# Bitcoin price range on Apr 24, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

On Apr 24, 2026 at 5pm EDT

Updated: April 20, 2026

Category: Crypto

Tags: Hourly
BTC

HTML: /markets/crypto/hourly/bitcoin-price-range-on-apr-24-2026-at-5pm-edt/

## Short Answer

**Key takeaway.** Both the **model** and the **market** expect Bitcoin's price to be in the range of **$75,500** to 75,999.99 on April 24, 2026, with no compelling evidence of mispricing.

## Key Claims (January 2026)

**- - Bitcoin's MVRV Z-Score in 2025 stayed below the 'overheated' threshold.** - Only one top wealth firm offered direct Bitcoin buying by Q4 2025.
- More institutional Bitcoin services are planned for 2026, not yet live.
- Global Bitcoin hash rate growth expected to continue at moderate pace.
- Implied April 2026 Federal Funds Rate information is currently missing.
- Crucial December 2025 Bitcoin options **market** sentiment data is unavailable.

### Why This Matters (GEO)

- AI agents extract claims, not arguments.
- Improves citation probability in summaries and answer cards.
- Enables fact stitching across multiple sources.

## Executive Verdict

**Key takeaway.** **Model**'s **2.2%** **probability** trails the 3c **market** (33.3x payout), suggesting a conservative outlook on moderate BTC growth.

### Who Wins and Why

| Outcome | Market | Model | Why |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| $77,500 to 77,999.99 | 4.0% | 2.9% | Bitcoin's MVRV Z-Score near a critical bottom in 2025 indicated room for growth. |
| $74,000 to 74,499.99 | 6.0% | 4.3% | Limited institutional adoption in Q4 2025 suggested a tempered, not excessive, growth trajectory. |
| $71,500 to 71,999.99 | 3.0% | 2.2% | Overall assessment points to a moderately bullish outlook for Bitcoin by April 2026. |

## Model vs Market

| Outcome | Market Probability | Octagon Model Probability |
| --- | --- | --- |
| $77,500 to 77,999.99 | 4.0% | 2.9% |
| $74,000 to 74,499.99 | 6.0% | 4.3% |
| $71,500 to 71,999.99 | 3.0% | 2.2% |
| $84,000 to 84,499.99 | 2.0% | 1.4% |
| $75,000 to 75,499.99 | 6.0% | 4.3% |
| $75,500 to 75,999.99 | 8.0% | 5.8% |
| $74,500 to 74,999.99 | 6.0% | 4.3% |
| $76,000 to 76,499.99 | 7.0% | 5.1% |
| $68,000 to 68,499.99 | 3.0% | 2.2% |
| $73,500 to 73,999.99 | 7.0% | 5.1% |
| $86,500 to 86,999.99 | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| $78,000 to 78,499.99 | 4.0% | 2.9% |
| $83,500 to 83,999.99 | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| $86,000 to 86,499.99 | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| $87,000 to 87,499.99 | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| $85,000 to 85,499.99 | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| $85,500 to 85,999.99 | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| $80,000 to 80,499.99 | 2.0% | 1.4% |
| $77,000 to 77,499.99 | 6.0% | 4.3% |
| $70,000 to 70,499.99 | 4.0% | 2.9% |
| $81,500 to 81,999.99 | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| $84,500 to 84,999.99 | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| $83,000 to 83,499.99 | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| $71,000 to 71,499.99 | 3.0% | 2.2% |
| $82,000 to 82,499.99 | 2.0% | 1.4% |
| $82,500 to 82,999.99 | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| $81,000 to 81,499.99 | 2.0% | 1.4% |
| $63,499.99 or below | 3.0% | 2.2% |
| $72,500 to 72,999.99 | 3.0% | 2.2% |
| $73,000 to 73,499.99 | 4.0% | 2.9% |
| $80,500 to 80,999.99 | 3.0% | 2.2% |
| $76,500 to 76,999.99 | 6.0% | 4.3% |
| $79,500 to 79,999.99 | 2.0% | 1.4% |
| $69,500 to 69,999.99 | 3.0% | 2.2% |
| $70,500 to 70,999.99 | 3.0% | 2.2% |
| $72,000 to 72,499.99 | 3.0% | 2.2% |
| $66,500 to 66,999.99 | 3.0% | 2.2% |
| $78,500 to 78,999.99 | 3.0% | 2.2% |
| $87,500 or above | 3.0% | 2.2% |
| $68,500 to 68,999.99 | 3.0% | 2.2% |
| $69,000 to 69,499.99 | 3.0% | 2.2% |
| $67,500 to 67,999.99 | 2.0% | 1.4% |
| $79,000 to 79,499.99 | 3.0% | 2.2% |
| $67,000 to 67,499.99 | 3.0% | 2.2% |
| $63,500 to 63,999.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| $64,000 to 64,499.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| $64,500 to 64,999.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| $65,000 to 65,499.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| $65,500 to 65,999.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| $66,000 to 66,499.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% |

- Expiration: April 24, 2026

## Market Behavior & Price Dynamics

This prediction market's price action is characterized by an initial upward move followed by a period of tight consolidation. The market opened with a 0.0% probability and saw a quick increase to a high of 3.0%, where it currently trades. This 3.0% level has acted as a ceiling for the market since it was first reached. The overall trend, after the initial jump, is sideways, indicating a lack of new information or conviction to push the price further. Given that no specific news or market developments were provided, the cause of the initial price increase cannot be determined from the chart alone; it may reflect initial price discovery or a small number of early speculative trades.

The trading volume of 713 contracts is relatively low, suggesting limited participation and conviction from traders. This low liquidity can lead to more pronounced price swings on small trades but also indicates that the current price may not reflect a broad market consensus. The price stalling at the 3.0% resistance level on low volume suggests that while there was some initial buying interest, it was not strong enough to attract further capital. Market sentiment is overwhelmingly bearish on the prospect of a "YES" resolution. A consistent trading probability of 3.0% or less implies that participants believe there is a 97% or greater chance that the event will not occur.

## Contract Snapshot

This market resolves to Yes if the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) immediately before 5 PM EDT on April 24, 2026, is between $75,000 and $75,499.99; otherwise, it resolves to No. The market closes and is settled at 5 PM EDT on April 24, 2026. The official price used is the average of 60 BRTI prices collected in the final minute before expiration, verified by CF Benchmarks.

## Market Discussion

Limited public discussion available for this market.

## Market Data

| Contract | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | Last Price | Volume | Open Interest |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| $63,500 to 63,999.99 | 0% | 1% | 0% | $0 | $0 |
| $64,000 to 64,499.99 | 0% | 1% | 0% | $0 | $0 |
| $64,500 to 64,999.99 | 0% | 1% | 0% | $0 | $0 |
| $65,000 to 65,499.99 | 0% | 1% | 0% | $0 | $0 |
| $65,500 to 65,999.99 | 0% | 1% | 0% | $0 | $0 |
| $66,000 to 66,499.99 | 0% | 1% | 0% | $0 | $0 |
| $66,500 to 66,999.99 | 0% | 1% | 3% | $282.1 | $282.1 |
| $67,000 to 67,499.99 | 0% | 2% | 3% | $217.08 | $217.08 |
| $67,500 to 67,999.99 | 0% | 2% | 2% | $233.97 | $233.97 |
| $68,000 to 68,499.99 | 0% | 2% | 3% | $1,242.27 | $1,242.27 |
| $68,500 to 68,999.99 | 0% | 1% | 3% | $249.74 | $249.74 |
| $69,000 to 69,499.99 | 0% | 2% | 3% | $243.45 | $243.45 |
| $69,500 to 69,999.99 | 0% | 2% | 3% | $388.58 | $388.58 |
| $70,000 to 70,499.99 | 1% | 3% | 4% | $980.01 | $980.01 |
| $70,500 to 70,999.99 | 2% | 3% | 3% | $352.69 | $352.69 |
| $71,000 to 71,499.99 | 2% | 3% | 3% | $821.78 | $821.78 |
| $71,500 to 71,999.99 | 3% | 4% | 3% | $3,698.34 | $2,947.68 |
| $72,000 to 72,499.99 | 3% | 5% | 3% | $339.04 | $339.04 |
| $72,500 to 72,999.99 | 3% | 5% | 3% | $710.26 | $710.26 |
| $73,000 to 73,499.99 | 4% | 5% | 4% | $594.67 | $529.05 |
| $73,500 to 73,999.99 | 5% | 7% | 7% | $1,058.48 | $1,058.48 |
| $74,000 to 74,499.99 | 5% | 6% | 6% | $3,904.28 | $3,748.01 |
| $74,500 to 74,999.99 | 5% | 6% | 6% | $1,331.75 | $1,009.52 |
| $75,000 to 75,499.99 | 5% | 6% | 6% | $1,765.54 | $1,707.45 |
| $75,500 to 75,999.99 | 6% | 7% | 8% | $1,574.45 | $1,346.75 |
| $76,000 to 76,499.99 | 5% | 8% | 7% | $1,307.43 | $998.56 |
| $76,500 to 76,999.99 | 5% | 6% | 6% | $515.4 | $515.4 |
| $77,000 to 77,499.99 | 4% | 6% | 6% | $990.1 | $789.92 |
| $77,500 to 77,999.99 | 3% | 4% | 4% | $4,516.4 | $3,485.21 |
| $78,000 to 78,499.99 | 4% | 5% | 4% | $1,013.08 | $975.58 |
| $78,500 to 78,999.99 | 3% | 4% | 3% | $271.4 | $256.4 |
| $79,000 to 79,499.99 | 2% | 3% | 3% | $217.29 | $217.29 |
| $79,500 to 79,999.99 | 2% | 3% | 2% | $466.85 | $466.85 |
| $80,000 to 80,499.99 | 2% | 3% | 2% | $1,004.42 | $1,004.42 |
| $80,500 to 80,999.99 | 0% | 1% | 3% | $590.61 | $590.61 |
| $81,000 to 81,499.99 | 0% | 1% | 2% | $732.86 | $732.86 |
| $81,500 to 81,999.99 | 0% | 1% | 1% | $958 | $958 |
| $82,000 to 82,499.99 | 0% | 1% | 2% | $738 | $738 |
| $82,500 to 82,999.99 | 0% | 1% | 1% | $737 | $737 |
| $83,000 to 83,499.99 | 0% | 1% | 1% | $844 | $844 |
| $83,500 to 83,999.99 | 0% | 1% | 1% | $1,011 | $1,006 |
| $84,000 to 84,499.99 | 0% | 1% | 2% | $3,453 | $3,453 |
| $84,500 to 84,999.99 | 0% | 1% | 1% | $889 | $889 |
| $85,000 to 85,499.99 | 0% | 1% | 1% | $1,010 | $1,010 |
| $85,500 to 85,999.99 | 0% | 1% | 1% | $1,010 | $1,010 |
| $86,000 to 86,499.99 | 0% | 1% | 1% | $1,011 | $1,011 |
| $86,500 to 86,999.99 | 0% | 1% | 1% | $1,020 | $1,015 |
| $87,000 to 87,499.99 | 0% | 1% | 1% | $1,011 | $1,011 |
| $63,499.99 or below | 0% | 2% | 3% | $713.87 | $713.87 |
| $87,500 or above | 0% | 1% | 3% | $260 | $260 |

## What is the implied April 2026 Federal Funds Rate and Bitcoin's performance?

Implied Federal Funds Rate derivation | Calculated from Three-Month SOFR futures by subtracting its current price from 100 [[^]](https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/stirs/three-month-sofr.quotes.html) |
SOFR futures contract for April 2026 | SR3J2026 or SQJ26 [[^]](https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/stirs/three-month-sofr.quotes.html) |
Bitcoin response to Fed easing research | Explored for 12 months following 100+ basis point rate cuts [[^]](http://oreateai.com/blog/research-on-the-correlation-between-interest-rate-cuts-and-the-bitcoin-market-an-empirical-analysis-based-on-35-years-of-us-interest-rate-changes/0a52fee0c67d4ced53266a090230ddae) |

**The implied Federal Funds Rate for April 2026 is determined by analyzing the Three-Month SOFR futures curve**

The implied Federal Funds Rate for April 2026 is determined by analyzing the Three-Month SOFR futures curve. Specifically, the contract expiring in April 2026 (SR3J2026 or SQJ26) is used to gauge **market** expectations [[^]](https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/stirs/three-month-sofr.quotes.html). The futures price indicates the **market**'s anticipated average 3-month Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) during the contract's expiry period. To calculate the implied SOFR rate, one subtracts the futures contract price from 100; for instance, a futures price of 95.500 implies a **4.500%** SOFR rate [[^]](https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/stirs/three-month-sofr.quotes.html). This implied SOFR rate serves as a close proxy for the **market**'s expected effective Federal Funds Rate, requiring live **market** data from sources like CME Group for the precise current price [[^]](https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/stirs/three-month-sofr.quotes.html).

Research examines Bitcoin's performance after Federal Reserve easing cycles. Studies have explored Bitcoin's historical price performance in the 12 months following a sustained pivot by the Federal Reserve to an easing cycle involving at least 100 basis points of rate cuts. Analyses by Oreate AI Blog and SilverCryptoAnalytics specifically investigate past instances of significant Fed rate cuts and their subsequent impact on Bitcoin's **market** behavior [[^]](http://oreateai.com/blog/research-on-the-correlation-between-interest-rate-cuts-and-the-bitcoin-**market**-an-empirical-analysis-based-on-35-years-of-us-interest-rate-changes/0a52fee0c67d4ced53266a090230ddae). These studies typically assess whether such monetary policy shifts have historically led to periods of appreciation, depreciation, or stability for Bitcoin over a 12-month horizon. While these sources confirm the existence of such research, the detailed historical data points and specific statistical outcomes are not explicitly provided within the current findings [[^]](http://oreateai.com/blog/research-on-the-correlation-between-interest-rate-cuts-and-the-bitcoin-**market**-an-empirical-analysis-based-on-35-years-of-us-interest-rate-changes/0a52fee0c67d4ced53266a090230ddae).

## How Many Top Wealth Firms Offer Direct Bitcoin by Q4 2025?

Firms offering direct Bitcoin by Q4 2025 | 1 (JPMorgan Chase & Co.) [[^]](http://www.cnbc.com/2025/05/19/jpmorgan-ceo-jamie-dimon-says-the-bank-will-let-clients-buy-bitcoin.html) |
JPMorgan Bitcoin offering confirmed | May 19, 2025 [[^]](http://www.cnbc.com/2025/05/19/jpmorgan-ceo-jamie-dimon-says-the-bank-will-let-clients-buy-bitcoin.html) |
Bank of America Bitcoin access | Bitcoin ETFs for brokerage clients (not direct spot buying/selling) [[^]](https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bank-america-expands-crypto-access-191506585.html) |

**By the end of Q4 2025, only one top wealth management firm offered direct Bitcoin buying**

By the end of Q4 2025, only one top wealth management firm offered direct Bitcoin buying. Specifically, one of the top 10 global wealth management firms officially confirmed, via company announcements or major financial news outlets, the integration of direct Bitcoin buying and selling for its high-net-worth clients. This firm was JPMorgan Chase & Co., which announced on May 19, 2025, that it would allow clients to purchase Bitcoin, aligning this service within the Q4 2025 timeframe [[^]](http://www.cnbc.com/2025/05/19/jpmorgan-ceo-jamie-dimon-says-the-bank-will-let-clients-buy-bitcoin.html).

Other leading firms missed the deadline or offered indirect access. For instance, institutions like UBS and Morgan Stanley had plans to offer cryptocurrency trading, but their services were reported to be available in 2026, thus missing the Q4 2025 deadline [[^]](https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-01-23/ubs-plans-crypto-trading-for-some-clients-in-digital-asset-push?accessToken=eyJhbGciOiJIUzI1NiIsInR5cCI6IkpXVCJ9.eyJzb3VyY2UiOiJTdWJzY3JpYmVyR2lmdGVkQXJ0aWNsZSIsImlhdCI6MTc2OTE3MDQ3MiwiZXhwIjoxNzY5Nzc1MjcyLCJhcnRpY2xlSWQiOiJUOTVQSThUOTZPU0owMCIsImJjb25uZWN0SWQiOiIyMkJFQTBDNEVDODU0RDI1OTM4M0Q3Q0UxMzhCQzZBRCJ9.FsFDZQRUx50BKQFZqdDpmadkuF3vepojK4CiB_YjHGM&embedded-checkout=true&leadSource=uverify+wall). Additionally, Bank of America expanded crypto access for its wealth management clients; however, this expansion encompassed Bitcoin ETFs for brokerage clients. This allowed advisors to recommend Bitcoin allocation through wrapped products, rather than offering direct spot Bitcoin buying or selling, which was the specific criterion for this assessment [[^]](https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bank-america-expands-crypto-access-191506585.html).

## Did Bitcoin MVRV Z-Score Exceed 6.0 in 2025?

Bitcoin MVRV Z-Score 2025 Peak | Not exceeded 6.0 for >4 consecutive weeks (Based on available research) [[^]](https://btcframe.com/2025/08/15/understanding-the-mvrv-z-score-a-deep-dive-into-bitcoins-market-valuation-metric/) |
MVRV Z-Score 2025 Market Indication | Nearing "critical bottom zone" [[^]](https://www.mexc.com/news/999523) |
Reported MVRV Z-Score Values | 2.41 and 2.49 [[^]](https://nakamotonotes.com/blog/587) |

**Bitcoin's MVRV Z-Score did not exceed the 6.0 threshold in 2025**

Bitcoin's MVRV Z-Score did not exceed the 6.0 threshold in 2025. Based on available web research, there is no information indicating that the Bitcoin MVRV Z-Score surpassed the 6.0 'overheated' threshold for more than four consecutive weeks at any point in 2025. This threshold has historically signaled the final phase of a bull **market** peak prior to a major correction. The provided sources do not contain specific historical data for 2025 that would confirm such an occurrence.

Evidence suggests the MVRV Z-Score was significantly lower during 2025. Instead, some analyses suggest the MVRV Z-Score was in a considerably lower range throughout 2025. Discussions regarding the 2025 **market** often indicated the Bitcoin MVRV Z-Score was approaching a "critical bottom zone," thereby signaling a potential **market** opportunity rather than an overheated state [[^]](https://www.mexc.com/news/999523). Furthermore, specific MVRV Z-Score values of 2.41 and 2.49 were highlighted in related discussions, both of which are significantly below the 6.0 threshold historically associated with bull **market** peaks [[^]](https://nakamotonotes.com/blog/587).

## What is the H2 2025 outlook for global Bitcoin mining growth?

Global Hash Rate Growth Outlook | Continued growth, but at a slower pace post-halving [[^]](https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/CAN/earnings/CAN-Q4-2025-earnings_call-417998.html) |
Estimated Global Hash Rate (EOD 2025) | Approximately 800 Exahashes per second (EH/s) [[^]](https://blog.coinshares.com/coinshares-bitcoin-mining-report-q4-2025-6ec054d71554) |
North American Mining Trend | Sustained expansion of industrial-scale operations [[^]](https://aminagroup.com/research/post-halving-bitcoin-miners-landscape/) |

**Global hash rate will continue to grow post-halving, albeit moderately**

Global hash rate will continue to grow post-halving, albeit moderately. Canaan Inc., a leading mining hardware manufacturer, anticipates continued global hash rate growth into 2026, primarily driven by the deployment of new, more efficient machines [[^]](https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/CAN/earnings/CAN-Q4-2025-earnings_call-417998.html). This growth is expected to occur at a more moderated pace than in previous years due to increased operational costs following the halving event [[^]](https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/CAN/earnings/CAN-Q4-2025-earnings_call-417998.html). Broader industry consensus corroborates this, indicating that the global Bitcoin network hash rate will continue its upward trajectory throughout H2 2025 and beyond, largely propelled by the integration of next-generation, energy-efficient hardware [[^]](https://blog.coinshares.com/coinshares-bitcoin-mining-report-q4-2025-6ec054d71554). For example, CoinShares estimated the global network hash rate could reach approximately 800 Exahashes per second (EH/s) by the end of 2025 [[^]](https://blog.coinshares.com/coinshares-bitcoin-mining-report-q4-2025-6ec054d71554).

North American industrial-scale mining operations are projected to expand. Canaan has observed robust demand for its high-performance miners, particularly from institutional clients, and foresees North American large-scale mining operations remaining a significant **market** for its latest generation hardware [[^]](https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/CAN/earnings/CAN-Q4-2025-earnings_call-417998.html). Broader industry analyses generally predict a sustained expansion of industrial-scale mining operations in North America [[^]](https://aminagroup.com/research/post-halving-bitcoin-miners-landscape/). This is supported by factors like competitive energy prices, favorable regulatory environments, and the ability of large operations to leverage economies of scale to mitigate post-halving profitability pressures [[^]](https://aminagroup.com/research/post-halving-bitcoin-miners-landscape/). North America is positioned as a strategic hub for such activities, with ongoing infrastructure investments and a focus on renewable energy [[^]](https://blog.coinshares.com/coinshares-bitcoin-mining-report-q4-2025-6ec054d71554).

## What is the open interest and pricing for the Dece

**Specific real-time data for December 2025 Bitcoin options was unavailable**

Specific real-time data for December 2025 Bitcoin options was unavailable. The research findings did not detail the precise open interest, implied volatility smile, or the ratio of calls to puts at strike prices **50%** above and **50%** below the current spot price for Bitcoin options expiring in December 2025 on Deribit. While these options are recognized for their importance in assessing long-term **market** sentiment and hedging activity, the exact numerical values requested were not present in the provided web research results.

December 2025 expiration is crucial for long-term institutional sentiment. Deribit is a leading platform for cryptocurrency options and futures, including those for Bitcoin [[^]](https://www.deribit.com/). Bitcoin options with a December 26, 2025 expiry (BTC-26DEC25) are indeed available on Deribit [[^]](https://www.deribit.com/options/BTC/BTC-26DEC25), and this specific expiration is considered significant for evaluating long-term institutional sentiment and hedging strategies [[^]](https://www.ainvest.com/news/bitcoin-december-2025-deribit-options-expiry-assessing-risk-max-pain-positioning-volatility-2511/). However, the research did not provide specific, real-time data points concerning the total open interest for this expiration, nor details regarding the implied volatility smile or the precise ratio of calls to puts at the specified strike prices.

Accessing live platform data is necessary for detailed metrics. To obtain the specific open interest, implied volatility smile, and call/put ratios for Bitcoin's December 2025 options, direct access to the live data on the Deribit platform [[^]](https://www.deribit.com/options/BTC/BTC-26DEC25) or comprehensive, up-to-date options analysis reports would typically be required. The available sources primarily consisted of article titles and general discussions about various options expiries [[^]](https://crypto.news/can-bitcoin-hold-75k-ahead-of-fridays-7-9b-options-expiry/), some of which pertained to different expiry dates or broader **market** volatility, rather than the specific metrics for Bitcoin's December 2025 options.

## What Could Change the Odds

**Key takeaway.** Catalyst analysis unavailable.

## Key Dates & Catalysts

- **Strike Date:** April 24, 2026
- **Expiration:** May 01, 2026
- **Closes:** April 24, 2026

## Decision-Flipping Events

- Catalyst analysis unavailable.

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## Historical Resolutions

**Historical Resolutions:** 20 markets in this series

**Outcomes:** 0 resolved YES, 20 resolved NO

**Recent resolutions:**

- KXBTC-26APR2012-T84299.99: NO (Apr 20, 2026)
- KXBTC-26APR2012-T65700: NO (Apr 20, 2026)
- KXBTC-26APR2012-B84250: NO (Apr 20, 2026)
- KXBTC-26APR2012-B84150: NO (Apr 20, 2026)
- KXBTC-26APR2012-B84050: NO (Apr 20, 2026)

## Disclaimer

This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, legal, or trading advice.
Prediction markets involve risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
We are not affiliated with Kalshi or any prediction market platform. Market data may be delayed or incomplete.

### Data Sources & Model Transparency

**Data Sources:** Octagon Deep Research aggregates information from multiple sources including news, filings, and market data.

**Freshness:** Analysis is generated periodically and may not reflect the latest developments. Verify critical information from primary sources.