-states-state-department-announces-update-for-fifa-world-cup-2026-travelers.html)[[^]](https://www.wglt.org/2026-05-13/foreign-ticket-holders-from-world-cup-teams-countries-wont-have-to-pay-bonds-to-enter-u-s). FIFA has confirmed that it has not secured a blanket exemption for fans from banned countries, reiterating that all ticket holders must meet standard U.S. visa and vetting requirements [[^]](https://www.espn.ph/football/story/_/id/47966503/haiti-senegal-ivory-coast-iran-travel-visa-ban-world-cup-2026)[[^]](https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cx212p8r28eo)[[^]](https://www.wunc.org/2026-05-16/iran-and-haiti-qualified-for-the-world-cup-but-face-u-s-travel-bans-affecting-fans). The United States has maintained its travel and visa restrictions throughout the period leading up to the tournament's start on June 11, 2026 [[^]](https://www.espn.ph/football/story/_/id/47966503/haiti-senegal-ivory-coast-iran-travel-visa-ban-world-cup-2026)[[^]](https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cx212p8r28eo)[[^]](https://www.wunc.org/2026-05-16/iran-and-haiti-qualified-for-the-world-cup-but-face-u-s-travel-bans-affecting-fans).

## How does the May 2026 financial deposit waiver for nations like Senegal and Ivory Coast differ from a full lifting of the travel ban?

Waiver Recipients | World Cup ticket holders from Senegal and Ivory Coast [[^]](https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c392dj4xwy4o) |
Waiver Benefit | Exemption from paying $5,000–$15,000 visa bond [[^]](https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c392dj4xwy4o)[[^]](https://betzoid.com/news/us-drops-visa-bond-requirement-for-world-cup-fans-but-the-fine-print-matters/)[[^]](https://newschannel9.com/sports/soccer/foreign-ticket-holders-from-world-cup-countries-wont-have-to-pay-bonds-to-enter-us) |
Travel Ban Implementation | December 2025 [[^]](https://www.nbcnews.com/sports/soccer/trump-travel-ban-senegal-ivory-coast-world-cup-rcna253883)[[^]](https://www.modernghana.com/sports/1500341/a-world-cup-for-them-not-us-fans-anger-at-us.html)[[^]](https://www.clickorlando.com/sports/2026/01/13/trump-travel-ban-leaves-senegal-ivory-coast-fans-in-limbo-for-world-cup/) |

**The May 2026 waiver only exempts visa bond payments for some travelers**

The May 2026 waiver only exempts visa bond payments for some travelers. This financial deposit waiver, specifically for World Cup ticket holders from Senegal and Ivory Coast, provides an exemption solely from paying a visa bond, which typically ranges from **$5,000** to **$15,000** [[^]](https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c392dj4xwy4o)[[^]](https://betzoid.com/news/us-drops-visa-bond-requirement-for-world-cup-fans-but-the-fine-print-matters/)[[^]](https://newschannel9.com/sports/soccer/foreign-ticket-holders-from-world-cup-countries-wont-have-to-pay-bonds-to-enter-us). However, this waiver does not lift the underlying partial travel ban, nor does it grant entry to the United States, nor does it allow for new visitor visas to be issued to citizens of these countries [[^]](https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c392dj4xwy4o).

The December 2025 travel ban remains effective, limiting new visa access. The travel ban, which was implemented in December 2025, continues to be fully enforced, preventing citizens of Senegal and Ivory Coast from obtaining new visitor visas for travel to the United States [[^]](https://www.nbcnews.com/sports/soccer/trump-travel-ban-senegal-ivory-coast-world-cup-rcna253883)[[^]](https://www.modernghana.com/sports/1500341/a-world-cup-for-them-not-us-fans-anger-at-us.html)[[^]](https://www.clickorlando.com/sports/2026/01/13/trump-travel-ban-leaves-senegal-ivory-coast-fans-in-limbo-for-world-cup/). As a result, the deposit waiver is largely irrelevant for fans who did not already possess a valid visa before the ban took effect, as it does not signify the end of the travel ban itself [[^]](https://www.nbcnews.com/sports/soccer/trump-travel-ban-senegal-ivory-coast-world-cup-rcna253883)[[^]](https://www.modernghana.com/sports/1500341/a-world-cup-for-them-not-us-fans-anger-at-us.html)[[^]](https://www.clickorlando.com/sports/2026/01/13/trump-travel-ban-leaves-senegal-ivory-coast-fans-in-limbo-for-world-cup/)[[^]](https://kalshi.com/markets/kxfifatravel/will-the-travel-ban-end-for-any-countries-participating-in-the-world-cup/kxfifatravel-26jun11)[[^]](https://www.coinbase.com/en-gb/predictions/event/KXFIFATRAVEL-26JUN11)[[^]](https://www.coinbase.com/en-au/predictions/event/KXFIFATRAVEL-26JUN11).

## What official timelines and visa processing data has the U.S. State Department released specifically for attendees of the 2026 World Cup?

FIFA PASS Release | U.S. State Department released for expedited B1/B2 visa interviews [[^]](https://www.state.gov/fifa-world-cup-26-visas-pass-faq/)[[^]](https://inside.fifa.com/organisation/media-releases/world-cup-2026-ticket-holders-prioritised-visa-appointments-united-states) |
Travel Bans Maintained | For 39 countries, including World Cup competitors Haiti, Iran, Senegal, and Ivory Coast [[^]](https://malesculaw.com/us-department-of-state-guide-fifa-pass-visa-procedures-for-world-cup-2026/)[[^]](https://www.state.gov/fifa-world-cup-26-visas-pass-faq/)[[^]](https://en.as.com/soccer/world-cup/this-is-the-current-situation-for-fans-and-players-from-countries-banned-by-the-trump-administration-f202605-n/) |
Visa Bond Waiver | Announced May 2026 for ticket-holding citizens from Algeria, Cape Verde, Ivory Coast, Senegal, Tunisia [[^]](https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cx212p8r28eo)[[^]](https://en.as.com/soccer/world-cup/this-is-the-current-situation-for-fans-and-players-from-countries-banned-by-the-trump-administration-f202605-n/) |

**The U.S**

The U.S. State Department created FIFA PASS for expedited visa appointments. The FIFA Priority Appointment Scheduling System (FIFA PASS) was introduced by the U.S. State Department to facilitate expedited B1/B2 visitor visa interview appointments for individuals holding tickets to the 2026 World Cup [[^]](https://www.state.gov/fifa-world-cup-26-visas-pass-faq/)[[^]](https://inside.fifa.com/organisation/media-releases/world-cup-2026-ticket-holders-prioritised-visa-appointments-united-states). However, official timelines or detailed visa processing data specifically released by the State Department regarding these arrangements are not specified in the available information [[^]](https://www.state.gov/fifa-world-cup-26-visas-pass-faq/)[[^]](https://inside.fifa.com/organisation/media-releases/world-cup-2026-ticket-holders-prioritised-visa-appointments-united-states).

Travel bans persisted for 39 nations, including World Cup participants. Despite the introduction of FIFA PASS, the U.S. administration maintained existing travel bans and restricted visa processing for 39 countries [[^]](https://malesculaw.com/us-department-of-state-guide-fifa-pass-visa-procedures-for-world-cup-2026/)[[^]](https://www.state.gov/fifa-world-cup-26-visas-pass-faq/)[[^]](https://en.as.com/soccer/world-cup/this-is-the-current-situation-for-fans-and-players-from-countries-banned-by-the-trump-administration-f202605-n/). This list included four nations competing in the World Cup: Haiti, Iran, Senegal, and Ivory Coast [[^]](https://malesculaw.com/us-department-of-state-guide-fifa-pass-visa-procedures-for-world-cup-2026/)[[^]](https://www.state.gov/fifa-world-cup-26-visas-pass-faq/)[[^]](https://en.as.com/soccer/world-cup/this-is-the-current-situation-for-fans-and-players-from-countries-banned-by-the-trump-administration-f202605-n/). Exceptions to these restrictions were generally limited to athletes, coaches, and support staff, rather than general fans from these countries [[^]](https://malesculaw.com/us-department-of-state-guide-fifa-pass-visa-procedures-for-world-cup-2026/)[[^]](https://www.state.gov/fifa-world-cup-26-visas-pass-faq/)[[^]](https://en.as.com/soccer/world-cup/this-is-the-current-situation-for-fans-and-players-from-countries-banned-by-the-trump-administration-f202605-n/).

A waiver for visa bond requirements was issued for five countries. In May 2026, a targeted waiver was announced by the U.S. government, exempting ticket-holding citizens from five World Cup-qualifying countries—Algeria, Cape Verde, Ivory Coast, Senegal, and Tunisia—from a **$15,000** visa bond requirement [[^]](https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cx212p8r28eo)[[^]](https://en.as.com/soccer/world-cup/this-is-the-current-situation-for-fans-and-players-from-countries-banned-by-the-trump-administration-f202605-n/). This waiver did not lead to the lifting of the broader travel bans for restricted nations [[^]](https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cx212p8r28eo)[[^]](https://en.as.com/soccer/world-cup/this-is-the-current-situation-for-fans-and-players-from-countries-banned-by-the-trump-administration-f202605-n/).

## What diplomatic pressures from allied nations or FIFA could influence the White House to issue travel ban exemptions before the World Cup?

Travel ban status for general citizens | Not lifted as of June 9, 2026 (two days before tournament start) [[^]](https://www.al-monitor.com/originals/2026/06/irans-world-cup-team-blast-us-visa-row-arrival-mexico)[[^]](https://www.thecanary.co/global/world-analysis/2026/06/08/world-cup-visa-chaos/)[[^]](https://www.thenationalnews.com/sport/football/2026/06/08/world-cup-us-visitors/) |
Exemption for athletes/staff | Previously carved out for World Cup athletes, coaches, and necessary support staff from 39 countries and Palestinian Authority [[^]](https://apnews.com/article/trump-visas-travel-ban-world-cup-olympics-869bace5a2eb40b7f1aac1e6b8667474)[[^]](https://www.nbcnewyork.com/news/national-international/usa-major-sporting-events-exempt-trump-visa-ban/6444707/)[[^]](https://yournews.com/2026/01/15/6176285/trump-administration-grants-visa-exemptions-for-athletes-at-major-sporting/)[[^]](https://forumtogether.org/article/explainer-impact-of-travel-and-immigration-restrictions-on-the-2026-fifa-mens-world-cup/) |
Visa bond waiver for fans | Granted in May 2026 for ticketed fans from 5 specific nations (Algeria, Cape Verde, Ivory Coast, Senegal, Tunisia) [[^]](https://www.kgou.org/business-and-economy/2026-05-13/foreign-ticket-holders-from-world-cup-teams-countries-wont-have-to-pay-bonds-to-enter-u-s)[[^]](https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cx212p8r28eo)[[^]](https://www.espn.com/soccer/story/_/id/48760094/2026-world-cup-visa-bonds-tickets-fans-trump-administration) |

**White House maintains travel bans for general citizens before the World Cup**

White House maintains travel bans for general citizens before the World Cup. As of June 9, 2026, two days before the start of the tournament, the White House has not lifted the core travel bans for general citizens from the restricted World Cup nations [[^]](https://www.al-monitor.com/originals/2026/06/irans-world-cup-team-blast-us-visa-row-arrival-mexico)[[^]](https://www.thecanary.co/global/world-analysis/2026/06/08/world-cup-visa-chaos/)[[^]](https://www.thenationalnews.com/sport/football/2026/06/08/world-cup-us-visitors/). This ongoing restriction effectively prevents many fans, journalists, and corporate sponsors from 39 affected countries, including Iran, Haiti, Senegal, and Ivory Coast, from entering the U.S. for the event [[^]](https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cx212p8r28eo)[[^]](https://www.cfr.org/articles/the-u-s-is-co-hosting-the-world-cup-but-much-of-the-world-cant-attend)[[^]](https://www.thecanary.co/global/world-analysis/2026/06/08/world-cup-visa-chaos/)[[^]](https://www.espn.com.au/football/story/_/id/47966503/haiti-senegal-ivory-coast-iran-travel-visa-ban-world-cup-2026).

Specific exemptions permit athletes and some ticketed fans to enter. Despite the broad restrictions, some specific exemptions have been implemented. The previous Trump administration explicitly allowed World Cup athletes, coaches, and necessary support staff from affected countries and the Palestinian Authority to enter the U.S. [[^]](https://apnews.com/article/trump-visas-travel-ban-world-cup-olympics-869bace5a2eb40b7f1aac1e6b8667474)[[^]](https://www.nbcnewyork.com/news/national-international/usa-major-sporting-events-exempt-trump-visa-ban/6444707/)[[^]](https://yournews.com/2026/01/15/6176285/trump-administration-grants-visa-exemptions-for-athletes-at-major-sporting/)[[^]](https://forumtogether.org/article/explainer-impact-of-travel-and-immigration-restrictions-on-the-2026-fifa-mens-world-cup/). More recently, in May 2026, the U.S. administration granted a limited exemption to the broader visa bond requirement, enabling ticketed fans from Algeria, Cape Verde, Ivory Coast, Senegal, and Tunisia to enter without paying bonds of up to **$15,000** [[^]](https://www.kgou.org/business-and-economy/2026-05-13/foreign-ticket-holders-from-world-cup-teams-countries-wont-have-to-pay-bonds-to-enter-u-s)[[^]](https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cx212p8r28eo)[[^]](https://www.espn.com/soccer/story/_/id/48760094/2026-world-cup-visa-bonds-tickets-fans-trump-administration).

Information on specific diplomatic pressures for further exemptions is unavailable. While there are mentions of a potential "diplomatic off-ramp" and other "diplomatic channels," the available information does not specify what diplomatic pressures from allied nations or FIFA could influence the White House to issue further travel ban exemptions for general citizens [[^]](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YFvaHWg9ENs)[[^]](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lFw7j-xHQUU).

## What Could Change the Odds

**As of June 9, 2026, the Trump administration's travel bans remain in effect for 39 countries, including four World Cup participants: Iran and Haiti (full ban) and Senegal and Ivory Coast (partial ban) [[^]](https://travel.state.gov/content/travel/en/News/visas-news/suspension-of-visa-issuance-to-foreign-nationals-to-protect-the-security-of-the-united-states.html)[[^]](https://www.centerforsustainableimmigration.com/articles/travel-bans-country-restrictions-explained)[[^]](https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/12/restricting-and-limiting-the-entry-of-foreign-nationals-to-protect-the-security-of-the-united-states/)[[^]](https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cx212p8r28eo)[[^]](https://www.thenationalnews.com/sport/football/2026/01/21/which-2026-fifa-world-cup-countries-does-trumps-travel-ban-impact/)[[^]](https://en.as.com/soccer/world-cup/this-is-the-current-situation-for-fans-and-players-from-countries-banned-by-the-trump-administration-f202605-n/)[[^]](https://www.cfr.org/articles/the-u-s-is-co-hosting-the-world-cup-but-much-of-the-world-cant-attend).** While athletes, coaches, and support staff for the World Cup have categorical exceptions, fans from these nations are generally barred from tourist/visitor visas needed to attend [[^]](https://travel.state.gov/content/travel/en/News/visas-news/suspension-of-visa-issuance-to-foreign-nationals-to-protect-the-security-of-the-united-states.html)[[^]](https://www.centerforsustainableimmigration.com/articles/travel-bans-country-restrictions-explained)[[^]](https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/12/restricting-and-limiting-the-entry-of-foreign-nationals-to-protect-the-security-of-the-united-states/)[[^]](https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cx212p8r28eo)[[^]](https://www.thenationalnews.com/sport/football/2026/01/21/which-2026-fifa-world-cup-countries-does-trumps-travel-ban-impact/)[[^]](https://en.as.com/soccer/world-cup/this-is-the-current-situation-for-fans-and-players-from-countries-banned-by-the-trump-administration-f202605-n/)[[^]](https://www.cfr.org/articles/the-u-s-is-co-hosting-the-world-cup-but-much-of-the-world-cant-attend). The U.S. government announced a waiver in May 2026 for a **$15,000** visa bond requirement previously applied to fans from five participating countries (Algeria, Cape Verde, Ivory Coast, Senegal, and Tunisia) who had purchased World Cup tickets by mid-April [[^]](https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cx212p8r28eo)[[^]](https://en.as.com/soccer/world-cup/this-is-the-current-situation-for-fans-and-players-from-countries-banned-by-the-trump-administration-f202605-n/)[[^]](https://www.cfr.org/articles/the-u-s-is-co-hosting-the-world-cup-but-much-of-the-world-cant-attend). This is a specific financial waiver rather than an end to the underlying travel ban [[^]](https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cx212p8r28eo)[[^]](https://en.as.com/soccer/world-cup/this-is-the-current-situation-for-fans-and-players-from-countries-banned-by-the-trump-administration-f202605-n/)[[^]](https://www.cfr.org/articles/the-u-s-is-co-hosting-the-world-cup-but-much-of-the-world-cant-attend).

**A federal court ruling on June 8, 2026, struck down nationality-based freezes on USCIS immigration benefit applications (e.g., asylum, green cards, work permits) for the 39 banned countries [[^]](https://www.americanimmigrationcouncil.org/blog/court-blocks-uscis-immigration-pause-39-countries/)[[^]](https://www.visaverge.com/news/us-judge-orders-immigration-agency-to-end-travel-ban-holds-on-39-countries-cases/).** However, this ruling does not overturn the Department of State's separate travel bans or visa issuance suspensions for applicants located overseas [[^]](https://www.americanimmigrationcouncil.org/blog/court-blocks-uscis-immigration-pause-39-countries/)[[^]](https://www.visaverge.com/news/us-judge-orders-immigration-agency-to-end-travel-ban-holds-on-39-countries-cases/). Political prediction markets in June 2026 are heavily focused on high-frequency data, such as Trump's Truth Social posting volume and specific rhetorical choices in upcoming events, rather than immediate shifts in broad travel policies, which are considered durable under the current administration's executive authority [[^]](https://www.lines.com/prediction-markets/politics/who-will-trump-meet-with-in-june)[[^]](https://www.lines.com/prediction-markets/politics/what-will-trump-say-in-june)[[^]](https://www.lines.com/prediction-markets/politics/donald-trump-of-truth-social-posts-june-9-june-16)[[^]](https://www.lines.com/prediction-markets/politics/donald-trump-of-truth-social-posts-june-2-june-9)[[^]](https://www.lines.com/prediction-markets/politics/donald-trump-of-truth-social-posts-june-5-june-12).

## Key Dates & Catalysts

- **Expiration:** June 18, 2026
- **Closes:** June 11, 2026

## Decision-Flipping Events

- As of June 9, 2026, the Trump administration's travel bans remain in effect for 39 countries, including four World Cup participants: Iran and Haiti (full ban) and Senegal and Ivory Coast (partial ban) [^] [^] [^] [^] [^] [^] [^] .
- While athletes, coaches, and support staff for the World Cup have categorical exceptions, fans from these nations are generally barred from tourist/visitor visas needed to attend [^] [^] [^] [^] [^] [^] [^] .
- The U.S.
- Government announced a waiver in May 2026 for a **$15,000** visa bond requirement previously applied to fans from five participating countries (Algeria, Cape Verde, Ivory Coast, Senegal, and Tunisia) who had purchased World Cup tickets by mid-April [^] [^] [^] .

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## Historical Resolutions

No historical resolution data available for this series.

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