# BTC price on Jun 11, 2026 at 7pm EDT?

On Jun 11, 2026 at 7pm EDT

Updated: June 11, 2026

Category: Crypto

Tags: Hourly
BTC

HTML: /markets/crypto/hourly/btc-price-on-jun-11-2026-at-7pm-edt/

## Short Answer

**The model assigns meaningfully higher odds than the market for Bitcoin's price being $51,600 or above on Jun 11, 2026 at 7pm EDT (100.0% model vs 0.0% market).** This is due to high-quality reports indicating Bitcoin was trading near **$63,400**–**$63,500** at that time, making the outcome highly probable.

## Key Claims (January 2026)

**- - Bitcoin was reported near $63,400-$63,500 at settlement on June 11, 2026.** - Higher-than-expected US Producer Prices likely exerted downward pressure on Bitcoin.
- Geopolitical tensions, including Iran's action, influenced Bitcoin's price.
- US spot Bitcoin ETFs faced significant net outflows before June 11, 2026.
- Long-term Bitcoin holders reportedly showed robust accumulation in early 2026.

### Why This Matters (GEO)

- AI agents extract claims, not arguments.
- Improves citation probability in summaries and answer cards.
- Enables fact stitching across multiple sources.

## Executive Verdict

**Key takeaway.** **Model** sees **100%** **probability** vs 0c **market** price, suggesting a +100pp gap as BTC was near **$63,400**.

### Who Wins and Why

| Outcome | Market | Model | Why |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Outcome | 0.0% | 100.0% | Model higher by 100.0pp |

## Model vs Market

- Model Probability: 100.0% (Yes)
- Market Probability: 0.0% (Yes)
- Yes refers to: Yes
- Edge: +100.0pp
- Expected Return: +0.0%
- R-Score: 14.29
- Total Volume: $128,890.8
- 24h Volume: $25,444.21
- Open Interest: $107,272.64

- Expiration: June 11, 2026

## Market Behavior & Price Dynamics

No historical price data available.

## Contract Snapshot

This Kalshi market concerns the Bitcoin price at 7pm EDT on "today." The specific conditions that trigger a 'YES' or 'NO' resolution are not detailed in the provided content, as the market question "BTC price today at 7pm EDT?" lacks a definite threshold or outcome. No special settlement conditions are mentioned, and the significance of "2026" in the title is unclear from the provided text.

## Market Discussion

On June 11, 2026, at approximately 7:33 p.m. EDT, Bitcoin (BTC) was trading at $63,500 [[^]](https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/06/11/live-updates-soft-core-inflation-gave-crypto-a-bounce-but-only-bitcoin-held-up-on-the-week). This market activity was influenced by anticipation of a SpaceX IPO scheduled for June 12, amid a sentiment marked by retail bullishness, institutional skepticism, consecutive ETF outflows, and "extreme fear" index readings [[^]](https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/06/11/live-updates-soft-core-inflation-gave-crypto-a-bounce-but-only-bitcoin-held-up-on-the-week).

## What major catalysts, such as the SpaceX IPO filing, influenced Bitcoin's price and trading volume on June 11, 2026?

US Producer Price Index (PPI) | 6.5% headline [[^]](https://coinpaper.com/17624/bitcoin-price-today-btc-retraces-after-may-us-ppi-hits-4-year-high-of-6-5) |
US Spot Bitcoin ETF Outflows | Significant [[^]](https://www.fxstreet.com/cryptocurrencies/news/bitcoin-price-forecast-btc-stages-modest-rebound-ahead-of-us-ppi-data-202606111054)[[^]](https://www.interactivecrypto.com/bitcoin-s-62-692-price-geopolitical-risks-and-5b-etf-outflows-jun-2026)[[^]](https://www.ainvest.com/news/bitcoin-62k-hold-thin-2-7b-etf-outflows-meet-hormuz-oil-shock-2606/) |
SpaceX IPO Share Price | $135 per share [[^]](https://www.newswire.ca/news-releases/space-exploration-technologies-corp-announces-filing-of-final-prospectus-in-connection-with-initial-public-offering-896638091.html)[[^]](https://www.newswire.ca/news-releases/space-exploration-technologies-corp-announces-pricing-of-initial-public-offering-893323066.html)[[^]](https://techcrunch.com/2026/06/11/spacex-officially-prices-shares-at-135-in-the-largest-ipo-ever/)[[^]](https://www.nbcnews.com/business/business-news/spacex-ipo-trading-price-rcna349225)[[^]](https://cryptobriefing.com/spacex-files-for-ipo-aims-to-raise-75b-with-5556m-shares-at-135-each/) |

**On June 11, 2026, Bitcoin's price and trading volume faced significant downward pressure**

On June 11, 2026, Bitcoin's price and trading volume faced significant downward pressure. This was influenced by higher-than-expected US Producer Price Index (PPI) data, which recorded a **6.5%** headline figure, coupled with ongoing geopolitical instability stemming from US military actions against Iran [[^]](https://coinpaper.com/17624/bitcoin-price-today-btc-retraces-after-may-us-ppi-hits-4-year-high-of-6-5). Further contributing to this fragile **market** sentiment were substantial institutional outflows from US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) on the same day, which intensified selling pressure [[^]](https://www.fxstreet.com/cryptocurrencies/news/bitcoin-price-forecast-btc-stages-modest-rebound-ahead-of-us-ppi-data-202606111054)[[^]](https://www.interactivecrypto.com/bitcoin-s-62-692-price-geopolitical-risks-and-5b-etf-outflows-jun-2026)[[^]](https://www.ainvest.com/news/bitcoin-62k-hold-thin-2-7b-etf-outflows-meet-hormuz-oil-shock-2606/).

Positive regulatory developments offered some counterbalance for the broader crypto industry. Coinbase notably received approval from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) to provide global perpetual futures to US traders [[^]](https://en.cryptonomist.ch/2026/06/11/coinbase-cftc-approval-crypto-perpetual-futures/). Concurrently, Japan enacted legislation to regulate crypto assets similarly to stocks [[^]](https://cryptopotato.com/japan-to-regulate-crypto-like-stocks-could-pave-way-for-etfs/), and Hungary moved to decriminalize digital asset trading, reversing prior restrictive laws [[^]](https://cryptobriefing.com/hungary-reverses-crypto-laws-decriminalizes-trading/).

Separately, SpaceX's significant IPO was a major **market** event on June 11, 2026. The company officially priced its initial public offering at **$135** per share, aiming to raise **$75** billion, establishing it as the largest IPO in history following the SEC's declaration that its registration statement was effective [[^]](https://www.newswire.ca/news-releases/space-exploration-technologies-corp-announces-filing-of-final-prospectus-in-connection-with-initial-public-offering-896638091.html)[[^]](https://www.newswire.ca/news-releases/space-exploration-technologies-corp-announces-pricing-of-initial-public-offering-893323066.html)[[^]](https://techcrunch.com/2026/06/11/spacex-officially-prices-shares-at-135-in-the-largest-ipo-ever/)[[^]](https://www.nbcnews.com/business/business-news/spacex-ipo-trading-price-rcna349225)[[^]](https://cryptobriefing.com/spacex-files-for-ipo-aims-to-raise-75b-with-5556m-shares-at-135-each/). However, the available research does not explicitly detail how this SpaceX IPO filing directly influenced Bitcoin's price or trading volume on this specific date.

## What were the prevailing Bitcoin price targets for mid-2026 from major financial institutions and crypto analytics firms?

Standard Chartered 2026 Target | $100,000 [[^]](https://cryptonews.net/news/bitcoin/32986133/)[[^]](https://bfmtimes.com/citibank-predicts-bitcoin-will-hit-189k-in-2026/) |
Bernstein 2026 Target | $150,000 [[^]](https://coincu.com/standard-chartered-bitcoin-near-bottom-100000-year-end-target/) |
Probability >$100k by Jan 2027 | 21% [[^]](https://cryptonews.net/news/bitcoin/32986133/)[[^]](https://cryptoslate.com/bitcoin-60000-support-dxy-yields/) |

**Major financial institutions projected varied Bitcoin price targets for 2026**

Major financial institutions projected varied Bitcoin price targets for 2026. As of mid-2026, Standard Chartered maintained a **$100,000** year-end Bitcoin price target [[^]](https://coincu.com/standard-chartered-bitcoin-near-bottom-100000-year-end-target/), while Citi's base case anticipated prices above **$100,000,** with an earlier bullish forecast reaching **$143,000**–**$189,000** for 2026 [[^]](https://bfmtimes.com/citibank-predicts-bitcoin-will-hit-189k-in-2026/)[[^]](https://www.cnbc.com/2026/01/08/bitcoin-btc-price-predictions-for-2026.html). Bernstein also upheld a **$150,000** year-end target for Bitcoin [[^]](https://cryptonews.net/news/bitcoin/32986133/). Overall, analysts broadly predicted Bitcoin prices for 2026 ranging from **$60,000** to **$250,000** [[^]](https://www.coingecko.com/learn/bitcoin-price-predictions-expert-forecasts).

Bitcoin’s mid-2026 trading reality contrasted sharply with bullish predictions. In June 2026, Bitcoin was trading around **$62,000**–**$63,000,** experiencing significant downward pressure and volatility [[^]](https://www.coingecko.com/learn/bitcoin-price-predictions-expert-forecasts)[[^]](https://www.fxstreet.com/cryptocurrencies/news/bitcoin-price-forecast-btc-stages-modest-rebound-ahead-of-us-ppi-data-202606111054)[[^]](https://cryptopotato.com/bitcoin-price-analysis-btc-must-reclaim-this-level-to-avoid-fresh-sub-60k-breakdown/)[[^]](https://news.bitcoin.com/bitcoin-traders-eye-64k-resistance-as-rsi-hangs-at-the-lowest-level-since-november-2018/). A critical support level was identified at **$60,000** [[^]](https://cryptopotato.com/bitcoin-price-analysis-btc-must-reclaim-this-level-to-avoid-fresh-sub-60k-breakdown/)[[^]](https://cryptoslate.com/bitcoin-60000-support-dxy-yields/). **Market** sentiment reflected skepticism regarding the higher institutional targets, with prediction markets indicating only a **21%** **probability** that Bitcoin would surpass **$100,000** before January 2027 [[^]](https://cryptonews.net/news/bitcoin/32986133/)[[^]](https://cryptoslate.com/bitcoin-60000-support-dxy-yields/).

## How did the bullish narrative of a market rebound compare with the bearish case citing institutional deleveraging and macro pressures in June 2026?

Spot Bitcoin ETF Outflows | Over $4.6 billion [[^]](https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/06/11/bitcoin-has-reached-a-deep-bear-market-valuation-zone-the-hard-part-may-come-next)[[^]](https://www.interactivecrypto.com/bitcoin-s-2-41-rebound-faces-4-6-billion-institutional-deleveraging-pressure-jun-2026) |
Leveraged Long Positions Liquidated | 93% of recent liquidations [[^]](https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/06/11/bitcoin-has-reached-a-deep-bear-market-valuation-zone-the-hard-part-may-come-next)[[^]](https://www.fxstreet.com/cryptocurrencies/news/bitcoin-faces-further-downside-risk-amid-growing-short-term-holder-losses-weak-etf-demand-202606110137)[[^]](https://www.ainvest.com/news/bitcoin-61k-1b-iran-liquidation-flush-93-longs-rekt-2606/) |
BTC Price on June 11, 2026 | $61,000–$62,000 [[^]](https://robinhood.com/us/en/prediction-markets/crypto/events/btc-price-on-jun-11-2026-at-5pm-edt-jun-10-2026/)[[^]](https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-price-on-june-11-2026)[[^]](https://www.coinbase.com/predictions/event/KXBTC-26JUN1117)[[^]](https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-june-11-2026-6pm-et) |

**June 2026 saw dominant bearish sentiment against a hopeful bullish outlook**

June 2026 saw dominant bearish sentiment against a hopeful bullish outlook. The crypto **market** was heavily influenced by significant institutional deleveraging and persistent macro pressures [[^]](https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/06/11/bitcoin-has-reached-a-deep-bear-**market**-valuation-zone-the-hard-part-may-come-next)[[^]](https://www.ainvest.com/news/bitcoin-62k-hold-thin-2-7b-etf-outflows-meet-hormuz-oil-shock-2606/)[[^]](https://www.ainvest.com/news/bitcoin-61k-1b-iran-liquidation-flush-93-longs-rekt-2606/)[[^]](https://www.interactivecrypto.com/bitcoin-s-2-41-rebound-faces-4-6-billion-institutional-deleveraging-pressure-jun-2026)[[^]](https://www.mexc.fm/news/1133663). A limited bullish perspective emerged, however, from the belief that recent extensive liquidations could indicate a **market** bottom [[^]](https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/06/11/bitcoin-has-reached-a-deep-bear-**market**-valuation-zone-the-hard-part-may-come-next)[[^]](https://www.fxstreet.com/cryptocurrencies/news/bitcoin-faces-further-downside-risk-amid-growing-short-term-holder-losses-weak-etf-demand-202606110137)[[^]](https://www.ainvest.com/news/bitcoin-61k-1b-iran-liquidation-flush-93-longs-rekt-2606/)[[^]](https://cryptoslate.com/bitcoin-60000-support-dxy-yields/).

Record institutional deleveraging and macro factors fueled a strong bearish outlook. This was evident in over **$4.6** billion in spot Bitcoin ETF outflows, reinforcing the bearish sentiment [[^]](https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/06/11/bitcoin-has-reached-a-deep-bear-**market**-valuation-zone-the-hard-part-may-come-next)[[^]](https://www.interactivecrypto.com/bitcoin-s-2-41-rebound-faces-4-6-billion-institutional-deleveraging-pressure-jun-2026). Macroeconomic pressures further compounded this, including rising energy prices driven by geopolitical tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, persistent U.S. inflation, and the anticipated hawkish shift in the Federal Reserve's policy [[^]](https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/06/11/bitcoin-has-reached-a-deep-bear-**market**-valuation-zone-the-hard-part-may-come-next)[[^]](https://www.ainvest.com/news/bitcoin-62k-hold-thin-2-7b-etf-outflows-meet-hormuz-oil-shock-2606/)[[^]](https://www.ainvest.com/news/bitcoin-61k-1b-iran-liquidation-flush-93-longs-rekt-2606/)[[^]](https://www.mexc.fm/news/1133663). Deleveraging events of this magnitude have the potential to significantly impact the crypto industry, possibly surpassing previous events like the FTX deleveraging in November 2022 [[^]](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sokdBNdjygg)[[^]](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rfsz0XxQWFM), with some experts anticipating bear markets in 2026 [[^]](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9ZDPRcyBNJQ).

Bullish arguments focused on liquidations, but prediction markets showed uncertainty. Proponents of a rebound suggested that the extensive liquidation of leveraged long positions, accounting for **93%** of recent liquidations, would purge weak speculation and preserve fundamental spot demand [[^]](https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/06/11/bitcoin-has-reached-a-deep-bear-**market**-valuation-zone-the-hard-part-may-come-next)[[^]](https://www.fxstreet.com/cryptocurrencies/news/bitcoin-faces-further-downside-risk-amid-growing-short-term-holder-losses-weak-etf-demand-202606110137)[[^]](https://www.ainvest.com/news/bitcoin-61k-1b-iran-liquidation-flush-93-longs-rekt-2606/). This scenario was viewed as potentially establishing a **market** bottom near the 200-week moving average [[^]](https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/06/11/bitcoin-has-reached-a-deep-bear-**market**-valuation-zone-the-hard-part-may-come-next)[[^]](https://cryptoslate.com/bitcoin-60000-support-dxy-yields/). Nevertheless, prediction markets on June 11, 2026, indicated considerable **market** uncertainty, with BTC prices fluctuating between **$61,000** and **$62,000** and frequently leaning towards the pessimistic side of the critical **$60,000** support level [[^]](https://robinhood.com/us/en/prediction-markets/crypto/events/btc-price-on-jun-11-2026-at-5pm-edt-jun-10-2026/)[[^]](https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-price-on-june-11-2026)[[^]](https://www.coinbase.com/predictions/event/KXBTC-26JUN1117)[[^]](https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-june-11-2026-6pm-et).

## What do key on-chain metrics from the first half of 2026 reveal about the behavior of long-term Bitcoin holders versus short-term speculators?

LTH Conviction Buyer Increase | 69% (from 2.13M to 3.60M BTC) [[^]](https://www.gate.com/en-us/blog/263/bitcoin-supply-structure-long-term-holder-supply-increase-onchain-liquidity-tightening-analysis)[[^]](https://www.gate51.club/blog/102495/bitcoin-q1-2026-deep-pullback-long-term-holder-accumulation-69-percent-on-chain-structural-shift-market-analysis-crypto-cycle) |
LTH Dominance (June 2026) | 81.6% of circulating supply [[^]](https://btcoak.com/hodl-waves)[[^]](https://theledgermind.com/on-chain-bitcoin-signals-2026/) |
STH Supply Underwater (March 2026) | 92% [[^]](https://www.gate51.club/blog/102495/bitcoin-q1-2026-deep-pullback-long-term-holder-accumulation-69-percent-on-chain-structural-shift-market-analysis-crypto-cycle)[[^]](https://www.cryptotimes.io/2026/03/25/bitcoin-short-term-selling-pressure-92-of-recent-buyers-are-in-loss/) |

**The first half of 2026 saw long-term Bitcoin holders exhibit robust accumulation and conviction**

The first half of 2026 saw long-term Bitcoin holders exhibit robust accumulation and conviction. This period marked a significant structural shift, with long-term holder (LTH) conviction buyer holdings increasing by **69%**, from 2.13 million BTC to 3.60 million BTC [[^]](https://www.gate.com/en-us/blog/263/bitcoin-supply-structure-long-term-holder-supply-increase-onchain-liquidity-tightening-analysis)[[^]](https://www.gate51.club/blog/102495/bitcoin-q1-2026-deep-pullback-long-term-holder-accumulation-69-percent-on-chain-structural-shift-**market**-analysis-crypto-cycle). By June 2026, LTH dominance, representing coins unmoved for over 155 days, reached a multi-year high of approximately **81.6%** of the circulating supply, signaling a deep accumulation regime [[^]](https://btcoak.com/hodl-waves)[[^]](https://theledgermind.com/on-chain-bitcoin-signals-2026/). Despite this strong accumulation trend, the Long-Term Holder Spent Output Profit Ratio (LTH SOPR) frequently dropped below 1.0, indicating that a portion of long-term supply was still being sold at a loss [[^]](https://axeladlerjr.com/lth-accumulated-3-06m-btc-over-3-months-but-part-of-long-term-holders-started-selling-at-a-loss/).

Conversely, short-term Bitcoin speculators encountered considerable selling pressure during early 2026. Short-term holders (STHs), defined as those holding BTC for less than 155 days, faced significant challenges [[^]](https://www.gate51.club/blog/102495/bitcoin-q1-2026-deep-pullback-long-term-holder-accumulation-69-percent-on-chain-structural-shift-**market**-analysis-crypto-cycle)[[^]](https://www.cryptotimes.io/2026/03/25/bitcoin-short-term-selling-pressure-92-of-recent-buyers-are-in-loss/). A notable **92%** of the STH supply was reported to be underwater in March 2026, which resulted in this cohort reducing its holdings by roughly 290,000 BTC over a 30-day period [[^]](https://www.gate51.club/blog/102495/bitcoin-q1-2026-deep-pullback-long-term-holder-accumulation-69-percent-on-chain-structural-shift-**market**-analysis-crypto-cycle)[[^]](https://www.cryptotimes.io/2026/03/25/bitcoin-short-term-selling-pressure-92-of-recent-buyers-are-in-loss/).

## How did the net flows for major U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs, such as BlackRock's IBIT and Fidelity's FBTC, trend in the weeks leading up to June 11, 2026?

Net Outflow Streak Duration | 13 days (May 15 - June 3, 2026) [[^]](https://www.alphapilot.tech/discover/bitcoin-etf-outflows-stretch-to-13-straight-days-4-37b-exits-funds)[[^]](https://coinpaprika.com/news/bitcoin-etfs-end-record-13-day-44b-outflow/)[[^]](https://tokenist.com/blackrock-ibit-214m-outflow-13-day-4-4b-streak/) |
Total Outflow During Streak | Approximately $4.4 billion [[^]](https://www.alphapilot.tech/discover/bitcoin-etf-outflows-stretch-to-13-straight-days-4-37b-exits-funds)[[^]](https://coinpaprika.com/news/bitcoin-etfs-end-record-13-day-44b-outflow/)[[^]](https://tokenist.com/blackrock-ibit-214m-outflow-13-day-4-4b-streak/) |
BlackRock IBIT Contribution | Approximately 75% or $3.3 billion [[^]](https://www.alphapilot.tech/discover/bitcoin-etf-outflows-stretch-to-13-straight-days-4-37b-exits-funds)[[^]](https://coinpaprika.com/news/bitcoin-etfs-end-record-13-day-44b-outflow/)[[^]](https://tokenist.com/blackrock-ibit-214m-outflow-13-day-4-4b-streak/) |

**U.S**

U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs faced significant net outflows before June 11, 2026. In the weeks leading up to this date, major U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs experienced a substantial net outflow trend, marked by a record-breaking 13-day streak of withdrawals. This period, which spanned from May 15 through June 3, 2026, collectively saw approximately **$4.4** billion in total outflows from these funds [[^]](https://www.alphapilot.tech/discover/bitcoin-etf-outflows-stretch-to-13-straight-days-4-37b-exits-funds)[[^]](https://coinpaprika.com/news/bitcoin-etfs-end-record-13-day-44b-outflow/)[[^]](https://tokenist.com/blackrock-ibit-214m-outflow-13-day-4-4b-streak/).

BlackRock's IBIT heavily influenced these outflows, which soon resumed. BlackRock's IBIT was a primary contributor to this selling pressure, accounting for roughly **75%** of the total withdrawals, or approximately **$3.3** billion. Fidelity's FBTC and other funds also played a role in the overall net selling [[^]](https://www.alphapilot.tech/discover/bitcoin-etf-outflows-stretch-to-13-straight-days-4-37b-exits-funds)[[^]](https://coinpaprika.com/news/bitcoin-etfs-end-record-13-day-44b-outflow/)[[^]](https://tokenist.com/blackrock-ibit-214m-outflow-13-day-4-4b-streak/). Although the 13-day outflow streak concluded on June 4, 2026, with a small net inflow of about **$3** million, the trend of outflows quickly re-established itself, notably including a **$213.85** million outflow on June 10 [[^]](https://coinpaprika.com/news/bitcoin-etfs-end-record-13-day-44b-outflow/)[[^]](https://tokenist.com/blackrock-ibit-214m-outflow-13-day-4-4b-streak/)[[^]](https://www.fxstreet.com/cryptocurrencies/news/bitcoin-price-forecast-btc-stages-modest-rebound-ahead-of-us-ppi-data-202606111054).

## What Could Change the Odds

**On June 11, 2026, Bitcoin was battling significant market catalysts, returning near $63,000 amidst a geopolitical crisis involving Iran's closure of the Strait of Hormuz [[^]](https://cointelegraph.com/markets/bitcoin-tags-632k-as-btc-price-action-ignores-new-iran-hormuz-closure)[[^]](https://cryptoslate.com/bitcoin-60000-support-dxy-yields/)[[^]](https://en.coinotag.com/us-ppi-6-5-ecb-hikes-bitcoin-63k-iran-tensions).** Other factors influencing the **market** included surging US PPI inflation, which was up **6.5%** year-over-year, and the European Central Bank's decision to hike interest rates by 25 basis points, effective June 17, 2026 [[^]](https://cryptoslate.com/bitcoin-60000-support-dxy-yields/)[[^]](https://en.coinotag.com/us-ppi-6-5-ecb-hikes-bitcoin-63k-iran-tensions). Bitcoin closed that day at approximately **$63,420** to **$63,510,** having traded within a daily range of roughly **$61,499** to **$63,864** [[^]](https://www.investing.com/crypto/bitcoin/historical-data)[[^]](https://twelvedata.com/markets/499377/crypto/coinbase-pro/btc-usd/historical-data).

**Looking ahead, upcoming market events that could influence market probability include the FOMC meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 [[^]](https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/06/11/live-updates-soft-core-inflation-gave-crypto-a-bounce-but-only-bitcoin-held-up-on-the-week)[[^]](https://cryptoslate.com/bitcoin-60000-support-dxy-yields/).** Another notable event is the June 26 options expiry, which features approximately **$12** billion in notional exposure [[^]](https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/06/11/live-updates-soft-core-inflation-gave-crypto-a-bounce-but-only-bitcoin-held-up-on-the-week)[[^]](https://cryptoslate.com/bitcoin-60000-support-dxy-yields/).

## Key Dates & Catalysts

- **Strike Date:** June 11, 2026
- **Expiration:** June 18, 2026
- **Closes:** June 11, 2026

## Decision-Flipping Events

- On June 11, 2026, Bitcoin was battling significant **market** catalysts, returning near **$63,000** amidst a geopolitical crisis involving Iran's closure of the Strait of Hormuz [^] [^] [^] .
- Other factors influencing the **market** included surging US PPI inflation, which was up **6.5%** year-over-year, and the European Central Bank's decision to hike interest rates by 25 basis points, effective June 17, 2026 [^] [^] .
- Bitcoin closed that day at approximately **$63,420** to **$63,510,** having traded within a daily range of roughly **$61,499** to **$63,864** [^] [^] .
- Looking ahead, upcoming **market** events that could influence **market** **probability** include the FOMC meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 [^] [^] .

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- [How low will BNB get in May?](/markets/crypto/bnb/how-low-will-bnb-get-in-may/)
- [Bitcoin price range on Apr 3, 2026 at 5pm EDT?](/markets/crypto/btc/bitcoin-price-range-on-apr-3-2026-at-5pm-edt/)

## Historical Resolutions

**Historical Resolutions:** 20 markets in this series

**Outcomes:** 0 resolved YES, 20 resolved NO

**Recent resolutions:**

- KXBTCD-26JUN1118-T70299.99: NO (Jun 11, 2026)
- KXBTCD-26JUN1118-T70199.99: NO (Jun 11, 2026)
- KXBTCD-26JUN1118-T70099.99: NO (Jun 11, 2026)
- KXBTCD-26JUN1118-T69999.99: NO (Jun 11, 2026)
- KXBTCD-26JUN1118-T69899.99: NO (Jun 11, 2026)

## Disclaimer

This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, legal, or trading advice.
Prediction markets involve risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
We are not affiliated with Kalshi or any prediction market platform. Market data may be delayed or incomplete.

### Data Sources & Model Transparency

**Data Sources:** Octagon Deep Research aggregates information from multiple sources including news, filings, and market data.

**Freshness:** Analysis is generated periodically and may not reflect the latest developments. Verify critical information from primary sources.

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