# BTC 15 min · $78,042.38 target

May 16 - 8:45AM EDT to 9:00AM EDT

Updated: May 16, 2026

Category: Crypto

Tags: BTC
15 min

HTML: /markets/crypto/btc/btc-15-min-78-042-38-target/

## Short Answer

**Key takeaway.** Both the **model** and the **market** expect BTC to hit a target price of **$78,042.38** between 8:45 AM EDT and 9:00 AM EDT, with no compelling evidence of mispricing.

## Key Claims (January 2026)

**- - $79,000 Bitcoin support level faces significant pressure amid market caution.** - CLARITY Act advancement and inflation data appear to influence crypto markets.
- Bitcoin whales moving coins off exchanges may signal long-term bullish sentiment.
- Bitcoin appears to be consolidating, facing resistance near **$80,800** and support at **$74,000**.
- Specific May 16 futures and options data remains unavailable for **market** analysis.

### Why This Matters (GEO)

- AI agents extract claims, not arguments.
- Improves citation probability in summaries and answer cards.
- Enables fact stitching across multiple sources.

## Executive Verdict

**Key takeaway.** **Model**'s **62.1%** exceeds the 60c **market**, implying 1.7x payout as Bitcoin faces **$79,000** support pressure.

### Who Wins and Why

| Outcome | Market | Model | Why |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Outcome | 60.0% | 62.1% | Model higher by 2.1pp |

## Model vs Market

- Model Probability: 62.1% (Yes)
- Market Probability: 60.0% (Yes)
- Yes refers to: Yes
- Edge: +2.1pp
- Expected Return: +3.6%
- R-Score: 0.21
- Total Volume: $81,144.63
- 24h Volume: $0
- Open Interest: $39,383

- Expiration: May 16, 2026

## Market Behavior & Price Dynamics

No historical price data available.

## Contract Snapshot

A "Yes" resolution occurs if the simple average of sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:00 AM EDT on May 16, 2026, is at least $78,042.38; otherwise, it resolves to "No." The final resolution price is determined by averaging 60 CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI) prices collected during the last minute before expiration, rounded to the nearest two decimal places. Trading for this market opens at 8:45 AM EDT, closes at 9:00 AM EDT, and has a projected payout at 9:05 AM EDT, all on May 16, 2026.

## Market Discussion

As of May 16, 2026, Bitcoin is trading within the $77,900–$79,100 range, with market sentiment showing a mix of fear and caution despite a recent surge in social media euphoria [[^]](https://coincodex.com/article/84827/bitcoin-prediction-may-16-2026/). Prediction markets frequently host 15-minute BTC price target events [[^]](https://robinhood.com/us/en/prediction-markets/crypto/events/btc-15-min-79-05979-target-may-16-2026/), and while analysts are split on Bitcoin's immediate next move, some anticipate new highs are still possible, with one forecast estimating BTC could reach $85,127 by May 21, 2026 [[^]](https://coincodex.com/article/84827/bitcoin-prediction-may-16-2026/).

## What are the primary macroeconomic or regulatory catalysts that could drive Bitcoin's price below the $79,000 support level before 9:00 AM EDT on May 16?

10-year Treasury Yield | above 4.55% (highest since May 2025) [[^]](https://www.mexc.com/news/1096666)[[^]](https://www.mexc.com/news/1095957) |
Spot Bitcoin ETF Outflow (Single Day) | $635 million (on May 13) [[^]](https://www.analyticsinsight.net/price-analysis/crypto-prices-today-bitcoin-holds-at-80k-as-clarity-act-clears-senate-committee-warsh-takes-fed-chair)[[^]](https://www.mexc.com/news/1096666)[[^]](https://www.hokanews.com/2026/05/spot-bitcoin-etfs-see-630m-outflows-as.html)[[^]](https://www.crypto-news-flash.com/us-spot-bitcoin-etfs-post-635m-in-net-outflows-as-ibit-leads/) |
New Fed Chair Assumption Date | May 16 (Kevin Warsh) [[^]](https://www.analyticsinsight.net/price-analysis/crypto-prices-today-bitcoin-holds-at-80k-as-clarity-act-clears-senate-committee-warsh-takes-fed-chair)[[^]](https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/13/kevin-warsh-wins-senate-confirmation-as-the-next-federal-reserve-chair.html)[[^]](https://www.whro.org/2026-05-13/senate-confirms-kevin-warsh-as-next-chair-of-the-federal-reserve) |

**Bitcoin's price dropped below $79,000 due to key market forces**

Bitcoin's price dropped below **$79,000** due to key **market** forces.
On May 16, 2026, Bitcoin's price declined below the **$79,000** support level, influenced by significant macroeconomic and regulatory catalysts [[^]](https://www.mexc.com/news/1096666)[[^]](https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-05-15/bitcoin-dips-below-79-000-as-inflation-fears-hit-risk-assets)[[^]](https://www.mexc.com/news/1095957)[[^]](https://www.analyticsinsight.net/price-analysis/crypto-prices-today-bitcoin-holds-at-80k-as-clarity-act-clears-senate-committee-warsh-takes-fed-chair). The primary macroeconomic factor contributing to this decline was a substantial rise in U.S. Treasury yields. The 10-year yield climbed above **4.55%**, marking its highest level since May 2025, driven by renewed inflation fears and escalating energy prices linked to the conflict with Iran [[^]](https://www.mexc.com/news/1096666)[[^]](https://www.mexc.com/news/1095957).

Institutional selling and Federal Reserve leadership changes fueled volatility.
Intensified institutional selling pressure was evident through significant net outflows from U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs, including a **$635** million single-day withdrawal on May 13, which undermined prior consistent institutional demand [[^]](https://www.analyticsinsight.net/price-analysis/crypto-prices-today-bitcoin-holds-at-80k-as-clarity-act-clears-senate-committee-warsh-takes-fed-chair)[[^]](https://www.mexc.com/news/1096666)[[^]](https://www.hokanews.com/2026/05/spot-bitcoin-etfs-see-630m-outflows-as.html)[[^]](https://www.crypto-news-flash.com/us-spot-bitcoin-etfs-post-635m-in-net-outflows-as-ibit-leads/). Additionally, regulatory and political uncertainty arose from the Federal Reserve's leadership transition, with Kevin Warsh officially assuming the role of Fed Chair on May 16. Investors anticipated potential shifts in monetary policy and interest rate expectations, further contributing to **market** volatility [[^]](https://www.analyticsinsight.net/price-analysis/crypto-prices-today-bitcoin-holds-at-80k-as-clarity-act-clears-senate-committee-warsh-takes-fed-chair)[[^]](https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/13/kevin-warsh-wins-senate-confirmation-as-the-next-federal-reserve-chair.html)[[^]](https://www.whro.org/2026-05-13/senate-confirms-kevin-warsh-as-next-chair-of-the-federal-reserve).

## What do exchange order books and on-chain metrics reveal about the strength of the $79,000 support level for Bitcoin on May 16?

Bitcoin Price (May 16, 2026) | $79,174 [[^]](https://blockchainreporter.net/bitcoin-price-today-btc-at-80832-as-powell-exits-and-warsh-takes-over-the-pattern-everyone-is-watching/)[[^]](https://thecurrencyanalytics.com/bitcoin/btc-drops-below-79k-with-76000-support-level-now-in-play-258139)[Bitcoin has pulled back to $79,174.48 (-2.6%) after stalling above $80K despite the CLARITY Act advancing in the Senate.

Analysts say a convincing break and hold above $82K–$84K is needed to confirm the next leg up, while spot Bitcoin ETF outflows continue to weigh on momentum.

Full Table. 👇 | BitPinas | Facebook">[^]](https://www.facebook.com/BitPinas/posts/-bitpinas-daily-market-price-may-16-2026-900-am-pht-bitcoin-has-pulled-back-to-7/1446347757505100/) |
Critical Support Level | $79,000 [[^]](https://blockchainreporter.net/bitcoin-price-today-btc-at-80832-as-powell-exits-and-warsh-takes-over-the-pattern-everyone-is-watching/)[[^]](https://thecurrencyanalytics.com/bitcoin/btc-drops-below-79k-with-76000-support-level-now-in-play-258139)[Bitcoin has pulled back to $79,174.48 (-2.6%) after stalling above $80K despite the CLARITY Act advancing in the Senate.

Analysts say a convincing break and hold above $82K–$84K is needed to confirm the next leg up, while spot Bitcoin ETF outflows continue to weigh on momentum.

Full Table. 👇 | BitPinas | Facebook">[^]](https://www.facebook.com/BitPinas/posts/-bitpinas-daily-market-price-may-16-2026-900-am-pht-bitcoin-has-pulled-back-to-7/1446347757505100/) |
CPI Data | 3.8% [[^]](https://blockchainreporter.net/bitcoin-price-today-btc-at-80832-as-powell-exits-and-warsh-takes-over-the-pattern-everyone-is-watching/)[Bitcoin has pulled back to $79,174.48 (-2.6%) after stalling above $80K despite the CLARITY Act advancing in the Senate.

Analysts say a convincing break and hold above $82K–$84K is needed to confirm the next leg up, while spot Bitcoin ETF outflows continue to weigh on momentum.

Full Table. 👇 | BitPinas | Facebook">[^]](https://www.facebook.com/BitPinas/posts/-bitpinas-daily-market-price-may-16-2026-900-am-pht-bitcoin-has-pulled-back-to-7/1446347757505100/) |

**Bitcoin's $79,000 support faces significant pressure amidst market caution**

Bitcoin's **$79,000** support faces significant pressure amidst **market** caution. On May 16, 2026, Bitcoin is trading near **$79,174,** with the **$79,000** level identified as a critical support zone that is currently under significant pressure or has recently been breached [[^]](https://blockchainreporter.net/bitcoin-price-today-btc-at-80832-as-powell-exits-and-warsh-takes-over-the-pattern-everyone-is-watching/)[[^]](https://thecurrencyanalytics.com/bitcoin/btc-drops-below-79k-with-76000-support-level-now-in-play-258139)[Bitcoin has pulled back to **$79,174.48** (-**2.6%**) after stalling above **$80**K despite the CLARITY Act advancing in the Senate.

Analysts say a convincing break and hold above **$82**K–**$84**K is needed to confirm the next leg up, while spot Bitcoin ETF outflows continue to weigh on momentum.

Full Table. 👇 | BitPinas | Facebook">[^]](https://www.facebook.com/BitPinas/posts/-bitpinas-daily-**market**-price-may-16-2026-900-am-pht-bitcoin-has-pulled-back-to-7/1446347757505100/). **Market** sentiment remains cautious due to prevailing macroeconomic headwinds, including CPI data at **3.8%**, and ongoing spot Bitcoin ETF outflows, which have collectively dampened momentum following a stall in price above **$80,000** [[^]](https://blockchainreporter.net/bitcoin-price-today-btc-at-80832-as-powell-exits-and-warsh-takes-over-the-pattern-everyone-is-watching/)[Bitcoin has pulled back to **$79,174.48** (-**2.6%**) after stalling above **$80**K despite the CLARITY Act advancing in the Senate.

Analysts say a convincing break and hold above **$82**K–**$84**K is needed to confirm the next leg up, while spot Bitcoin ETF outflows continue to weigh on momentum.

Full Table. 👇 | BitPinas | Facebook">[^]](https://www.facebook.com/BitPinas/posts/-bitpinas-daily-**market**-price-may-16-2026-900-am-pht-bitcoin-has-pulled-back-to-7/1446347757505100/).

On-chain data points to accumulation despite unclear order book specifics. On-chain metrics, such as the MVRV Z-Score near 1 and declining exchange balances, suggest a structural shift towards strong institutional accumulation [[^]](https://bitcoinworld.co.in/btc-spot-cvd-chart-analysis-12/)[[^]](https://www.mexc.com/news/1086084)[[^]](https://beincrypto.com/bitcoin-cycle-change-on-chain-data-2026/). However, the provided research does not explicitly detail current exchange order book dynamics concerning the strength of the **$79,000** support level on this specific date [[^]](https://bitcoinworld.co.in/btc-spot-cvd-chart-analysis-12/)[[^]](https://www.mexc.com/news/1086084)[[^]](https://beincrypto.com/bitcoin-cycle-change-on-chain-data-2026/). Technical analysis indicates that if the **$79,000** support level fails to hold, **market** attention would likely shift to lower support zones at **$77,500** and subsequently **$73,000**–**$76,000** [[^]](https://blockchainreporter.net/bitcoin-price-today-btc-at-80832-as-powell-exits-and-warsh-takes-over-the-pattern-everyone-is-watching/)[[^]](https://www.techi.com/bitcoin-price-today/)[Bitcoin has pulled back to **$79,174.48** (-**2.6%**) after stalling above **$80**K despite the CLARITY Act advancing in the Senate.

Analysts say a convincing break and hold above **$82**K–**$84**K is needed to confirm the next leg up, while spot Bitcoin ETF outflows continue to weigh on momentum.

Full Table. 👇 | BitPinas | Facebook">[^]](https://www.facebook.com/BitPinas/posts/-bitpinas-daily-**market**-price-may-16-2026-900-am-pht-bitcoin-has-pulled-back-to-7/1446347757505100/).

## How does the market impact of the CLARITY Act's advancement compare to the pressure from recent U.S. inflation data, based on trading volume and fund flows?

CLARITY Act Advancement Date | May 14, 2026 [[^]](https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/14/clarity-act-congress-crypto-senate.html)[[^]](https://blog.kraken.com/economic-brief/may-13-2026) |
April 2026 U.S. Headline Inflation | 3.8% year-over-year [[^]](https://news.bitcoin.com/us-inflation-accelerates-for-second-straight-month-as-gas-costs-drive-april-cpi/) |
Bitcoin Prediction Target (May 16, 2026) | $78,042.38 [[^]](https://robinhood.com/us/en/prediction-markets/crypto/events/btc-15-min-80-42474-target-may-15-2026/)[[^]](https://fortune.com/article/price-of-bitcoin-05-15-2026/) |

**Mid-May 2026 saw crypto markets influenced by contrasting legislative and economic factors**

Mid-May 2026 saw crypto markets influenced by contrasting legislative and economic factors. The CLARITY Act (H.R. 3633) advanced through the Senate Banking Committee on May 14, 2026, acting as a bullish regulatory development for the crypto industry [[^]](https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/14/clarity-act-congress-crypto-senate.html)[[^]](https://blog.kraken.com/economic-brief/may-13-2026)[[^]](https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/crypto/articles/heres-latest-inflation-data-could-133300668.html). Conversely, U.S. headline inflation for April 2026, reported on May 12, reached **3.8%** year-over-year, exceeding the **3.7%** consensus forecast [[^]](https://news.bitcoin.com/us-inflation-accelerates-for-second-straight-month-as-gas-costs-drive-april-cpi/)[[^]](https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/crypto/articles/heres-latest-inflation-data-could-133300668.html). This higher-than-expected inflation data generated bearish pressure on risk assets by moderating expectations for near-term Federal Reserve interest rate reductions [[^]](https://news.bitcoin.com/us-inflation-accelerates-for-second-straight-month-as-gas-costs-drive-april-cpi/)[[^]](https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/crypto/articles/heres-latest-inflation-data-could-133300668.html).

Specific **market** impact data was unavailable amidst evident opposing sentiments. While direct trading volume or fund flow data to precisely measure the **market**'s response to these events remains unquantified, overall **market** sentiment clearly reflected these competing forces [[^]](https://blog.kraken.com/economic-brief/may-13-2026)[[^]](https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/crypto/articles/heres-latest-inflation-data-could-133300668.html). The CLARITY Act fostered optimism, while the inflation report prompted caution among investors [[^]](https://blog.kraken.com/economic-brief/may-13-2026)[[^]](https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/crypto/articles/heres-latest-inflation-data-could-133300668.html). This period also saw high volatility and a significant phase of price discovery, exemplified by a Bitcoin (BTC) prediction **market** target of **$78,042.38** for May 16, 2026 [[^]](https://robinhood.com/us/en/prediction-markets/crypto/events/btc-15-min-80-42474-target-may-15-2026/)[[^]](https://fortune.com/article/price-of-bitcoin-05-15-2026/).

## What insights do Bitcoin futures and options data for May 16 provide regarding market expectations for short-term volatility?

Bitcoin Price (May 15, 2026) | $80,832 (as of May 15, 2026) [[^]](https://blockchainreporter.net/bitcoin-price-today-btc-at-80832-as-powell-exits-and-warsh-takes-over-the-pattern-everyone-is-watching/) |
200-day Moving Average | $82,228 [[^]](https://blockchainreporter.net/bitcoin-price-today-btc-at-80832-as-powell-exits-and-warsh-takes-over-the-pattern-everyone-is-watching/) |
Key Support Levels | $79,000 and $80,000 [[^]](https://blockchainreporter.net/bitcoin-price-today-btc-at-80832-as-powell-exits-and-warsh-takes-over-the-pattern-everyone-is-watching/) |

**Specific data on May 16 futures and options is unavailable**

Specific data on May 16 futures and options is unavailable. The research findings do not provide specific information regarding Bitcoin futures and options data for May 16. Therefore, no insights into **market** expectations for short-term volatility derived from these financial instruments for the specified date are detailed.

Bitcoin experienced significant price volatility around May 15, 2026. As of that date, Bitcoin was trading near **$80,832** [[^]](https://blockchainreporter.net/bitcoin-price-today-btc-at-80832-as-powell-exits-and-warsh-takes-over-the-pattern-everyone-is-watching/). The preceding week had been volatile, with its price spiking to **$82,000** before experiencing a sell-off to **$79,000** [[^]](https://blockchainreporter.net/bitcoin-price-today-btc-at-80832-as-powell-exits-and-warsh-takes-over-the-pattern-everyone-is-watching/). These fluctuations were influenced by uncertainty surrounding Federal Reserve policy and higher-than-expected CPI data [[^]](https://blockchainreporter.net/bitcoin-price-today-btc-at-80832-as-powell-exits-and-warsh-takes-over-the-pattern-everyone-is-watching/). **Market** sentiment during mid-May 2026 was characterized as indecisive, with Bitcoin struggling to surpass the 200-day moving average at **$82,228,** while successfully maintaining support levels at **$79,000** and **$80,000** [[^]](https://blockchainreporter.net/bitcoin-price-today-btc-at-80832-as-powell-exits-and-warsh-takes-over-the-pattern-everyone-is-watching/).

## What do recent large-wallet transactions and exchange netflow data indicate about potential sell-side pressure from Bitcoin whales leading into the morning trading session?

Exchange Supply Low | 8-year low [[^]](https://www.mexc.co/news/1063369)[[^]](https://www.tradingpedia.com/2026/04/16/bitcoin-near-highs-as-inflows-hint-at-selling-pressure/) |
Whale Outflows | Six-month high (early May 2026) [[^]](https://www.mexc.com/news/1079074) |
Prediction Market Target | $78,042.38 (May 16, 2026) [[^]](https://blockchainreporter.net/bitcoin-price-today-btc-at-80832-as-powell-exits-and-warsh-takes-over-the-pattern-everyone-is-watching/)[[^]](https://coincodex.com/article/84827/bitcoin-prediction-may-16-2026/) |

**Bitcoin whales are moving coins off exchanges, signaling long-term bullish sentiment**

Bitcoin whales are moving coins off exchanges, signaling long-term bullish sentiment. Recent on-chain data from early May 2026 indicated a significant trend of Bitcoin whales moving coins off exchanges, with these outflows reaching a six-month high [[^]](https://www.mexc.com/news/1079074). This activity is historically interpreted as a bullish signal for long-term holding rather than immediate sell-side pressure [[^]](https://www.mexc.com/news/1079074)[[^]](https://finbold.com/bitcoin-exchange-supply-falls-to-an-8-year-low/). The broader trend leading into mid-May has also been characterized by a decline in exchange supply to an 8-year low, further suggesting reduced immediate sell-side liquidity [[^]](https://www.mexc.co/news/1063369)[[^]](https://www.tradingpedia.com/2026/04/16/bitcoin-near-highs-as-inflows-hint-at-selling-pressure/).

Short-term selling pressure emerges despite bullish long-term whale movements. However, despite these generally bullish signals, exchange inflows in late April 2026 signaled potential short-term selling pressure near the **$78,000** resistance zone [[^]](https://www.mexc.co/news/1063369)[[^]](https://www.tradingpedia.com/2026/04/16/bitcoin-near-highs-as-inflows-hint-at-selling-pressure/). Bitcoin is currently trading in a consolidation range, experiencing a -**3.11%** decline on May 16, and has been struggling with resistance near **$80,000**–**$82,000** [[^]](https://blockchainreporter.net/bitcoin-price-today-btc-at-80832-as-powell-exits-and-warsh-takes-over-the-pattern-everyone-is-watching/)[[^]](https://coincodex.com/article/84827/bitcoin-prediction-may-16-2026/). This aligns with a prediction **market** target of **$78,042.38** for the 8:45 AM–9:00 AM EDT window on May 16, 2026, which is also consistent with key support levels [[^]](https://blockchainreporter.net/bitcoin-price-today-btc-at-80832-as-powell-exits-and-warsh-takes-over-the-pattern-everyone-is-watching/)[[^]](https://coincodex.com/article/84827/bitcoin-prediction-may-16-2026/).

## What Could Change the Odds

**Bitcoin is currently trading in a consolidation range, with recent prices around $77,900–$79,100, facing resistance near $80,800–$83,000 and critical support levels at $74,000–$78,000 [[^]](https://tradersunion.com/news/cryptocurrency-news/show/2064132-bitcoin-slides-1-68percent-today-to/)[[^]](https://coincodex.com/article/84827/bitcoin-prediction-may-16-2026/)[[^]](https://coinpaper.com/17074/bitcoin-price-prediction-btc-bulls-must-hold-74-k-to-avoid-bigger-drop).** Key **market** catalysts that could influence its trajectory include the U.S. Senate Banking Committee's advancement of the CLARITY Act, the transition of the Federal Reserve Chair to Kevin Warsh, and ongoing institutional ETF flow data [[^]](https://tradersunion.com/news/cryptocurrency-news/show/2064132-bitcoin-slides-1-68percent-today-to/)[[^]](https://www.cryptotimes.io/2026/05/16/bitcoin-sees-major-spike-in-euphoria-across-social-media/)[[^]](https://phemex.com/blogs/macro-catalysts-bitcoin-next-move)[[^]](https://www.cryptotimes.io/2026/05/15/warsh-warren-and-bitcoin-80k-wall-cryptos-summer/).

**Market sentiment is currently mixed; while social media shows a spike in bullish euphoria following legislative progress, institutional sentiment has been tempered by significant net losses reported by major holders like Strategy and recent outflows from spot Bitcoin ETFs [[^]](https://www.cryptotimes.io/2026/05/16/bitcoin-sees-major-spike-in-euphoria-across-social-media/)[[^]](https://cryptoadventure.com/bitcoin-sentiment-hits-four-month-high-as-traders-crowd-back-into-bullish-bets/)[[^]](https://cryptobriefing.com/strategy-reports-125b-net-loss-impacting-bitcoin-sentiment-for-may-2026/).** Important upcoming dates include the Memorial Day recess (May 25, 2026) and potential legislative milestones for the CLARITY Act in June 2026 [[^]](https://bravenewcoin.com/insights/two-catalysts-why-clarity-and-the-strategic-bitcoin-reserve-could-pull-crypto-higher-into-summer)[[^]](https://crypto.com/us/**market**-updates/best-crypto-may-2026).

## Key Dates & Catalysts

- **Strike Date:** May 16, 2026
- **Expiration:** May 23, 2026
- **Closes:** May 16, 2026

## Decision-Flipping Events

- Bitcoin is currently trading in a consolidation range, with recent prices around **$77,900**–**$79,100,** facing resistance near **$80,800**–**$83,000** and critical support levels at **$74,000**–**$78,000** [^] [^] [^] .
- Key **market** catalysts that could influence its trajectory include the U.S.
- Senate Banking Committee's advancement of the CLARITY Act, the transition of the Federal Reserve Chair to Kevin Warsh, and ongoing institutional ETF flow data [^] [^] [^] [^] .
- **Market** sentiment is currently mixed; while social media shows a spike in bullish euphoria following legislative progress, institutional sentiment has been tempered by significant net losses reported by major holders like Strategy and recent outflows from spot Bitcoin ETFs [^] [^] [^] .

## Related Research Reports

- [BNB price range on Apr 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?](/markets/crypto/hourly/bnb-price-range-on-apr-10-2026-at-5pm-edt/)
- [How high will BNB get in April?](/markets/crypto/bnb/how-high-will-bnb-get-in-april/)
- [How low will BNB get in May?](/markets/crypto/bnb/how-low-will-bnb-get-in-may/)
- [Bitcoin price range on Apr 3, 2026 at 5pm EDT?](/markets/crypto/btc/bitcoin-price-range-on-apr-3-2026-at-5pm-edt/)

## Historical Resolutions

**Historical Resolutions:** 20 markets in this series

**Outcomes:** 9 resolved YES, 11 resolved NO

**Recent resolutions:**

- KXBTC15M-26MAY160845-45: YES (May 16, 2026)
- KXBTC15M-26MAY160830-30: NO (May 16, 2026)
- KXBTC15M-26MAY160815-15: NO (May 16, 2026)
- KXBTC15M-26MAY160800-00: NO (May 16, 2026)
- KXBTC15M-26MAY160745-45: YES (May 16, 2026)

## Disclaimer

This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, legal, or trading advice.
Prediction markets involve risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
We are not affiliated with Kalshi or any prediction market platform. Market data may be delayed or incomplete.

### Data Sources & Model Transparency

**Data Sources:** Octagon Deep Research aggregates information from multiple sources including news, filings, and market data.

**Freshness:** Analysis is generated periodically and may not reflect the latest developments. Verify critical information from primary sources.

## Attribution Policy

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