# Bitcoin price range on Apr 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

On Apr 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT

Updated: April 8, 2026

Category: Crypto

Tags: Hourly
BTC

HTML: /markets/crypto/hourly/bitcoin-price-range-on-apr-10-2026-at-5pm-edt/

## Short Answer

**Key takeaway.** Both the **model** and the **market** expect Bitcoin's price to be in the **$72,500** to **$72,999.99** range on April 10, 2026, with no compelling evidence of mispricing.

## Key Claims (January 2026)

**- - Post-halving cycle analysis projects Bitcoin peak October 2025.** - Bitcoin experienced a significant **30%** correction by February 2026.
- Long-Term Holders accumulated Bitcoin significantly in late 2025.
- Modest price recovery or stabilization is expected after correction.
- U.S. comprehensive crypto legislation remained unenacted by early 2026.

### Why This Matters (GEO)

- AI agents extract claims, not arguments.
- Improves citation probability in summaries and answer cards.
- Enables fact stitching across multiple sources.

## Executive Verdict

**Key takeaway.** At 2c, **market** prices higher than the **0.6%** **model**, suggesting overvaluation given **$88**k post-correction projections.

### Who Wins and Why

| Outcome | Market | Model | Why |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| $68,000 to 68,499.99 | 3.0% | 1.2% | Bitcoin is expected to stabilize following its post-halving cycle correction. |
| $69,500 to 69,999.99 | 6.0% | 6.0% | Bitcoin is expected to stabilize following its post-halving cycle correction. |
| $68,500 to 68,999.99 | 3.0% | 1.2% | Bitcoin is expected to stabilize following its post-halving cycle correction. |

## Model vs Market

| Outcome | Market Probability | Octagon Model Probability |
| --- | --- | --- |
| $68,000 to 68,499.99 | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| $69,500 to 69,999.99 | 6.0% | 6.0% |
| $68,500 to 68,999.99 | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| $69,000 to 69,499.99 | 5.0% | 2.3% |
| $67,500 to 67,999.99 | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| $67,000 to 67,499.99 | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| $66,500 to 66,999.99 | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| $75,000 to 75,499.99 | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| $70,000 to 70,499.99 | 7.0% | 7.7% |
| $76,500 to 76,999.99 | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| $72,500 to 72,999.99 | 10.0% | 9.6% |
| $72,000 to 72,499.99 | 8.0% | 8.3% |
| $66,000 to 66,499.99 | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| $73,500 to 73,999.99 | 8.0% | 8.3% |
| $71,500 to 71,999.99 | 9.0% | 9.0% |
| $78,500 or above | 3.0% | 5.0% |
| $70,500 to 70,999.99 | 6.0% | 6.0% |
| $73,000 to 73,499.99 | 5.0% | 2.3% |
| $71,000 to 71,499.99 | 6.0% | 6.0% |
| $54,499.99 or below | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| $74,000 to 74,499.99 | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| $74,500 to 74,999.99 | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| $63,000 to 63,499.99 | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| $65,500 to 65,999.99 | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| $75,500 to 75,999.99 | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| $64,000 to 64,499.99 | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| $76,000 to 76,499.99 | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| $78,000 to 78,499.99 | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| $64,500 to 64,999.99 | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| $61,000 to 61,499.99 | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| $62,500 to 62,999.99 | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| $77,000 to 77,499.99 | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| $65,000 to 65,499.99 | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| $61,500 to 61,999.99 | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| $62,000 to 62,499.99 | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| $77,500 to 77,999.99 | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| $60,500 to 60,999.99 | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| $60,000 to 60,499.99 | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| $63,500 to 63,999.99 | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| $57,500 to 57,999.99 | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| $56,000 to 56,499.99 | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| $59,000 to 59,499.99 | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| $59,500 to 59,999.99 | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| $54,500 to 54,999.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| $55,000 to 55,499.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| $55,500 to 55,999.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| $56,500 to 56,999.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| $57,000 to 57,499.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| $58,000 to 58,499.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| $58,500 to 58,999.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% |

- Expiration: April 10, 2026

## Market Behavior & Price Dynamics

This market's price action is characterized by an initial upward move followed by a prolonged period of sideways consolidation. The contract opened trading at a 0.0% probability, indicating traders initially saw virtually no chance of the event occurring. Shortly after opening, between April 3rd and April 6th, the price jumped to 2.0% and has remained there. The overall price range has been extremely narrow, fluctuating only between 0.0% and a peak of 3.0%. Given the absence of specific news or external context, the catalyst for the initial price increase from 0.0% to 2.0% is not apparent from the available data.

Trading volume was negligible at the market's inception but has seen a recent increase, with 204 contracts traded on April 8th while the price held firm at 2.0%. This growing volume at a stable price level may suggest an emerging consensus among participants. The chart has established a clear support level at the 0.0% opening price and a short-term resistance at the 3.0% peak. The current price of 2.0% is acting as the primary point of control where recent activity is centered. Overall, the consistently low probability suggests a strong and stable market sentiment that the specified Bitcoin price range on the resolution date is highly unlikely.

## Contract Snapshot

This market resolves to "Yes" if the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) immediately preceding 5 PM EDT on April 10, 2026, is between $72,500 and $72,999.99. Otherwise, it resolves to "No." The official price is verified from CF Benchmarks, and trading for this market closes at 5 PM EDT on April 10, 2026.

## Market Discussion

Limited public discussion available for this market.

## Market Data

| Contract | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | Last Price | Volume | Open Interest |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| $54,500 to 54,999.99 | 0% | 1% | 0% | $0 | $0 |
| $55,000 to 55,499.99 | 0% | 1% | 0% | $0 | $0 |
| $55,500 to 55,999.99 | 0% | 1% | 0% | $0 | $0 |
| $56,000 to 56,499.99 | 0% | 1% | 1% | $287 | $287 |
| $56,500 to 56,999.99 | 0% | 1% | 0% | $0 | $0 |
| $57,000 to 57,499.99 | 0% | 1% | 0% | $0 | $0 |
| $57,500 to 57,999.99 | 0% | 1% | 2% | $500 | $500 |
| $58,000 to 58,499.99 | 0% | 1% | 0% | $0 | $0 |
| $58,500 to 58,999.99 | 0% | 1% | 0% | $0 | $0 |
| $59,000 to 59,499.99 | 0% | 1% | 2% | $124 | $124 |
| $59,500 to 59,999.99 | 0% | 1% | 1% | $110 | $110 |
| $60,000 to 60,499.99 | 0% | 1% | 1% | $1,000 | $1,000 |
| $60,500 to 60,999.99 | 0% | 1% | 2% | $1,110 | $1,000 |
| $61,000 to 61,499.99 | 0% | 1% | 2% | $1,685 | $1,685 |
| $61,500 to 61,999.99 | 0% | 1% | 1% | $1,335 | $1,335 |
| $62,000 to 62,499.99 | 0% | 1% | 1% | $1,332 | $1,130 |
| $62,500 to 62,999.99 | 0% | 1% | 1% | $1,511 | $1,090 |
| $63,000 to 63,499.99 | 0% | 1% | 2% | $2,664 | $2,138 |
| $63,500 to 63,999.99 | 0% | 1% | 2% | $930 | $680 |
| $64,000 to 64,499.99 | 0% | 1% | 2% | $2,107 | $1,764 |
| $64,500 to 64,999.99 | 0% | 1% | 3% | $1,850 | $1,710 |
| $65,000 to 65,499.99 | 0% | 2% | 3% | $1,442 | $1,311 |
| $65,500 to 65,999.99 | 2% | 3% | 3% | $2,607 | $1,919 |
| $66,000 to 66,499.99 | 1% | 3% | 3% | $3,952 | $3,036 |
| $66,500 to 66,999.99 | 1% | 3% | 3% | $8,255 | $6,419 |
| $67,000 to 67,499.99 | 2% | 4% | 4% | $9,351 | $5,703 |
| $67,500 to 67,999.99 | 2% | 4% | 4% | $9,675 | $6,702 |
| $68,000 to 68,499.99 | 3% | 4% | 3% | $16,058 | $12,471 |
| $68,500 to 68,999.99 | 3% | 4% | 3% | $14,656 | $9,358 |
| $69,000 to 69,499.99 | 4% | 5% | 5% | $12,172 | $7,283 |
| $69,500 to 69,999.99 | 5% | 7% | 6% | $15,231 | $10,467 |
| $70,000 to 70,499.99 | 6% | 7% | 7% | $5,471 | $3,891 |
| $70,500 to 70,999.99 | 5% | 6% | 6% | $3,447 | $2,519 |
| $71,000 to 71,499.99 | 5% | 6% | 6% | $3,285 | $2,320 |
| $71,500 to 71,999.99 | 7% | 9% | 9% | $3,805 | $2,762 |
| $72,000 to 72,499.99 | 6% | 9% | 8% | $4,286 | $3,521 |
| $72,500 to 72,999.99 | 8% | 10% | 10% | $4,357 | $3,573 |
| $73,000 to 73,499.99 | 6% | 7% | 5% | $3,387 | $2,840 |
| $73,500 to 73,999.99 | 6% | 8% | 8% | $3,904 | $3,727 |
| $74,000 to 74,499.99 | 4% | 5% | 4% | $2,948 | $2,807 |
| $74,500 to 74,999.99 | 3% | 4% | 4% | $2,916 | $2,731 |
| $75,000 to 75,499.99 | 4% | 5% | 4% | $5,946 | $5,621 |
| $75,500 to 75,999.99 | 1% | 3% | 3% | $2,296 | $2,284 |
| $76,000 to 76,499.99 | 1% | 2% | 2% | $1,927 | $1,373 |
| $76,500 to 76,999.99 | 1% | 2% | 2% | $5,265 | $4,644 |
| $77,000 to 77,499.99 | 0% | 2% | 1% | $1,502 | $1,002 |
| $77,500 to 77,999.99 | 0% | 2% | 2% | $1,324 | $1,000 |
| $78,000 to 78,499.99 | 0% | 2% | 2% | $1,898 | $1,337 |
| $54,499.99 or below | 0% | 2% | 2% | $3,030 | $3,030 |
| $78,500 or above | 0% | 2% | 3% | $3,569 | $2,925 |

## What Are the Market and Federal Reserve Rate Expectations for 2026?

Market-Implied Q1 2026 Federal Funds Rate | 4.875% (CME FedWatch Tool, March 2026 FOMC meeting) [[^]](https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html?inf_contact_key=3b95c50e5eeffb7a9570ae83e116383a680f8914173f9191b1c0223e68310bb1) |
Fed's Year-End 2026 Federal Funds Rate Projection | 5.125% (March 18, 2026, FOMC dot plot) [[^]](https://federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomcprojtabl20260318.htm) |
Highest Market Probability for March 2026 FFR Range | 4.75%-5.00% with 55% probability (CME FedWatch Tool) [[^]](https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html?inf_contact_key=3b95c50e5eeffb7a9570ae83e116383a680f8914173f9191b1c0223e68310bb1) |

**The market-implied outlook for U.S**

The **market**-implied outlook for U.S. monetary policy anticipates lower rates in Q1 2026. Based on the SOFR futures curve, **market** participants suggest an average effective federal funds rate of approximately **4.85%** for the first quarter of 2026 [[^]](https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/stirs/three-month-sofr.quotes.html). An analysis of Three-Month SOFR Futures contracts maturing in March 2026 indicates an implied SOFR around **4.85%** on average for that quarter [[^]](https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/stirs/three-month-sofr.quotes.html). Further supporting this, the CME FedWatch Tool shows that for the March 2026 FOMC meeting, the highest **probability**, at **55%**, is for the federal funds rate target range to be between **4.75%** and **5.00%**, with a midpoint of **4.875%** [[^]](https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html?inf_contact_key=3b95c50e5eeffb7a9570ae83e116383a680f8914173f9191b1c0223e68310bb1).

In contrast, the Federal Reserve projects higher rates for late 2026. The Federal Reserve's own projections, released on March 18, 2026, present a different perspective. The median projection from the FOMC's dot plot for the federal funds rate at the end of 2026 stands at **5.125%** [[^]](https://federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomcprojtabl20260318.htm). This projection indicates that the Federal Reserve anticipates a higher rate by year-end compared to what the **market** is implying for Q1 2026, suggesting a potential divergence in the timing and magnitude of anticipated rate adjustments between **market** participants and members of the FOMC [[^]](https://www.cnbc.com/2026/03/18/dot-plot-fed-still-expects-to-cut-rates-once-this-year-despite-spiking-oil-prices-.html).

## What are the latest 2025 US Spot Bitcoin ETF inflow projections?

High 2025 Net Inflow Projection | $229.426 billion [[^]](https://www.cointech2u.com/2025-full-year-us-bitcoin-spot-etf-total-net-inflows-229-426-billion/) |
Low 2025 Net Inflow Projection | $21.3 billion [[^]](https://blockchain.news/flashnews/bitcoin-btc-spot-etf-net-inflows-hit-21-3-billion-in-2025-final-tally-from-farside-investors) |
Quarterly Flow Rate of Change | Dynamic, fluctuating institutional demand [[^]](https://www.tradingnews.com/news/bitcoin-etf-inflows-flip-negative-as-ibit-etf-slides-to-49-usd) |

**Projections for 2025 Bitcoin ETF net inflows vary significantly**

Projections for 2025 Bitcoin ETF net inflows vary significantly. One analysis suggests that total net inflows into US spot Bitcoin ETFs could reach **$229.426** billion by the end of 2025 [[^]](https://www.cointech2u.com/2025-full-year-us-bitcoin-spot-etf-total-net-inflows-229-426-billion/). In contrast, another report, citing Farside Investors, projects the final tally for Bitcoin spot ETF net inflows in 2025 to be **$21.3** billion [[^]](https://blockchain.news/flashnews/bitcoin-btc-spot-etf-net-inflows-hit-21-3-billion-in-2025-final-tally-from-farside-investors). It is important to note that these figures specifically represent the anticipated inflows during the calendar year 2025, rather than cumulative totals from the ETFs' inception [[^]](https://blockchain.news/flashnews/bitcoin-btc-spot-etf-net-inflows-hit-21-3-billion-in-2025-final-tally-from-farside-investors).

Institutional demand for Bitcoin ETFs shows dynamic, volatile patterns. The available data indicates that the quarterly rate of change in these flows is not consistently accelerating or decelerating. While there have been periods of substantial positive inflows, such as daily inflows reaching **$471** million, which marked the largest in over a month [[^]](https://cryptobriefing.com/bitcoin-etf-inflows-record-471-million-largest-month/), and IBIT recording **$287** million during a **market** rebound [[^]](https://www.tradingnews.com/news/bitcoin-etfs-roar-back-ibit-etf-grabs-287m-usd), there have also been instances where ETF inflows turned negative, experiencing outflows [[^]](https://www.tradingnews.com/news/bitcoin-etf-inflows-flip-negative-as-ibit-etf-slides-to-49-usd). This fluctuating trend, characterized by periods of both significant accumulation and reduced interest or distribution [[^]](https://bitcoinworld.news/article/bitcoin-etfs-accumulation-or-distribution), suggests that institutional demand for spot Bitcoin ETFs is robust but experiences volatility, rather than a steady upward or downward trajectory in its rate of change [[^]](https://www.tradingnews.com/news/bitcoin-etf-inflows-flip-negative-as-ibit-etf-slides-to-49-usd).

## What is Bitcoin's US Regulatory Classification Amid Legislative Delays?

Crypto Legislation Status | Not enacted by Q1 2026 due to Senate hurdles [[^]](https://news.blockreq.com/en/news/clarity-act-senate-stalemate-2026/) |
SEC Guidance | Interpretive framework issued March 2026 [[^]](https://webiis06.mondaq.com/unitedstates/fintech/1763842/sec-issues-interpretive-framework-for-crypto-asset-classification) |
Bitcoin Classification | Consistently treated as a commodity [[^]](https://webiis06.mondaq.com/unitedstates/fintech/1763842/sec-issues-interpretive-framework-for-crypto-asset-classification) |

**Comprehensive U.S**

Comprehensive U.S. crypto legislation remained unenacted by early 2026. Efforts to establish a clear regulatory framework, such as the Digital Asset **Market** Clarity Act (H.R.3633), a successor to earlier bills, faced significant legislative hurdles [[^]](https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633/text). By 2026, the CLARITY Act encountered a "Senate Wall," where over 100 amendments blocked a vote and prevented its passage into law [[^]](https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633/text). This legislative stagnation ultimately prompted regulatory bodies to develop and advance their own guidance on crypto assets [[^]](https://www.everycrsreport.com/reports/LSB11415.html).

Regulators, not Congress, clarified crypto asset classification for Bitcoin. Despite the absence of comprehensive legislation, bodies like the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) stepped in to provide clarity [[^]](https://webiis06.mondaq.com/unitedstates/fintech/1763842/sec-issues-interpretive-framework-for-crypto-asset-classification). In March 2026, the SEC issued an interpretive framework, which clarified how federal securities laws apply to various crypto assets [[^]](https://webiis06.mondaq.com/unitedstates/fintech/1763842/sec-issues-interpretive-framework-for-crypto-asset-classification). Across both proposed legislation and existing regulatory guidance from the SEC and CFTC, Bitcoin is consistently recognized as a commodity [[^]](https://webiis06.mondaq.com/unitedstates/fintech/1763842/sec-issues-interpretive-framework-for-crypto-asset-classification). This classification is primarily attributed to Bitcoin's decentralized nature and the absence of an initial investment contract structure [[^]](https://weaver.com/resources/crypto-assets-face-clearer-us-rules-under-new-sec-cftc-guidance/).

## What was the Bitcoin long-term holder accumulation trend in late 2025?

Early 2025 LTH Status | Net distribution or "dump" [[^]](https://www.tradingview.com/news/newsbtc:69509f3c8094b:0-bitcoin-long-term-holder-dump-is-over-on-chain-data-just-flipped/) |
Accumulation Resumption | After a five-month hiatus [[^]](https://www.indexbox.io/blog/bitcoin-long-term-holders-resume-net-accumulation-after-5-month-hiatus/) |
Late 2025 LTH Status | Confirmed net accumulators by December 30, 2025 [[^]](https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2025/12/30/long-term-holders-turn-net-accumulators-easing-a-major-bitcoin-headwind) |

**Long-Term Holders began 2025 with significant net distribution**

Long-Term Holders began 2025 with significant net distribution. Long-Term Bitcoin Holders (LTHs) experienced a period of net distribution earlier in 2025, which included a significant sell-off around October and implied increasing sell-side pressure on Bitcoin [[^]](https://www.indexbox.io/blog/bitcoin-long-term-holders-resume-net-accumulation-after-5-month-hiatus/). This phase was preceded by a five-month hiatus in net accumulation, suggesting LTHs were either neutral or net distributors during this time [[^]](https://www.indexbox.io/blog/bitcoin-long-term-holders-resume-net-accumulation-after-5-month-hiatus/).

Long-Term Holders later shifted to decisive net accumulation. Towards the latter part of 2025, a significant shift occurred as LTHs moved back into a state of net accumulation, resuming after the five-month hiatus [[^]](https://www.indexbox.io/blog/bitcoin-long-term-holders-resume-net-accumulation-after-5-month-hiatus/). By December 30, 2025, on-chain analytics confirmed that long-term holders had decisively turned into net accumulators [[^]](https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2025/12/30/long-term-holders-turn-net-accumulators-easing-a-major-bitcoin-headwind). This shift signaled the conclusion of the previous distribution phase, with on-chain data indicating a flip towards accumulation [[^]](https://www.tradingview.com/news/newsbtc:69509f3c8094b:0-bitcoin-long-term-holder-dump-is-over-on-chain-data-just-flipped/). This accumulation trend suggests a reduction in the liquid supply of Bitcoin and an easing of sell-side pressure for the cryptocurrency [[^]](https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2025/12/30/long-term-holders-turn-net-accumulators-easing-a-major-bitcoin-headwind).

## How Does Bitcoin's Price React Post-Halving Historically?

2016-2018 Cycle Peak | Nearly $20,000 (December 2017) [[^]](https://fractalcycles.com/guides/bitcoin-halving-cycle) |
2020-2022 Cycle Peak | Nearly $69,000 (November 2021) [[^]](https://fractalcycles.com/guides/bitcoin-halving-cycle) |
2024-2026 Cycle Peak | $126,047 (October 2025) [[^]](https://bitcoiniseatingtheworld.com/2025/10/06/bitcoin-hits-all-time-high-on-oct-6-2025-at-125674/) |

**Bitcoin's price performance in the 18-24 months following the April 2024 halving demonstrated patterns consistent with previous cycles**

Bitcoin's price performance in the 18-24 months following the April 2024 halving demonstrated patterns consistent with previous cycles. Historically, Bitcoin halving events, which reduce the supply of new BTC, have preceded significant price rallies that typically culminate in new all-time highs within 12-18 months, followed by substantial corrections [[^]](https://fractalcycles.com/guides/bitcoin-halving-cycle). For instance, after the July 2016 halving, Bitcoin peaked in December 2017 at nearly **$20,000,** approximately 17 months later [[^]](https://fractalcycles.com/guides/bitcoin-halving-cycle). Similarly, following the May 2020 halving, the price reached an all-time high of nearly **$69,000** in November 2021, roughly 18 months post-halving [[^]](https://fractalcycles.com/guides/bitcoin-halving-cycle).

The 2024 halving cycle peak occurred at a significantly higher magnitude compared to prior cycles. In the 18-24 month period following the April 2024 halving, Bitcoin showed comparable timing for its cycle peak. By October 2025, approximately 18 months after the halving, Bitcoin achieved new all-time highs, with prices reaching **$126,047** on October 6, 2025 [[^]](https://bitcoiniseatingtheworld.com/2025/10/06/bitcoin-hits-all-time-high-on-oct-6-2025-at-125674/). Other reports cited highs above **$125,000** [[^]](https://bitcoinmagazine.com/markets/bitcoin-price-teases-further-all-time-highs-above-125000), with a closing price of **$124,959.11** on that day [[^]](https://www.statmuse.com/money/ask/btc-price-oct-6-2025). This magnitude represents a substantial increase compared to the peaks of previous halving cycles.

A significant **market** correction followed the 2024 cycle's peak, aligning with historical patterns. Following the October 2025 peak, the **market** experienced a substantial downturn. By February 2026, Bitcoin underwent a "brutal" correction, losing **30%** of its value within 30 days and removing considerable capital from the broader crypto **market** [[^]](https://www.fastmr.com/bitcoins-brutal-february-2026/). This sharp decline confirms that a significant correction materialized within the 18-24 month post-halving window, mirroring the cyclical nature of **market** corrections that typically follow the post-halving bull run peaks [[^]](https://fractalcycles.com/guides/bitcoin-halving-cycle).

## What Could Change the Odds

**Key takeaway.** Catalyst analysis unavailable.

## Key Dates & Catalysts

- **Strike Date:** April 10, 2026
- **Expiration:** April 17, 2026
- **Closes:** April 10, 2026

## Decision-Flipping Events

- Catalyst analysis unavailable.

## Related Research Reports

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## Historical Resolutions

**Historical Resolutions:** 20 markets in this series

**Outcomes:** 0 resolved YES, 20 resolved NO

**Recent resolutions:**

- KXBTC-26APR0721-T78299.99: NO (Apr 08, 2026)
- KXBTC-26APR0721-T59700: NO (Apr 08, 2026)
- KXBTC-26APR0721-B78250: NO (Apr 08, 2026)
- KXBTC-26APR0721-B78150: NO (Apr 08, 2026)
- KXBTC-26APR0721-B78050: NO (Apr 08, 2026)

## Disclaimer

This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, legal, or trading advice.
Prediction markets involve risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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### Data Sources & Model Transparency

**Data Sources:** Octagon Deep Research aggregates information from multiple sources including news, filings, and market data.

**Freshness:** Analysis is generated periodically and may not reflect the latest developments. Verify critical information from primary sources.