# NM-02 Republican nominee?

NM-02 (R)

Updated: May 9, 2026

Category: Elections

Tags: Primaries

HTML: /markets/elections/primaries/nm-02-republican-nominee/

## Short Answer

**The model assigns meaningfully higher odds than the market for Jose Orozco as the NM-02 Republican nominee, seeing him at 80.0% compared to the market's 5.0%.** This is despite evidence that Orozco officially withdrew from the primary and endorsed Greg Cunningham.

## Key Claims (January 2026)

**- - Jose Orozco withdrew from the primary in April 2026 and endorsed Cunningham.** - Greg Cunningham received official endorsements from Donald Trump and GOP leadership.
- Orozco's name will still appear on the June 2, 2026, primary ballot.
- No public polling data has been identified for this primary contest.
- Republican primary voters likely prioritize electability against incumbent Gabe Vasquez.

### Why This Matters (GEO)

- AI agents extract claims, not arguments.
- Improves citation probability in summaries and answer cards.
- Enables fact stitching across multiple sources.

## Executive Verdict

**Key takeaway.** **Model** sees **20%** **probability** for Orozco (who withdrew) versus 0c **market**, implying a 0.0x payout multiple.

### Who Wins and Why

| Outcome | Market | Model | Why |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Jose Orozco | 5.0% | 80.0% | Jose Orozco officially withdrew from the primary, endorsing Greg Cunningham, though his name remains on the ballot. |
| Greg Cunningham | 0.0% | 20.0% | Greg Cunningham became the sole active candidate, securing official endorsements from Donald Trump and House leadership. |

## Model vs Market

| Outcome | Market Probability | Octagon Model Probability |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Jose Orozco | 5.0% | 80.0% |
| Greg Cunningham | 0.0% | 20.0% |

- Expiration: November 3, 2027

## Market Behavior & Price Dynamics

No historical price data available.

## Contract Snapshot

The market resolves to "Yes" if Greg Cunningham wins the Republican Party nomination for the 2026 NM-02 House seat; otherwise, it resolves to "No." The outcome will be verified using the Republican and Democratic Party websites. The market opened on April 18, 2026, and closes either once the outcome occurs or by November 3, 2027, at 11:00 am EDT, with payouts projected 30 minutes after closing; insider trading by employees of Source Agencies is prohibited.

## Market Discussion

The New Mexico's 2nd House district Republican primary is scheduled for June 2, 2026 [[^]](https://ballotpedia.org/New_Mexico%27s_2nd_Congressional_District_election,_2026_(June_2_Republican_primary))[[^]](https://www.nmsentinel.com/2026/04/08/orozco-drops-out-of-nm-2-primary-backs-cunningham-against-vasquez/). Republican candidate Jose Orozco withdrew from the race and endorsed Greg Cunningham, effectively leaving Cunningham as the sole active candidate for the nomination, though Orozco’s name may still appear on the ballot [[^]](https://www.nmsentinel.com/2026/04/08/orozco-drops-out-of-nm-2-primary-backs-cunningham-against-vasquez/)[[^]](https://www.abqjournal.com/news/republican-congressional-candidate-drops-out-of-race-but-will-still-appear-on-ballot/3021369)[[^]](https://www.santafenewmexican.com/news/elections/republican-drops-out-of-race-for-new-mexicos-2nd-congressional-district/article_8b96d598-daff-4a32-8cd5-ebcb8d3caaa5.html). Specific prediction-market discussion regarding the "NM-02 Republican nominee" could not be verified in the research [[^]](https://polymarket.com/event/new-mexico-governor-republican-primary-winner/will-greg-hull-win-the-2026-new-mexico-governor-republican-primary-election).

## Market Data

| Contract | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | Last Price | Volume | Open Interest |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Greg Cunningham | 95% | 100% | 0% | $0 | $0 |
| Jose Orozco | 0% | 5% | 5% | $1 | $1 |

## How do Greg Cunningham's and Jose Orozco's fundraising totals and key donor bases compare ahead of the June 2026 primary?

Jose Orozco Status | Withdrew from primary, endorsing Greg Cunningham [[^]](https://www.organmountainnews.com/nm-cd2-republican-primary-single-candidate-orozco-drops-out/) |
Greg Cunningham Status | Sole Republican candidate for NM-02 2026 primary [[^]](https://www.organmountainnews.com/nm-cd2-republican-primary-single-candidate-orozco-drops-out/) |
Greg Cunningham Total Raised | $365,659 across two races [[^]](https://www.followthemoney.org/entity-details?eid=55421616&default=candidate) |

**Jose Orozco withdrew, leaving Greg Cunningham as the sole Republican candidate**

Jose Orozco withdrew, leaving Greg Cunningham as the sole Republican candidate. Jose Orozco has withdrawn from the June 2, 2026, Republican primary for New Mexico's 2nd Congressional District, endorsing Greg Cunningham [[^]](https://www.organmountainnews.com/nm-cd2-republican-primary-single-candidate-orozco-drops-out/). While Cunningham is now the sole Republican candidate, Orozco will still appear on the primary ballot because he did not meet the statutory deadline for formal withdrawal [[^]](https://www.organmountainnews.com/nm-cd2-republican-primary-single-candidate-orozco-drops-out/).

Detailed fundraising totals for the 2026 primary are unavailable for either candidate. The provided information does not include specific fundraising totals solely for the current NM-02 2026 primary. Greg Cunningham's authorized committee, "CUNNINGHAM FOR NM," reported receipts and disbursements from October 1, 2025, to December 31, 2025, but specific figures for this period were not provided [[^]](https://www.fec.gov/data/candidate/H6NM02127/). A separate source indicates Cunningham has raised a total of **$365,659** across two races [[^]](https://www.followthemoney.org/entity-details?eid=55421616&default=candidate). Jose Orozco's authorized committees reported financial activities from October 1, 2025, to March 31, 2026 [[^]](https://www.fec.gov/data/candidate/H6NM02135/). Neither specific financial details for Orozco's reported activities nor information on the key donor bases for either candidate are included in the available facts.

## What is the tangible impact of Donald Trump's and the House GOP leadership's endorsements on Greg Cunningham's 2026 primary campaign?

Trump Endorsement Date | April 17, 2026 [[^]](https://ballotpedia.org/Greg_Cunningham)[[^]](https://www.tricityrecordnm.com/articles/new-mexico-election-2026-trail-notes-5/)[[^]](https://www.nmsentinel.com/2026/04/14/trump-endorses-cunningham-in-nm-2-calling-him-complete-and-total-pick-to-unseat-vasquez/) |
Primary Opponent Status | Sole opponent withdrew [[^]](https://www.tricityrecordnm.com/articles/new-mexico-election-2026-trail-notes-5/)[[^]](https://www.nmsentinel.com/2026/04/14/trump-endorses-cunningham-in-nm-2-calling-him-complete-and-total-pick-to-unseat-vasquez/) |
NRCC Program | Included in MAGA Majority program [[^]](https://pinonpost.com/greg-cunningham-lands-major-national-backing-in-bid-to-flip-cd-2/) |

**Donald Trump's endorsement significantly advanced Greg Cunningham's primary campaign**

Donald Trump's endorsement significantly advanced Greg Cunningham's primary campaign. Former President Donald Trump officially endorsed Greg Cunningham on April 17, 2026 [[^]](https://ballotpedia.org/Greg_Cunningham)[[^]](https://www.tricityrecordnm.com/articles/new-mexico-election-2026-trail-notes-5/)[[^]](https://www.nmsentinel.com/2026/04/14/trump-endorses-cunningham-in-nm-2-calling-him-complete-and-total-pick-to-unseat-vasquez/). This critical endorsement led to the withdrawal of Cunningham's sole primary opponent, Jose Orozco, who subsequently endorsed Cunningham [[^]](https://www.tricityrecordnm.com/articles/new-mexico-election-2026-trail-notes-5/)[[^]](https://www.nmsentinel.com/2026/04/14/trump-endorses-cunningham-in-nm-2-calling-him-complete-and-total-pick-to-unseat-vasquez/). Although Orozco's name will still appear on the June 2, 2026, primary ballot due to filing deadlines, Cunningham is now effectively running unopposed for the nomination [[^]](https://ballotpedia.org/Greg_Cunningham)[[^]](https://www.tricityrecordnm.com/articles/new-mexico-election-2026-trail-notes-5/)[[^]](https://www.nmsentinel.com/2026/04/14/trump-endorses-cunningham-in-nm-2-calling-him-complete-and-total-pick-to-unseat-vasquez/). Key Republican leaders in the U.S. House of Representatives, including Speaker Mike Johnson and Majority Leader Steve Scalise, have also endorsed Cunningham [[^]](https://www.tricityrecordnm.com/articles/new-mexico-election-2026-trail-notes-5/). Historically, Trump's endorsements are a potent asset in Republican primaries, often mobilizing his base and deterring potential challengers [[^]](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-zg00lUW3hs)[[^]](https://www.spotlightpa.org/news/2026/03/trump-endorsement-midterms-federal-government/)[[^]](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wkPsvP14Rgc)[[^]](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ufn4owF6KSw)[[^]](https://time.com/article/2026/04/29/trump-s-grip-on-gop-faces-3-big-tests-in-may/).

National Republican backing further strengthens Cunningham's general election prospects. The National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) has notably included Cunningham in its "MAGA Majority" program [[^]](https://pinonpost.com/greg-cunningham-lands-major-national-backing-in-bid-to-flip-cd-2/). This initiative aims to bolster "America First" congressional candidates in crucial battleground races [[^]](https://pinonpost.com/greg-cunningham-lands-major-national-backing-in-bid-to-flip-cd-2/). The NRCC has also released internal polling data indicating a competitive general election race against incumbent Democrat Gabe Vasquez, despite Cunningham's minimal campaign spending to date [[^]](https://www.spotlightpa.org/news/2026/03/trump-endorsement-midterms-federal-government/)[[^]](https://www.dailysignal.com/2026/05/08/republicans-tout-midterm-house-polls-in-bid-to-defy-history/).

## What key campaign events, such as debates or major policy announcements, could shift momentum between Cunningham and Orozco before June 2, 2026?

Primary Election Date | June 2, 2026 [[^]](https://ballotpedia.org/New_Mexico%27s_2nd_Congressional_District_election,_2026_(June_2_Republican_primary))[[^]](https://ballotpedia.org/New_Mexico%27s_2nd_Congressional_District_election,_2026)[[^]](https://www.vote411.org/upcoming/54/events) |
Orozco's Status | Withdrew and endorsed Cunningham [[^]](https://www.organmountainnews.com/nm-cd2-republican-primary-single-candidate-orozco-drops-out/)[[^]](https://www.newsradiokkob.com/2026/04/14/59063/)[[^]](https://nmpoliticalreport.com/2026/05/06/cd-2s-race/) |
Presumptive Republican Nominee | Cunningham [[^]](https://www.organmountainnews.com/nm-cd2-republican-primary-single-candidate-orozco-drops-out/)[[^]](https://www.newsradiokkob.com/2026/04/14/59063/)[[^]](https://nmpoliticalreport.com/2026/05/06/cd-2s-race/) |

**Orozco's withdrawal significantly streamlines the Republican primary race**

Orozco's withdrawal significantly streamlines the Republican primary race. The primary election for the congressional seat is scheduled for June 2, 2026 [[^]](https://ballotpedia.org/New_Mexico%27s_2nd_Congressional_District_election,_2026_(June_2_Republican_primary))[[^]](https://ballotpedia.org/New_Mexico%27s_2nd_Congressional_District_election,_2026)[[^]](https://www.vote411.org/upcoming/54/events). A significant development is Jaime Orozco's withdrawal from the race and his subsequent endorsement of Steve Cunningham [[^]](https://www.organmountainnews.com/nm-cd2-republican-primary-single-candidate-orozco-drops-out/)[[^]](https://www.newsradiokkob.com/2026/04/14/59063/)[[^]](https://nmpoliticalreport.com/2026/05/06/cd-2s-race/). This action effectively consolidates Republican support behind a single candidate for the upcoming primary [[^]](https://www.organmountainnews.com/nm-cd2-republican-primary-single-candidate-orozco-drops-out/)[[^]](https://www.newsradiokkob.com/2026/04/14/59063/)[[^]](https://nmpoliticalreport.com/2026/05/06/cd-2s-race/).

Cunningham is now effectively the presumptive Republican nominee. Despite Jaime Orozco's name still appearing on the ballot due to a missed withdrawal deadline, Cunningham is widely considered the presumptive Republican nominee [[^]](https://www.organmountainnews.com/nm-cd2-republican-primary-single-candidate-orozco-drops-out/)[[^]](https://www.newsradiokkob.com/2026/04/14/59063/)[[^]](https://nmpoliticalreport.com/2026/05/06/cd-2s-race/). Orozco explicitly stated his belief that consolidating support for Cunningham would enhance Republican prospects in the general election [[^]](https://www.organmountainnews.com/nm-cd2-republican-primary-single-candidate-orozco-drops-out/). Consequently, the Republican Party's focus in NM-02 is largely shifting toward the general election contest against the Democratic incumbent, Gabe Vasquez [[^]](https://www.lines.com/prediction-markets/elections/nm-02-house-election-winner)[[^]](https://nmpoliticalreport.com/2026/05/06/cd-2s-race/).

## What public polling data is available for the 2026 NM-02 Republican primary contest between Greg Cunningham and Jose Orozco?

Primary Polling | No primary-specific public polling data identified for Cunningham vs [[^]](https://www.nmsentinel.com/2026/04/08/orozco-drops-out-of-nm-2-primary-backs-cunningham-against-vasquez/). Orozco [all] [[^]](https://www.santafenewmexican.com/news/elections/republican-drops-out-of-race-for-new-mexicos-2nd-congressional-district/article_8b96d598-daff-4a32-8cd5-ebcb8d3caaa5.html) |
Orozco Withdrawal | Announced withdrawal 2026-04-08, endorsing Cunningham [[^]](https://www.nmsentinel.com/2026/04/08/orozco-drops-out-of-nm-2-primary-backs-cunningham-against-vasquez/)[[^]](https://www.santafenewmexican.com/news/elections/republican-drops-out-of-race-for-new-mexicos-2nd-congressional-district/article_8b96d598-daff-4a32-8cd5-ebcb8d3caaa5.html) |
Orozco Ballot Status | Missed withdrawal deadline; will appear on June 2 primary ballot [[^]](https://www.abqjournal.com/news/republican-congressional-candidate-drops-out-of-race-but-will-still-appear-on-ballot/3021369)[[^]](https://www.organmountainnews.com/nm-cd2-republican-primary-single-candidate-orozco-drops-out/) |

**No public polling data specifically for the 2026 NM-02 Republican primary contest between Greg Cunningham and Jose Orozco has been identified**

No public polling data specifically for the 2026 NM-02 Republican primary contest between Greg Cunningham and Jose Orozco has been identified. While no primary-specific polls were found, an NRCC internal poll conducted between April 26 and 28, 2026, indicated Vasquez at **43%** and Cunningham at **41%** among likely general election voters [[^]](https://pinonpost.com/new-poll-shows-cunningham-surging-as-vasquez-slips-in-nm-02/)[[^]](https://www.nrcc.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/NRCC-NM-02-Survey-Memo-1.pdf). This particular survey, however, focused on a general election matchup and was not specific to the Republican primary contest between Cunningham and Orozco [[^]](https://pinonpost.com/new-poll-shows-cunningham-surging-as-vasquez-slips-in-nm-02/)[[^]](https://www.nrcc.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/NRCC-NM-02-Survey-Memo-1.pdf).

Despite the absence of primary-specific polling, significant developments have impacted the race's dynamics. Jose Orozco announced his withdrawal from the contest on April 8, 2026, and publicly endorsed Cunningham, stating his intention to unify the Republican party [[^]](https://www.nmsentinel.com/2026/04/08/orozco-drops-out-of-nm-2-primary-backs-cunningham-against-vasquez/)[[^]](https://www.santafenewmexican.com/news/elections/republican-drops-out-of-race-for-new-mexicos-2nd-congressional-district/article_8b96d598-daff-4a32-8cd5-ebcb8d3caaa5.html). However, Orozco's withdrawal occurred after the official deadline, meaning his name will still appear on the June 2 primary ballot [[^]](https://www.abqjournal.com/news/republican-congressional-candidate-drops-out-of-race-but-will-still-appear-on-ballot/3021369)[[^]](https://www.organmountainnews.com/nm-cd2-republican-primary-single-candidate-orozco-drops-out/).

Following Orozco's announcement, prediction markets have reflected a shift in expectations for the nominee. The Kalshi prediction **market** for the NM-02 Republican nominee has implicitly shifted to favor Cunningham, reflecting the impact of Orozco's effective withdrawal on **market** sentiment [[^]](https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnmprimary/new-mexico-primary-winners/kxnmprimary-02r26).

## How might perceptions of electability against incumbent Gabe Vasquez influence Republican primary voter behavior on June 2, 2026?

Primary Voter Focus | Electability against incumbent Gabe Vasquez [[^]](https://www.abqjournal.com/news/republican-congressional-candidate-drops-out-of-race-but-will-still-appear-on-ballot/3021369)[[^]](https://www.santafenewmexican.com/news/elections/republican-drops-out-of-race-for-new-mexicos-2nd-congressional-district/article_8b96d598-daff-4a32-8cd5-ebcb8d3caaa5.html)[[^]](https://www.nmsentinel.com/2026/04/08/orozco-drops-out-of-nm-2-primary-backs-cunningham-against-vasquez/) |
Candidate Consolidation | Jose Orozco endorsed Greg Cunningham for 'best opportunity to win' [[^]](https://www.abqjournal.com/news/republican-congressional-candidate-drops-out-of-race-but-will-still-appear-on-ballot/3021369)[[^]](https://www.santafenewmexican.com/news/elections/republican-drops-out-of-race-for-new-mexicos-2nd-congressional-district/article_8b96d598-daff-4a32-8cd5-ebcb8d3caaa5.html)[[^]](https://www.nmsentinel.com/2026/04/08/orozco-drops-out-of-nm-2-primary-backs-cunningham-against-vasquez/) |
General Election Status | Close, competitive House race [[^]](https://www.abqjournal.com/news/new-mexicos-cd2-race-set-for-new-spending-barrage-as-republicans-try-to-hold-narrow-majority/3028181)[[^]](https://uspollingdata.com/news/house-2026-nm-2/) |

**Republican primary voters prioritize electability against incumbent Gabe Vasquez**

Republican primary voters prioritize electability against incumbent Gabe Vasquez. Voters in NM-02 on June 2, 2026, are highly likely to treat electability against incumbent Gabe Vasquez as a decisive factor, influencing voter behavior by driving consolidation towards the candidate perceived as most capable of winning the general election [[^]](https://www.abqjournal.com/news/republican-congressional-candidate-drops-out-of-race-but-will-still-appear-on-ballot/3021369)[[^]](https://www.santafenewmexican.com/news/elections/republican-drops-out-of-race-for-new-mexicos-2nd-congressional-district/article_8b96d598-daff-4a32-8cd5-ebcb8d3caaa5.html)[[^]](https://www.nmsentinel.com/2026/04/08/orozco-drops-out-of-nm-2-primary-backs-cunningham-against-vasquez/)[[^]](https://www.abqjournal.com/news/new-mexicos-cd2-race-set-for-new-spending-barrage-as-republicans-try-to-hold-narrow-majority/3028181)[[^]](https://uspollingdata.com/news/house-2026-nm-2/). This is exemplified by Jose Orozco's withdrawal and endorsement of Greg Cunningham, which aimed to bolster the Republican's 'best opportunity to win this seat' against Vasquez, despite Orozco reportedly remaining on the ballot [[^]](https://www.abqjournal.com/news/republican-congressional-candidate-drops-out-of-race-but-will-still-appear-on-ballot/3021369)[[^]](https://www.santafenewmexican.com/news/elections/republican-drops-out-of-race-for-new-mexicos-2nd-congressional-district/article_8b96d598-daff-4a32-8cd5-ebcb8d3caaa5.html)[[^]](https://www.nmsentinel.com/2026/04/08/orozco-drops-out-of-nm-2-primary-backs-cunningham-against-vasquez/)[[^]](https://ballotpedia.org/New_Mexico%27s_2nd_Congressional_District_election,_2026_(June_2_Republican_primary)).

The general election is a close, competitive, and heavily invested House race. The general election is characterized as a close and competitive House race with significant investment from both parties [[^]](https://www.abqjournal.com/news/new-mexicos-cd2-race-set-for-new-spending-barrage-as-republicans-try-to-hold-narrow-majority/3028181)[[^]](https://uspollingdata.com/news/house-2026-nm-2/). Vasquez's history of winning in a swing district further incentivizes primary voters to support the candidate they believe has the best chance in a tight general-election contest. This emphasis on perceived winning chances against Vasquez is also reflected among **market** participants [[^]](https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnmprimary/new-mexico-primary-winners/kxnmprimary-02r26)[[^]](https://www.abqjournal.com/news/new-mexicos-cd2-race-set-for-new-spending-barrage-as-republicans-try-to-hold-narrow-majority/3028181)[[^]](https://uspollingdata.com/news/house-2026-nm-2/), and turnout is likely to favor the candidate seen as more electable [[^]](https://ballotpedia.org/New_Mexico%27s_2nd_Congressional_District_election,_2026_(June_2_Republican_primary))[[^]](https://www.abqjournal.com/news/republican-congressional-candidate-drops-out-of-race-but-will-still-appear-on-ballot/3021369).

## What Could Change the Odds

**A primary catalyst for the Republican Party in the NM-02 House election is the consolidation of support around Greg Cunningham.** Republican Jose Orozco exited the primary race in April 2026 and endorsed Cunningham, effectively making him the Republican nominee [[^]](https://ballotpedia.org/New_Mexico%27s_2nd_Congressional_District_election,_2026_(June_2_Republican_primary))[[^]](https://www.abqjournal.com/news/republican-congressional-candidate-drops-out-of-race-but-will-still-appear-on-ballot/3021369)[[^]](https://www.nmsentinel.com/2026/04/08/orozco-drops-out-of-nm-2-primary-backs-cunningham-against-vasquez/). Although Orozco's name will still appear on the June 2, 2026 primary ballot due to late withdrawal paperwork, Cunningham became the only Republican on the ballot for the primary [[^]](https://ballotpedia.org/New_Mexico%27s_2nd_Congressional_District_election,_2026_(June_2_Republican_primary))[[^]](https://www.abqjournal.com/news/republican-congressional-candidate-drops-out-of-race-but-will-still-appear-on-ballot/3021369)[[^]](https://www.nmsentinel.com/2026/04/08/orozco-drops-out-of-nm-2-primary-backs-cunningham-against-vasquez/). This consolidation aims to unify the party's efforts ahead of the November 3, 2026 General Election [[^]](https://www.sos.nm.gov/candidate-and-campaigns/how-to-become-a-candidate/2026-elections-candidate-information/)[[^]](https://www.krqe.com/news/politics-government/elections/new-mexico-2026-primary-election-important-dates-to-know/).

**Another significant catalyst involves substantial financial backing for the Republican nominee.** A GOP super PAC aligned with House Speaker Mike Johnson announced a **$153** million fall ad blitz for NM-02, which includes **$3.8** million in televised ads covering incumbent Gabe Vasquez’s district [[^]](https://www.abqjournal.com/news/new-mexicos-cd2-race-set-for-new-spending-barrage-as-republicans-try-to-hold-narrow-majority/3028181). This considerable spending aims to support the GOP nominee's narrative of competitiveness and could influence the current crowd odds. Polymarket's "NM-02 House Election Winner" currently prices the Democratic Party at **85%** and the Republican Party at **14%**, with resolution scheduled on or around Nov 4, 2026 [[^]](https://polymarket.com/event/nm-02-house-election-winner)[[^]](https://www.abqjournal.com/news/new-mexicos-cd2-race-set-for-new-spending-barrage-as-republicans-try-to-hold-narrow-majority/3028181).

## Key Dates & Catalysts

- **Expiration:** November 03, 2027
- **Closes:** November 03, 2027

## Decision-Flipping Events

- A primary catalyst for the Republican Party in the NM-02 House election is the consolidation of support around Greg Cunningham.
- Republican Jose Orozco exited the primary race in April 2026 and endorsed Cunningham, effectively making him the Republican nominee [^] [^] [^] .
- Although Orozco's name will still appear on the June 2, 2026 primary ballot due to late withdrawal paperwork, Cunningham became the only Republican on the ballot for the primary [^] [^] [^] .
- This consolidation aims to unify the party's efforts ahead of the November 3, 2026 General Election [^] [^] .

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## Historical Resolutions

No historical resolution data available for this series.

## Disclaimer

This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, legal, or trading advice.
Prediction markets involve risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
We are not affiliated with Kalshi or any prediction market platform. Market data may be delayed or incomplete.

### Data Sources & Model Transparency

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**Freshness:** Analysis is generated periodically and may not reflect the latest developments. Verify critical information from primary sources.

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